That poll is a big outlier. Obama could be up but he ain’t up ten. What is clear though is that Virginia is a big battleground and the election could come down to that state. We can’t take that traditional red state for granted anymore what with the explosive population growth in more liberal Northern Virginia and with their hispanic population exploding. It WILL be a dogfight and all Virgina posters better get out and vote and get all their (non-lib!) friends to do the same. I have a feeling that that’ll be one of the races that goes deep into the night before it gets called. Every vote will be big. So get to work!
The internals of the poll has Obama getting only 86% of the African american. If Obama gets only 86% of the AA vote, either the poll has a higher weight of AA, or Obama is in some serious trouble.
Wasn’t that Mason Dixon poll with McCain ahead issued just a couple of days ago? Very hard to believe there could have been so much of a shift in such a short time.
The two are tied in CO and NM has Zero up by only 5. Seems unlikely he could then have jumped into this big of a lead in VA. I am not being overly optimistic that McCain will suddenly surge and win. But these numbers vary widely and it makes me wonder if all polls this year should not be taken with a grain of salt.