I was assuming that we’d win IL, making IN number 49.
And that would make WI, NY, WA and CA our hypothetical seats number 50, 51, 52 and 53. If we win half of those four, we’re still at 51.
Until a couple of weeks before the Jan. 19 election, I did not believe that Scott Brown could actually win. Well, until now, I did not believe that the GOP could actually take back the Senate in 2010. But numbers don’t lie, and it could actually freaking happen. It is certainly not the likeliest of scenarios, but it could happen, and the odds aren’t all that low. Heck, we’re halfway to 49 already.
Expect both Justices Stevens and Ginsburg to announce their retirement soon.
I just realized that I didn’t even mention the CT seat, which would be number 54 for the GOP. So winning any 2 of the following 5 Senate races could give the GOP 51: WI, NY, WA, CA and CT.