Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: FreepShop1

So buy oil and gas ETFs and the Euro and Swiss Franc ETFs.

This is a sucker’s rally for the rest. China and Asia’s economies might pick up and if the world economy picks up a little - oil is back to $4 a gallon.


4 posted on 05/08/2009 6:41:36 PM PDT by Frantzie (Remember when Bush was President and Americans had jobs (and ammo)?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies ]


To: Frantzie

you mean gas or oil?


6 posted on 05/08/2009 6:47:44 PM PDT by ken21 (the only thing we have to fear is fdr deja vu.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies ]

To: Frantzie
This is a sucker’s rally for the rest. China and Asia’s economies might pick up and if the world economy picks up a little - oil is back to $4 a gallon.

Certainly will be. And then we are screwed with an administration that is blocking drilling everywhere, not just offshore. And with Obama's "green energy" fantasy that is 15-20 years away at best, the American consumer is absolutely screwed. The only upside is, so will Senate Democrats in 2010 or Obama in 2012.

19 posted on 05/08/2009 7:32:06 PM PDT by FreepShop1 (www.FreepShop.com)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies ]

To: Frantzie

Stock indexes do very poorly vs inflation. There are always individual companies/industries that may thrive in any kind of conditions, but broad-based indexes like Dow Jones & S&P500 do not react well to inflation. See this paper:
Inflation Hedging for the Short-Term & Long-Term
http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1394810

When there is a sudden outburst of prolonged inflation:
* Commodities outperform all other investment classes for 6-18 months, all other asset classes lose value or are flat.
* During the 2-5 year range (after the beginning of an inflation shock) commodity prices start to level off or decline after a big run-up, long-term & short-term bonds start doing better due to high interst rates. But stocks tend to still stay flat.
* After 5 years, stocks, bonds and short-term bonds (cash) start to perform better & regain their historical risk-return tradeoff.


22 posted on 05/08/2009 8:04:27 PM PDT by sanchmo (If something cannot go on forever, it will stop)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson