Posted on 12/06/2008 7:29:16 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
Democrats took aim at a reliably Republican congressional seat Saturday night as Paul Carmouche narrowly led Republican John Fleming in the hotly contested 4th Congressional District race.
With 63 percent of precincts reporting, Carmouche had 50 percent of the vote to 47 percent for Fleming.
Two independent candidates had the rest of the vote.
The winner succeeds Republican Congressman Jim McCrery, who decided not to seek re-election after 20 years in the House of Representatives.
Carmouche is retiring after being district attorney in Caddo Parish for 30 years. Fleming is a Minden physician and businessman.
(Excerpt) Read more at ktbs.com ...
This is a key race.
GO, FLEMING, GO!!!
Here’s the runoff results from the SOS office:
http://www400.sos.louisiana.gov:8090/cgibin/?rqstyp=elcms2&rqsdta=120608
He’s been consistently down by 1-2k through the counting.
568 of 640 precincts reporting
Here’s the other runoff.
The independent conservative Chester “Catfish” Kelley appears to have polled enough votes to elect the Democrat, like that Libertarian in MT did in 2006 to defeat Conrad Burns.
Outstanding precincts are all in Caddo Parish the rat’s base and neighboring GOP Bossier Parish.
Annoying “Catfish” indie crank may elect the rat.
This is not a “reliably Republican” district. It has been represented by a nominal Republican since 1988 but not before that and apparently not in 2009 either.
U. S. Representative, 4th Congressional District
579 of 640 precincts reporting
Paul J. Carmouche, D - 39,914 49.08%
John Fleming, R - 38,061 46.80%
Gerard J. Bowen, Jr., O - 601 .74% Gerard J. Bowen, Jr., Chester T. “Catfish” Kelley, NO - 2,747 3.38%
If I’m not mistaken, Caddo Parish is where Carmouche is District Attorney. Doesn’t look good.
Voters are so stupid.
Another fauxking fauxcon solider for the Queen Bee-otch.
Turnout was the key, and the GOP failed to turn out in sufficient numbers, or the race could have been won.
In the past, La runoffs just included the top 2 vote gettings. This even meant if the top 2 vote gettings were in the same party. Now La runoffs include the top voter getting in each party. Bad idea. Its hard to say who the Catfish kook hurt more. The Dem candidate claimed to be pro-life and pro-NRA. This could have neutralized the GOP advantage on social issues in district that voted 66% for McCain/Palin.
Republicans need to avoid third-party conservatives in general elections if the GOP nominee is acceptable, for this scenario will occur again in other places. Now if Fleming had been a liberal, it would have been different. As it is, Kelley has elected the man he was trying to beat. Reagan, I believe it was, once said that the problem with third parties is that they usually elect the person they are trying to beat.
Catfish definitely hurt Fleming, as he drew from the most diehard conservatives. Catfish ran as a Republican in 2006 and got about 12 percent.
Half of GOP Bossier Parrish hasn’t reported yet. The rest including Caddo is all in. Deficit is 2k votes.
Nearly 3k for the Catfish....he has no email listed, I’d like to drop him a line and thank him on behalf of President-Select Obama and Speaktrix D’Alesandro.
Cao (R) in the other seat has lead all night though the pace of the reporting is glacial. I expect the rattest precincts to be the last to report and reelect the felon.
I think I read that you nead 50+1 to win in LA so even if Carmousche wins it looks like he wont cross the 50% threshold mandating a runoff without Catfish to poach away some votes. But I’m not sure if LA does have the 50% rule. Anyone know for sure?
A lot of the Obama voters here did not turn out, but some, not many, of the McPain people undoubtedly backed Carmouche, for they want “programs” and “projects” in the district.
I dont believe there would be a runoff here if the winner is under 50%, is that right?
do you know if LA has a 50% rule like GA? Carmouche isn’t going to top 50 so it looks like we may have a runoff between just him and Fleming if you need to cross 50.
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