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Key House Races - 28 August 2010 Update - Biggest Gains Yet by the Republicans
KeyHouseRaces.com ^ | 28 August 2010 | Interceptpoint

Posted on 08/28/2010 11:10:17 AM PDT by InterceptPoint

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To: MSF BU
If there is only one seat in play in NC, there is no great shakes comeing to the congress.

NC is an individual story ... the incumbent Dems generally do a good job piling up conservative votes when it won't affect the outcome, the districts are gerrymandered, and the GOP bench is weak. Democrats have controlled the state for over 100 years and NC hasn't yet had the breakthrough most other Southern states have. That breakthrough is likely coming this year, but to take the NC House, Senate, AND a couple of congressional districts is a lot to handle with only so much $$ to go around.

41 posted on 08/28/2010 6:45:01 PM PDT by Crichton
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To: Crichton

McIntyre and fellow Democrats Larry Kissell and Bob Etheridge should all be on the chopping block this year; especially McIntyre. Pantano is a superb candidate and I’m surprised that he’s not on your list.


42 posted on 08/28/2010 6:57:53 PM PDT by MSF BU (++)
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To: InterceptPoint

Thanks for the ping!


43 posted on 08/28/2010 9:40:52 PM PDT by Alamo-Girl
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To: IMissPresidentReagan; CourtneyLeigh; Just Kimberly; Knuckrider; MBohman; republicanbob1; jcwky; ...
A Kentucky Ping.

...for those interested. :D

Here in Kentucky, some of the local media have been reporting recently
that Ben Chandler is in real danger of being knocked off by Andy Barr,
his Republican opponent.


44 posted on 08/28/2010 10:03:05 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (Zer0 to the voters: "Here's my DeathCARE Plan"...now....just die (quicky), please. :^)
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To: okie01
It isn't about how he performs on camera...
it's how he performs in the cloakroom.

short / concise.


45 posted on 08/28/2010 10:17:56 PM PDT by skinkinthegrass (Zer0 to the voters: "Here's my DeathCARE Plan"...now....just die (quicky), please. :^)
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To: InterceptPoint

Thanks again! Great work.


46 posted on 08/28/2010 10:33:22 PM PDT by matthew fuller (2012: Bachman, Bolton, Brewer, Liz Cheney, Coburn, DeMint, Inhofe, Jindal, Palin and Pence.)
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To: okie01
"And is there anything wrong with that? A Minority Leader's job is to hold his caucus together. Boehner successfully accomplished that."

You've made an excellent point.

47 posted on 08/29/2010 6:15:06 AM PDT by NoGrayZone (Please Lord, give America a second chance.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Thanks for the update ping. I’m trying not to get too excited...yet, but simply cannot help myself!


48 posted on 08/29/2010 6:16:07 AM PDT by NoGrayZone (Please Lord, give America a second chance.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Thanks for the Ping.

I know this has got to be a labor of Love. We at Freerepublic sure thank you!!! Just think we knew you before you were famous.

3 corrections or updates:

WA3 Jamie Hererra has not been updated on spreadsheet.
NC11 RCP has moved Heath Schuler into Toss Up (Must be in response to Congressman Billybob in Heaven.)
CO-7 might move off the Tier 2 with this poll

http://www.magellanstrategies.com/index.php/2010/08/colorado-7th-congressional-district-survey-82710/

I also look for Dr. Mariannette Miller-Meeks to move. FReep mail me with Cook,Rothenberg and Sabato’s e-mail addys I’d like to ask them about these races.


49 posted on 08/29/2010 7:45:22 AM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: CPT Clay
WA3 Jamie Hererra has not been updated on spreadsheet.

Thanks. I fixed it on the spreadsheet and updated the Master List.

NC-11. One more Toss-Up or Leans D and this one will go on the Master List.

CO-7 Could be the next one.

50 posted on 08/29/2010 8:19:11 AM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: InterceptPoint

bfl


51 posted on 08/29/2010 8:48:39 AM PDT by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

Thanks Pete! We truly love Col Chris Gibson up here in NY20.

Have you seen this tidbit from Victor Davis Hanson?

“A Most unusual person”

“I don’t get involved in the particulars of promoting political candidates.....But in New York’s 20th Congressional District this year one of the rarest individuals I have ever met.....if we are going to save the country, we need leaders like Gibson, who has always lived the life he advocates.....”

http://pajamasmedia.com/victordavishanson/the-ministries-of-truth-weigh-in/?singlepage=true
Scroll down to: “A most unusual person”

(Haven’t seen it posted here, unless I missed it)

~Kate


52 posted on 08/29/2010 1:32:09 PM PDT by Hush44
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To: InterceptPoint

Hate to have to admit it, but WV is most likely NOT a toss up. Primary yesterday. Joe Manchin-D 49,961 out of a total of 90,600 votes. John Raese-R 38,119 out of a total of 53,372 votes. John has the money and the talent, but in state elections, WV just simply always goes Dem. They go R in national elections. Go figure. We will go to the mat for John, but it’s going to be an uphill climb. We sure could use Sarah down here.


