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How Bad Could 2010 Really Get For Democrats?
Real Clear Politics ^ | April 14, 2010 | By Sean Trende

Posted on 04/14/2010 6:44:11 AM PDT by dangus

Though Election Day is still months away, pundits have already begun to speculate on possible outcomes for this year's midterms. There's a general consensus that Democrats will lose seats in November, but beyond that opinions vary widely on how big those losses might be. Some argue that because of the advance notice, passage of health care, and an improving economy (or some combination of all three), Democrats will be able to limit their losses significantly. Others are predicting a repeat of 1994, when Democrats lost 50+ seats and control of the House. So how bad could 2010 get for the Democrats?

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: economy; keyhouseraces; khr; obamacare
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The map referred to in the article:
1 posted on 04/14/2010 6:44:11 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

“pundit” man I hate that word

Does anyone ever say “I want to grow up and become a “pundit”?

Now, back to our regular programming .....


2 posted on 04/14/2010 6:46:23 AM PDT by silverleaf (Karl Marx was NOT one of America's Founding Fathers)
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To: dangus

I hope they lose 100 seats!!!!!!!!

No, 150.

Hell, 200 then.


3 posted on 04/14/2010 6:46:42 AM PDT by DontTreadOnMe2009 (So stop treading on me already!)
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To: dangus

From the article:

>> Polling among likely voters, such as Rasmussen Reports, shows Republicans up by about 8-10 points, which would probably represent a seventy-seat pickup...

... And the polls of the most highly energized voters are even worse for Democrats. Recent NBC/WSJ polling found that Democrats led by three points among registered voters. But among those most interested in the November elections, Republicans led by 13 points...

... The exit poll model...suggests that the Democrats should lose the popular vote 57%-43%. <<


4 posted on 04/14/2010 6:48:35 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

We need to regain control of both houses, impeach Obama and try him for treason along with the rest of the thugs in the administration. I want to see this arrogant marxist muslim queer pay for the damage he has done to our beautiful America.


5 posted on 04/14/2010 6:49:32 AM PDT by thethirddegree
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To: dangus
Since the mods saw fit to remove my un-burying of the lede,
DEMS COULD LOSE 70-90 SEATS IN HOUSE, OR EVEN FAR MORE!
6 posted on 04/14/2010 6:51:01 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

I hate all this talk. If anyone can jinx a good thing, the Republican party can. Not house members, but RINO’s in the senate will surely do something to pull the rug from under the base!


7 posted on 04/14/2010 6:51:13 AM PDT by Sybeck1 (November can't come soon enough!)
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To: thethirddegree

>> We need to regain control of both houses, impeach Obama and try him for treason along with the rest of the thugs in the administration. <<

An impossibility. The most we could gain before the next presidential election is about 58 seats. We’d need 67 to impeach.


8 posted on 04/14/2010 6:52:27 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

Be still my pounding heart.


9 posted on 04/14/2010 6:52:51 AM PDT by Michael.SF. (Even Hitler had Government run health care, but at least he got the Olympics for Germany)
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To: dangus

What’s a “lede”?


10 posted on 04/14/2010 6:53:36 AM PDT by Osage Orange (Si vis pacem, para bellum)
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To: Sybeck1

OK, hear this then:

Forget about not supporting a candidate because he or she is in an “unwinnable” district. And damn to Hell and back those who suggest we need to elect RINOs to win.


11 posted on 04/14/2010 6:55:39 AM PDT by dangus
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To: dangus

Dems are losing voters left and right. There was a thread on here last week talking about how the GOP roles were growing rapidly in Cuyahoga County and other Rat strongholds in Ohio. The rats have totally lost the center and this will kill them in November. The arrogance displayed by Spendy Hoyer yesterday about the Tea Parties is only adding fuel to the fire.


12 posted on 04/14/2010 6:57:47 AM PDT by DarthVader (Liberalism is the politics of EVIL whose time of judgment has come. Judgment Day: Nov 2, 2010)
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To: dangus

13 posted on 04/14/2010 7:01:32 AM PDT by Zakeet (Will Rogers never met the Wee Wee)
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To: Osage Orange

It’s what you probably mean to write if you ever refer to “burying a lead.” In the context of an introductory paragraph, something which leads is called a “lede,” rather than a “lead,” to avoid confusion with the metal also known as “plumb.”


14 posted on 04/14/2010 7:01:53 AM PDT by dangus
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To: Sybeck1

I hate all this talk. If anyone can jinx a good thing, the Republican party can. Not house members, but RINO’s in the senate will surely do something to pull the rug from under the base!

*****************************

The October surprise will come from Michael Steele.


15 posted on 04/14/2010 7:02:43 AM PDT by Psalm 144 (What is a slave, but someone robbed of his labor to sustain the idle?)
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To: dangus

Don’t count you chickens until they hatch. The Democrats have a history of making sure incumbants who face certain defeat retire instead of lose at the poll- see Bart Stupak and Chris Dodd. That way they can run a new candidate who will say “I’m not him, so vote for me” in reference to the doomed incumbant. And it works. Just ask Frank Lautenberg.


16 posted on 04/14/2010 7:03:30 AM PDT by bobjam
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To: bobjam

and Chris Dodd...


17 posted on 04/14/2010 7:05:52 AM PDT by Keith (We live in an America of National Socialism...sound familiar? It should...)
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To: Psalm 144

“The October surprise will come from Michael Steele.”
##
Explain please.


18 posted on 04/14/2010 7:06:47 AM PDT by kezzek
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To: dangus
When the polls and data tells a different story ---> LIE!
19 posted on 04/14/2010 7:07:54 AM PDT by broken_arrow1 (I regret that I have but one life to give for my country - Nathan Hale "Patriot")
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To: bobjam

I publish this to motivate those in swing districts that victory is possible, not to rest on our not-yet-accomplished accomplishments. I agree with Dodd-Stupak reference, but I would also point out that the Lautenberg switch happened because Torricelli was uniquely associated with corruption; NJ at the time still wanted a liberal Democrat.

I would actually expect that Stupak’s late replacement loses in Michigan. I would even suppose that Blumenthal is weakening quickly; he lost nearly half of his lead (26 points down to 14 points) in one month. However, I still expect Blumenthal to win, because the likely Republican nominee is a spineless liberal extremist with an “R” after his name (Simmons).


20 posted on 04/14/2010 7:10:53 AM PDT by dangus
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