This is the third poll showing Dole struggling to stay ahead. To paraphrase Tom Hanks, “Raleigh, we’ve got a problem.”
Dollars-to-doughnuts that Dole will win with at least the obligatory 52% that Helms always got and that Burr got in 2004. 2008 is a presidential year (the last time the RATs won a Senate race in NC in a presidential year was Sam Ervin’s final reelection in 1968), and while Obama’s candidacy will boost Dem turnout in black areas, it will also boost GOP turnout in white areas (excluding white liberal areas, of course).