Posted on 09/10/2010 5:50:23 PM PDT by RobinMasters
Alternate headline: “Eeyorish blogger finally feels like he can breathe again.”
Republicans usually score higher with likely voters. But the election is still more than seven weeks away. Counting only likely voters at this point “screens out Democratic groups that you know are going to be there at the end,” says the GOP consultant. “There are unions and African-Americans who typically get their information late, from leadership or the pulpit.”…
As they look at the polls, some Republicans remember the painful near-death experience of 1998. In that year of scandal and partisan warfare, then-Speaker Newt Gingrich predicted the GOP would pick up as many as 40 seats in midterm voting. That’s what some of the likely-voter surveys seemed to indicate. But when election day came around, the GOP lost five seats, clinging to power by the barest of margins. A few days later, Gingrich, the architect of the party’s smashing 1994 victory, resigned…
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
This is wise.
Fight for every last vote. Landslides are more convincing then 51-49.
Typical response form some of the parties spinless elders. Hopefully the Tea Party movement will get rid of these worthless RINO’s
The blogger is right.. this is precisely why I`m still fairly guarded about November. Too many have convinced themselves of a huge 70-80 - seat blowout in the House and 10 or more in the Senate. I think that high expectation is a mistake, because any result short of that gives the enemy a propaganda victory.
The blogger is right.. this is precisely why I`m still fairly guarded about November. Too many have convinced themselves of a huge 70-80 - seat blowout in the House and 10 or more in the Senate. I think that high expectation is a mistake, because any result short of that gives the enemy a propaganda victory.
Keep expectations low, keep hunger high and avoid complacency. If Republicans think it's going to be a blowout, they might sit home. We can't have that.
sorry for the double post. Didn`t think it went through the first time.
If they sit on their hands they will do way less then well.
That’s ok. It was worth reading 2X.
That’s exactly right. I see conservatives running around right now throwing around crazy numbers like picking up 125 seats in the House. Given the natural media sinusoid, and the tendency of the other side to feel a second wind while you deflate, it’s very important in politics not to peak too early.
Work to get the vote out, vote yourself, and ignore the polls.
Wise, yes, but also encouraging. Remember just how often statements by that crowd turn out to be wrong? This is almost like being endorsed by Col. Klink. Having them on the record saying I won’t be happy come November increases the chances that I will!
Well, Col Klink did have a perfect record for escapes :)
Typical response form some of the parties spinless elders. Hopefully the Tea Party movement will get rid of these worthless RINO’sI actually wish the parties would have spinless elders. That would be wonderful. However, it is our party's spineless elders that I'd like to get rid of! :-)
The political situation now is noting like 1998. The economy was rolling along well in 1998 with low unemployment and a rising stock market. Clinton had dropped health care upheaval and moved to the center politically and the majority of voters generally supported his policies. So the voters just didn’t care that much about a sex scandal and all the other rumors of scandals in Washington. But today the economy is in bad shape and is likely to remain weak for another year or two as the housing market slowly bottoms out in a reversal of the long wild housing market rally. In contrast to Clinton, I think the majority of voters do not generally agree with Obama’s policies and did not want major upheaval in the health care system. The voters don’t understand the dire fear of global warming within this administration and the way Obama’s team completely ignores all the evidence against global warming presented by highly qualified skeptics. And I think the voters are unimpressed with Obama’s two extreme left-wing nominees to the Supreme Court and many voters would like to stop the next nomination in the Senate and then defeat Obama in 2012.
So all in all, this election will be nothing like 1998. I predict the GOP will take control of the House and the senate will probably be closely balanced and could go either way after this election.
I think this election is going to be the biggest change in the political landscape since 1930.
And for the first time since the 1930’s GOP primary voters have outnumbered Democrat ones.
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