Mr. Pike was speaking about a current assessment on an objective level based upon quality of equipment and training as well as the amount of technology supporting the aformentioned. A Marine friend invited me to a presentation by John Pike in Washington prior to 9/11. His presentation was about asymmetrical warfare and counter-insurgency and was very good in light of what happened the following year.
There is a good chance that much of what you stated will come to pass, as in the days of Carter, but most of the folks at places like SOCOM and MARSOC have not seen degradation yet.
Mr. Pike still rates the USMC COIN (counter-insurgency) manual pretty highly in light of the fact it was written over 70 years ago.