Based on the assumption most decisions are made off economics rather than race, consider that parts of Virginia around Washington and Richmond have a very wealthy black electorate.
This isn’t “inner-city” politics we’re talking about.
I live outside of Richmond and while there are not many black families around here many have Obama bumper stickers on their vehicles.
Black voters are taken for granted by one party. It’s as if the Dems. can pencil in 90+% of the black vote in most elections.
There would be a sea change in our politics nationally, if Republican candidates could consistently get in the area of 30% of the black vote.
That's an excellent point.
On election night, you'll probably see some all-black precincts in Norfolk and Richmond giving McDonnell 2% of the vote. That does not mean that he got 2% of the black vote statewide. Those blacks who remain in "the 'hood" by economic necessity or by choice will remain faithful to the Dems; those blacks who are upwardly mobile increasingly vote their self-interests.