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Can Sarah Palin Win? She Will Have To Expand Her Appeal Beyond The Base To Win More Than Primaries
The National Journal ^ | November 30, 2009 | Mark Blumenthal

Posted on 11/30/2009 9:29:39 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet

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Do they even realize that the so-called "base" has morphed into Independents, Democrats, former Democrats, Libertarians as well as a large portion of the Republican Party? See: March on DC, Tea Parties and Townhalls...
1 posted on 11/30/2009 9:29:40 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Note the polls: CBS News, CNN, ABC.

Note that the polls are of "adults" and not "registered voters" nor yet even "likely voters".

Note that the poll internals by age, race, gender, and party are not given.

Nice try, though.

A *balanced* poll would be among those waiting in line at her book tour, as they are most likely to be motivated to vote for her.

Also left untouched is the fact that the left has NO scandals left on her.

She is "clean as the wind-driven snow".

GO SARAH!

2 posted on 11/30/2009 9:36:05 PM PST by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Only 28 percent say she is “qualified to be president,” according to the survey conducted by CNN”
CN Who.... cares
And zero is qualified how?


3 posted on 11/30/2009 9:37:47 PM PST by RedMDer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The problem is that the McLame campaign didn't emphasize her record. Sarah has a 16-year political record of putting the people first and taking on the entrenched corrupt politicians and special-interests.

I hate to sound like an anti-Paliner and give her "advice," but among the first things she should do if she chooses to run is start cutting some videos of her in the Wasilla Mayor and Governor's office and explaining how she cut taxes and promoted growth and still funded things like education and infrastructure. If she allows the Dems and media to keep talking about Levi Johnston or her family she's going to lose.

4 posted on 11/30/2009 9:38:02 PM PST by Extremely Extreme Extremist (10 YEARS OF FREEPING! HAPPY ANNIVERSARY EEE!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Thank you National Journal, we’ll remember to say hi getting off the Helicopter at the White House.


5 posted on 11/30/2009 9:38:21 PM PST by BobL (Real Men don't use Tag Lines)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Exactly. The idea that "the base" may expand to fill the leadership vacuum left by insipid beltway jerkoffs never occurs to these dullwitted pundits.
6 posted on 11/30/2009 9:42:58 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: RedMDer
Everyone has heard of Sarah Palin. Nobody has ever heard of Mark Blumenthal. I suspect it will stay that way.
7 posted on 11/30/2009 9:44:58 PM PST by hinckley buzzard
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Caution... they are trolling for RINOs...

"Move to the LEFT, Sarah.... you may fulfill your dream... we can't stop you but we can corrupt you..." Karl Marx...

8 posted on 11/30/2009 9:44:58 PM PST by April Lexington (Study the constitution so you know what they are taking away!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh, not this crap again!

Let’s remember that Barack Obama had his race as his ace.


9 posted on 11/30/2009 9:46:36 PM PST by ReneeLynn (Socialism is SO yesterday. Fascism, it*s the new black. Mmm Mmm Mmm.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Fred Nerks

If the truth gets out widely about Sarah Palin’s work as Governor of Alaska, I do not think very many will be able to say she is not qualified for presidential office.

She is more qualified than Obama, even after Obama has had a year of on the job training.

Her only problem is that she did not attend Harvard or Yale, so the party elite from both sides of the aisle can pretend to look down on her.

Palin is a committed, creative and hard working leader.She has the skills and hutzpah to do a great job as POTUS.She certainly would be doing far better than Obama is now.

The press has been very hard on her, creating several untrue urban myths that have resulted in the poll numbers reported in the article.Those can be overcome with truth.

I do believe she means to rejuvinate Reagan Republicanism.I am all for it, I think she can do it.


10 posted on 11/30/2009 9:46:52 PM PST by Candor7 ((The effective weapons Against Fascism are ridicule, derision, and truth (.Member NRA))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Well, who the hell is going to beat her? Romney the socialist? Huckabee? You’ve got to be kidding me.

If there’s a better God, Country, Family, All American candidate out there, then lets get it on!!

