Both Udall and Obama are leading in CO by 3. The fates of both McCain and Schaeffer will be tied together. I don’t see how one can win CO without the other.
Bush won CO in ‘04 as the ill-advised lightweight Pete Coors lost.
I can see it going either way (one or the other wins or both win or both lose). Romney got the GOP vote here in the caucus, so if he's chosen as VP, maybe that might tip the balance in McCain's favor. See: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Colorado_Republican_caucuses,_2008 forvote totals.
Udall really needs to put more into ads if possible. I see Schaeffer ads slamming Udall all the time, but honestly cannot think of any from Udall. I've also seen many more Schaeffer signs than Udall signs, fwiw.
You are all forgetting one thing.
The Democratic national Convention will be in Denver. The people of Denver and Colorado will be treated to the biggest hippie freak show since 1968. When the freaks have either left of been bailed out and the people assess the damage done to their fair city you just might find those numbers will change.