Sorry for the mistake. Rasmussen also makes a very clear point about Corzine’s extremely weak numbers and how they represent Christie’s best chance. The incumbent’s numbers are bad across the board, especially with Indies.
“Christie’s biggest advantage may be Corzine’s negatives. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of voters statewide have a Very Unfavorable view of their governor. Just 12% are that negative about the GOP challenger. It is very difficult for an incumbent to bring down his own negative ratings during a campaign so it is likely the Corzine campaign will try to increase Christie’s negatives.
“By a 48% to 33% margin, voters say they trust Christie more than Corzine on taxes. The gap is a bit wider on the topic of cutting government spending—50% trust Christie more while 27% trust Corzine. By a 55% to 28% margin, Christie is seen as the candidate most likely to cut down on government corruption. New polling shows that government corruption and ethics reform is the top issue for unaffiliated voters nationwide.”
At this point my gut tells me that Christie will probably win even though NJ really is notorious in their voting patterns.