Just drill, baby, drill!!


11 posted on 11/30/2009 9:48:37 PM PST by Jim Robinson (Join the TEA Party Rebellion!! God save this great Republic!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

CNN, CBS, ABC...LOL!


12 posted on 11/30/2009 9:51:37 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: hinckley buzzard

my reply was ““Only 28 percent say she is “qualified to be president,” according to the survey conducted by CNN”
CN Who.... cares
And zero is qualified how?”
and who is “Mark Blumenthal”?
You might wrong guy here. I’m a big Sarah fan.


13 posted on 11/30/2009 9:54:23 PM PST by RedMDer
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Who is Mark Blumenthal?

“His academic background includes a Political Science degree from the University of Michigan and course work towards a Masters degree at the Joint Program in Survey Methodology (JPSM) at the University of Maryland. He has also served as a guest lecturer at the Communications School at American University and at training seminars sponsored by EMILY’s List, the Democratic National Committee and the National Democratic Institute for International Affairs.”

DNC? Emily’s List? In other words, he’s a leftist, and you can’t believe a word he says.

- JP


14 posted on 11/30/2009 9:55:52 PM PST by Josh Painter ("We can take our country back" - Sarah Heath Palin)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
“• Only 26 percent of Americans say they think Palin “has the ability to be an effective president,” according to the recent CBS News poll; 62 percent believe she does not. “

What I'd like to see are polls from cBS or any of the liberal media from back in 2007/2007, where they even dared to ask voters such questions about whether 0bozo was even qualified to be president or not (he isn't).
Oh wait...cBS was too scared to ask such questions about 0bama in 2006/7 because they were scared they would be labeled “racist”, plus they were too busy campaigning flat out for 0bama anyways.
Why don't we look at how cBS did in the 2008 presidential elections eh?
The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection polls (as reported on pollster.com).

1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline (10/31-11/2)*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN/Opinion Research (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX News/Opinion Dynamics (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Washington Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/NY Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)

Unsurprisingly, cBS ranked near the bottom, with their blatantly pro-0bama, well doctored push polls.


Why on earth would this guy write an article quoting push polls from the notoriously fraudulent, agenda driven, anti-Palin liberal media, but then refuse to quote polls from the best pollster in the business, Rasmussen, which show Sarah Palin running neck and neck with 0bama, and having better favor ability ratings with voters right now than 0bama does?

15 posted on 11/30/2009 9:56:58 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Can she win?”

Let’s see....A Marxist Muslim America-hating illegal alien won.

I think Sarah has a shot.


16 posted on 11/30/2009 10:00:21 PM PST by Electric Graffiti (Yonder stands your orphan with his gun)
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To: Josh Painter

thank you for educating me. i really mean that.


17 posted on 11/30/2009 10:01:28 PM PST by RedMDer
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To: Josh Painter

thank you for educating me. i really mean that.


18 posted on 11/30/2009 10:01:33 PM PST by RedMDer
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To: Candor7
Her only problem is that she did not attend Harvard or Yale”

Problem?
It's one of her biggest strengths. It's the Harvard/Yale cabal that got us into this horrible mess in the first place.

19 posted on 11/30/2009 10:01:58 PM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Even though Sarah Palin is , as I have always called her,
the “Anti-Obama”, the thing that could hurt her most is
ironically the growing feeling that OBAMA himself was not
“ready” or “experienced” enough for the Presidency; there could be a backlash against Sarah Palin as the electorate grows increasingly distrustful and disenchanted with Obama
and pins his failures (mistakenly, IMO) of his “lack of experience”, when in fact, it’s his ideology and lack of connectedness with American realities that’s to blame.Palin
already has more experience, far, far sounder core principles, and true hardcore American appeal, so it’s going to be up to the MSM to destroy her subtly by these
artifical “parallels” with Obama. They will figure out a way to do it.


20 posted on 11/30/2009 10:04:59 PM PST by supremedoctrine (Talent hits a target no one else can hit. Genius hits a target no one else can see----Schopenhauer)
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