53 posted on 08/29/2010 2:47:20 PM PDT by WVNan
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To: WVNan

Well you’ll have KeyHouseRaces on your side. And this is our year so work hard and maybe WV will wake up.


54 posted on 08/29/2010 3:31:43 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: vaudine
What a good laugh I had next day.

I got Rush Limbaugh's TV show from that night somewhere around here on VHS. It was a prize.

We could use a replay.

55 posted on 08/29/2010 5:04:04 PM PDT by thulldud (Is it "alter or abolish" time yet?)
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To: InterceptPoint

You are the Best!!!


56 posted on 08/29/2010 5:18:28 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: InterceptPoint

Four House Dems looking very vulnerable after posting weak fundraising numbers;from

http://libertypundits.net/article/four-house-dems-looking-very-vulnerable-after-posting-weak-fundraising-numbers/

The four are Rep. Travis Childers (D-Miss.), Rep. Frank Kratovil (D-Md.), Rep. Harry Teague (D-N.M.), and Rep. Alan Mollohan (D-W.V.)

And the hits just keep on comming/


57 posted on 08/29/2010 5:45:04 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Pick up your weapon and follow me.)
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To: usconservative

Hultgren lacks the 2 major flaws of Obie. He will run a good campaign.

Obie created a mean-spirited image of himself that started with his helicopter over Soldier Field ad and culminated in a HRCC ad in the special election that said Foster was FOR CITIZENSHIP, Oberweiss was AGAINST CITIZENSHIP. Citizenship is a good thing for which you get gold stars and blue ribbons. Those ads were terrible.

Obie wrapped himself in Hastert. Don’t underestimate how much Hastert accumulated negatives: Corruption, wasteful spending. More than Bush himself, Hastert was the symbol of what was wrong with the Bush era.

But the real test for all Republicans, including Hulgren, is whether they move their supporters from cheering spectators in the stands to players in the game who will knock on their neighbors door and ask their neighbor to vote for their friend Hultgren ... or Kinsinger or whomever they are supporting.

Thousands will attend RightNation2010 at the Sears Centre in Hoffman Estates. Will the result of that event be the placement of a precinct poll list in the hand of each attendee with instructions on how to work a precinct? Or will the result be a warm feeling in one’s heart ... a temporary high?

Meanwhile, you can be sure SEIU/IEA/Acorn types will be very effective in grassroots organizing. Who gets the most voters to the polls on Election Day October 12 wins.


58 posted on 08/30/2010 10:20:47 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: usconservative

Hultgren lacks the 2 major flaws of Obie. He will run a good campaign.

Obie created a mean-spirited image of himself that started with his helicopter over Soldier Field ad and culminated in a HRCC ad in the special election that said Foster was FOR CITIZENSHIP, Oberweiss was AGAINST CITIZENSHIP. Citizenship is a good thing for which you get gold stars and blue ribbons. Those ads were terrible.

Obie wrapped himself in Hastert. Don’t underestimate how much Hastert accumulated negatives: Corruption, wasteful spending. More than Bush himself, Hastert was the symbol of what was wrong with the Bush era.

But the real test for all Republicans, including Hulgren, is whether they move their supporters from cheering spectators in the stands to players in the game who will knock on their neighbors door and ask their neighbor to vote for their friend Hultgren ... or Kinsinger or whomever they are supporting.

Thousands will attend RightNation2010 at the Sears Centre in Hoffman Estates. Will the result of that event be the placement of a precinct poll list in the hand of each attendee with instructions on how to work a precinct? Or will the result be a warm feeling in one’s heart ... a temporary high?

Meanwhile, you can be sure SEIU/IEA/Acorn types will be very effective in grassroots organizing. Who gets the most voters to the polls on Election Day October 12 wins.


59 posted on 08/30/2010 10:25:46 AM PDT by spintreebob
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To: InterceptPoint; uscabjd; Kahuna; GOPsterinMA; george76; Russ; Don'tMessWithTexas; UNGN; ...

Senate Midterms- 2010 ping.

If anyone wants on or off the Senate 2010 ping list, send me Freepmail.

I know this is the House, but thought you would be interested...
60 posted on 08/30/2010 10:30:33 AM PDT by RobFromGa (The FairTax is to tax policy as Global Warming is to science.)
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