Posted on 09/13/2008 6:21:54 AM PDT by Schnucki
During the summer, Barack Obama's calm and confident campaign masterminds were privately talking of a 22-state strategy - targeting nearly half the states in America as "in play".
By the time of the Democratic convention late last month, with national polls showing a tightening race, his campaign manager David Plouffe was still briefing that the Illinois senator was running an 18-state strategy.
But two weeks are a long time in politics. And with John McCain on a roll after his selection of Sarah Palin as running mate and Sen Obama facing unexpected fund-raising challenges, the election map is now effectively down to at most 10 battleground states.
Bold predictions that Georgia, North Carolina, North Dakota, Montana and even Alaska - all of which have voted solidly Republican in recent presidential elections - could be competitive for Mr Obama are now a thing of the past.
After investing heavily during the summer in new offices, staff, voter registration drives and local television advertising, Mr Obama is now slashing spending in those states.
Both he and his Republican rival Sen McCain are targeting their resources on winning or defending swing states where America's changing demographic face is shaping the 2008 election map.
The rapidly-growing Rocky Mountain West states of Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada, where the population is becoming younger and more Hispanic, all went for George W Bush four years ago but have increasingly turned Democratic in elections for senator and governor.
Virginia is another prime Obama prize as the growth in its liberal suburbs around Washington DC and its black population cancel out the traditional Republican majority in much of the state.
His three more challenging targets are Ohio, the decisive state in 2004; Florida, which has become increasingly Republican in recent years; and Indiana, which Mr Bush won by
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
She WILL MORE than TIP the balance....IF the media doesn’t totally DESTROY her!
Its all going to come down to CO, OH, VA, NM..
If you need something to be thankful for today, consider this. Your name isn't Plouffe.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Additionally, be thankful you don't look like a Plouffe, and that you're not supporting a candidate who is a MAJOR plouffe.
Is it Ploof or Ploofee ?
Alaska!?!?!? I'm laughing so hard I can barely type!!!
I would guess that’s a French name, so the correct pronunciation would be “Ploo-fay”.
However, I believe he pronounces it “Ploof”, to rhyme with proof.
“Ploo-fay” would certainly fit better, though.
What about PA?
“Florida, which has become increasingly Republican”
Yeah Baby!
This article lists the following as battleground states:
CO,NM,Nevada,VA,OH,FL,IN,PA,MI and NH
I would say at this point in the Campaign you can add WI definately to the list and WA as well.
I can tell you without question, McCain is going to take OH, FL, IN and VA, without any doubt. Folks are dillusional if they think any of those states are going to go democratic.
NH is definately a potential pick up for Republicans.
And of MI, PA and WI, Fauxbama will lose at least 2 of these. On the ground in PA, I see zero chance Fauxbama will win this state.
I can’t speak to the western states, as I am not familiar with them, other than WA, that so far pundents have believed to be safely dem. I think its a sleeper pick up for R’s.. the blatant theft of the governorship 4 years ago by the dems has caused HUGE outrage on the ground and turn out to vote for the governor who truly won last time will be huge, and it will play up and down the WA ticket.
Fauxbama now has to play a defensive strategy, his only states that look remotely like possible pick ups are IA (and keep an eye on that one folks, McCain being against Ethanol subsidies is the only reason he’s losing there, and while Iowan’s may not like that stand, I think many of them will come to realize, even though they want that federal money its not worth the risks of putting Fauxbama in the white house for it, before election day. And possibly those rocky mountain, southwest states.
THose pick ups are needed as well as HOLDING EVERY KERRY state to have a chance of winning, and its not lining up that way at all.
Fauxbama turned down matching funds, so he can’t moderate his stances without losing income because its the radical leftists funding him, and the more he moves middle trying to win, the less money he’ll have because he’ll be alienating his backers. So his money is drying up at the same time he needs more of it, what he has left will have to be spent trying to defend states that shouldn’t even be in play, and he doesn’t have the temperment or ability to handle being soundly beaten, so he’ll further lash out, become more irrational (to pander to his leftist backers so he can get more money) and further alienate more voters, creating an self feeding downward spiral.
We will know by the time Polls close in MI or WI pretty much know that Fauxbama has lost. Perhaps as early as PA’s closing. This race is not the path of Election night being more about how many seats the republicans will be gaining in the legislature, as to who’s going to win the presidency.
Fauxbama has ZERO momentum anyplace. His desire for this to be a referendum about Bush was a failed strategy from the get go. Not one state has moved toward him at all, not one.. every state that has moved in any polling has moved toward the right, not a single one has moved left. The effects of the Pelosi/Reid leadership are coming home to roost as well. The trifect of Fauxbama/Pelosi & Reid are going to result in the most solid repudiation of Democrats since 1994... and this is at a time when the economy is shaky, the republican president is unpopular and a war is going on that the Press and dems have been trying to turn the people against for 5 years.
If the republicans come out of this with the presidency and gains in the legislature, let alone possibly regaining control of either or both houses, can only be described as the greatest repudiation and rejection of democrats in the history of National politics.
T Minus 53 days until what is looking like a complete and total repudiation of Fauxbama, Pelosi and Reid.
OH and VA are not even a possibility for Fauxbama.
The battleground states are all going to be MUST wins for the dems.
PA,MI,WI are where the real battle is going to play out, any of these states go R, Fauxbama’s done. WI, he might be able to survive with picking up IA, but MI or PA, he can’t make up.
MN and WA are right now within these statistical margin of error, and those are states Fauxbaama cannot lose, he can’t make them up. MN should be a lock for dems, and its not.. WA is a sleeper no one is talking about, but the outrage over the blatant theft of the governorship in 04 there has caused absolute outrage, and you are going to see turnout there to make sure the guy who won in O4 wins, and wins so big even fraud can’t steal it, and that’s going to spill over up and down the ticket for republicans.
These 2 states are going to cause a Fauxbama campaign to have to play defense in states it should not even be worrying about.
Short of some geopolitical event that is unforseen, there is no way Fauxbama is winning this thing, never was. By the end of Sept, early Oct, if things stay the direction they are going, election night will be all about how many senate and house seats the Republicans win, because the the Presidential election will be effectively over.
Fauxbama cannot afford to lose any of those states and hope to win. IN fact, he can’t afford to lose NH either, he must hold everything kerry got, AND take CO, NM, IA to win, and that’s not going to happen.
What say you?
Could hell, she is.
POOfter? Thats more like it.
This was the most prodigious choice of a VP in history. She has given 1 speech and 1 interview for TV and she’s already completely turned the electoral map on hits head. Most VP choices get lauded if they bring in their own home state. It’s all Sarah, all the time in the media and McCain isn’t even getting any media heat. She is delivering the entire election to him on a silver platter.
Is that pronounced "fluff" because that's what Obama's campaign is all about, fluff.
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