“My prediction: McCain wins all but one of Bush’s states, but picks up 3 Kerry states. McCain wins!”
Which Bush state will McCain lose (you think)?
I think McCain loses NM (definitely) & Iowa (probably)
Which Kerry states will Bush win (you think)?
I think his best shot is PA, then ME (1 ev), then NH.
He’ll lose Iowa, but win the rest of them. And he’ll win PA, NH, and possibly Maine, MN and WI.