There is serious chicanery or incompetence involved in some of these polls. I don't know which ones.
I’m in Richmond, Va. Big swing state. We had our 5th annual “Republican Round Up” last Saturday, sponsored by Eric Cantor, Bill Bolling(Lt. Gov)etc. Huge BBQ, free beer and wine, bands, really awesome! 4x’s the usual crowd with standing room only. Probably 7-10% black which is up from 1-2% any previous year. Not scientific but telling about the enthusiasm over Palin. That’s all anyone talked about. “Women for Palin” stickers everywhere. Much dissapointment when they ran out. (which they did and shouldn’t have)