Chabot won by only five points in 2006. Bush carried this district by only a single point in 2004. Acc to the FEC database Chabot does have a over a 2:1 money advantage in the final month.
I’m definately seeing more Chabot ads now than Driehaus. I’m just not sure that ads are doing much swaying now anyhow. The turnout seems to be what’s going to determine the race, which should favor the dems this year vs 2004 or 2006.