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Dow 9900 by year end??
CNBC ^ | 3/12/2009 | Ariel Nelson

Posted on 03/12/2009 6:32:58 AM PDT by wyowolf

Last night on Fast Money, Guy Adami mentioned that "the PE is very compelling" for Hewlett Packard [HPQ 28.61 --- UNCH (0) ]. Many of the PE's for the Dow 30 are at historic lows and appear to be very compelling. As of yesterday's, close, the average PE for the 30 Dow components is under 10. Looking at other points over the decade, that average has been between 17 and 30 according to data from Thomson Reuters. When the markets begin to normalize, it is likely that stocks will move back toward their historical multiples, implying some significant gains.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bho44; bhodjia; dow; dow10000
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up up and away !!!
1 posted on 03/12/2009 6:32:58 AM PDT by wyowolf
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To: wyowolf

My question is, how many of the Dow will be still be in business by year end?


2 posted on 03/12/2009 6:34:00 AM PDT by Slapshot68
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To: Slapshot68

Non Believer !!!


3 posted on 03/12/2009 6:34:43 AM PDT by wyowolf ("we were the winners , cause we didn't know we could fail.")
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To: wyowolf

At least someone is talking up the economy. Unlike Zer0.


4 posted on 03/12/2009 6:36:22 AM PDT by unixfox (The 13th Amendment Abolished Slavery, The 16th Amendment Reinstated It !)
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To: wyowolf
If it gets to 9000 get out with what money you have back. Won't be till 2010 that the real pain from all these bailouts, stimuli, porkulus and tarp trilogy really take effect. Then we'll see the real crash.

Just my opinion, past results not indicative of future returns. Your mileage may vary. Offer not valid in Alaska, Hawaii, or the lower 48 States. Always consult a doctor before starting an exercise program.

5 posted on 03/12/2009 6:37:19 AM PDT by Domandred (Hope is the first step on the road to disappointment.)
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To: wyowolf

Bridge, meet Buyer...

6 posted on 03/12/2009 6:37:57 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: wyowolf

Can I assume that this is no longer in play? LOL

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1269555/posts


7 posted on 03/12/2009 6:37:58 AM PDT by kempster
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To: wyowolf

I don’t believe it will happen but if it does, I welcome it, both me and my 401K

I don’t want that Marxist turd to get the credit though.


8 posted on 03/12/2009 6:38:40 AM PDT by Vaquero ( "an armed society is a polite society" Robert A. Heinlein)
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To: wyowolf

And why should we listen to this guy?


9 posted on 03/12/2009 6:39:10 AM PDT by Doofer
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To: wyowolf

I hope, but do not believe we will see 9900. 8500, maybe, but not 9900....I think we are reaching a market bottom, and real estate bottom, so a move to the plus side is not far off.


10 posted on 03/12/2009 6:39:10 AM PDT by devane617 (Republicans first strategy should be taking over the MSM. Without it we are doomed.)
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To: wyowolf

In order to have a P/E ratio (That’s Price/Earnings, not Profit/Earnings as Obama has called it), there must be E’s, too. Another way to bring the P/E ratio into historical alignment is to reduce earnings, not increase prices as is hoped for in this article. What evidence is there that earnings will remain at historical levels under The Messiah?


11 posted on 03/12/2009 6:39:57 AM PDT by norwaypinesavage (Global Warming Theory is extremely robust with respect to data. All observations confirm it)
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To: wyowolf

I’d buy it, but... What about the world’s largest consumer market being under seige? Jobs have been moved overseas. Domestic businesses have been shedding jobs like my dog sheds fur. And very soon, the Obama plan for taxing the “rich” will be understood by those of us in the middle class who are going to be hammered.

9900 by year end? Maybe, but it won’t stay.


12 posted on 03/12/2009 6:39:58 AM PDT by brownsfan (We are sooooo screwed.)
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To: wyowolf
I can see it as a possibility. Right now, a lot of stocks are under valued. Dividends on the S&P 500 are paying 3.6%. Compared to the 10 year T-Bills paying 2.9%. That's a good difference that I think will spark an upward movement in the market in general.

At least, that is my hope. The alternative is depressing.

13 posted on 03/12/2009 6:40:22 AM PDT by Bloody Sam Roberts (Despite all my rage, I am still just a rat in a cage...)
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To: wyowolf

You first, Mr. Adami.


14 posted on 03/12/2009 6:41:00 AM PDT by Obadiah (Party - my house - on December 22, 2012!)
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To: wyowolf

HAHAHAHAHAHA investors ignore P/E’s during booms and they’ll ignore them during BUSTS too...

While you can make the argument a P/E is a good or bad deal, unless the stock pays a sizeable dividend directly attributed to its P/E there’s little argument to buy other than very very long term hold when the market is going to drop another 40-50% AT LEAST and everyone knows it.


15 posted on 03/12/2009 6:41:14 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: kempster

To be fair nobody in 2004 predicted Barack Karl Marx Obama would be President.


16 posted on 03/12/2009 6:41:23 AM PDT by Domandred (Hope is the first step on the road to disappointment.)
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To: wyowolf

Beck’s fake bear rally?


17 posted on 03/12/2009 6:41:35 AM PDT by throwback
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To: Bloody Sam Roberts

Ah, but you forget, dividend payments can be halted at any time... and more than a few companies have cut or suspended dividend payments lately, and there will be more doing so, regardless of their P/E ratios.


18 posted on 03/12/2009 6:42:30 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: wyowolf

Amazing that P/E ratios of “17 to 30” are listed as benchmarks or historical standards just because that’s where they were during this phony, Fed-driven run-up. Folks, there isn’t a single one of you who would buy a business to run, a business that would be your means of support, at anywhere near a 17 to 30 Price to Earnings ratio. That would be an incredibly stupid investment. Can you imagine, “Honey, here’s what we are going to do. I’m going to buy that hot dog stand down on 1st street, it yields about $20,000 a year for us to live on and I only have to pay $600,000 to buy it. What do you think?”


19 posted on 03/12/2009 6:42:38 AM PDT by raptor29
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To: wyowolf
Non Believer !!!


20 posted on 03/12/2009 6:42:40 AM PDT by mylife ( The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
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