[no dems]

An incumbent at 39%??? He (Kissell) is toast. The undecideds always go for the challenger.

[MitchellC]

True, it's good that Kissell is under 50%, but in this district, in this climate, Johnson should be at least tied with him. Johnson really has to get to work (I just sent him a donation - if we're going to take the House, we'll probably need this seat) and he probably needs to hit the eastern half of the district good, because I imagine that his lack of name ID out there is a large part of what's keeping him down in these polls.

[Crichton]

An incumbent at 39%??? He (Kissell) is toast.

The poll didn't push people to answer -- it apparently only counted those sure of their vote.

The overall totals (if the election was held today) are likely leaning Kissell's way at the moment, but Johnson has eight weeks to move that soft support into his camp.

As long as Johnson has the resources, he will win the race. He could really use a third party expenditure campaign, whether NRCC or a Club for Growth-type org.