Generic Congressional Ballot: R 44, D37

Rasmussen Reports ^ | 5/31/2010 | Scott Rasmussen

[Tennessean4Bush]

For the week ending Sunday, May 30, Republican candidates hold a seven-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot. That’s little changed from a week ago and broadly consistent with weekly results from the past year.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 44% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for their district's Republican congressional candidate, while 37% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.

While solid majorities of Democrats and Republicans support their own party, the plurality (45%) of voters not affiliated with either major party now prefer the Republican candidate, while 23% like the Democrat. These findings have remained fairly consistent for months now.

[Tennessean4Bush]

About the same as last week. Gallup, I think, is reflecting a more dramatic under-current right now. Next week's Rasmussen survey will be interesting.

[Uncle Hal]

God, I hope this trend lasts until November.

[Tennessean4Bush]

Your lips to God’s ears.

[Tennessean4Bush]

I cannot imagine anything reversing the trend, can you? Economy is anemic. Even if it was growing really well people will not feel the effect of that until early next year. Un-employment at recent historic highs. Dems having just rammed through health care and now talking tax hikes. Oil spill re-enforcing in everyone's mind how dysfunctional federal government is. Illegal immigration is back on the front pages with Obama's basic response to merely joke or threaten a lawsuit rather than to help.

If the GOP cannot make hay this November -- they never will.

[randita]

Voters aren’t crazy about what Obama and the Democrat Congress have done as indicated by Rasmussen and Gallup, but the PA 12 race where an establishment Democrat (Murtha’s chief of staff) handily beat a newcomer Republican shows that the voters aren’t ready to forsake Democrats on a wholesale basis.

Voters are disappointed in what they bought in 2008 and they want to buy something else, but Republicans have not closed the sale and there’s still a lot of residual antipathy toward Bush which Democrats can tap into.

Republicans are in a great position but they have to come together and convince the voters that they are not Bush and they can be trusted to get the country back on track. Not there yet.