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Obama grabs superdelegate lead
Politico ^ | May 10th, 2008 | MIKE ALLEN & AVI ZENILMAN

Posted on 05/10/2008 12:03:59 PM PDT by The_Republican

Sen. Barack Obama (D-Ill.) on Friday afternoon seized the superdelegate lead from Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.), giving him command of every aspect of his party’s presidential nomination race.

That constitutes a key milestone in the race and a shocking reversal of fortune for Clinton.

Obama once was behind by more than 100 superdelegates. But according to at least two counts, more superdelegates are now in his camp. Politico’s tally now shows him ahead of her by 270 superdelegates to 268.5, with 208.5 uncommitted. (Superdelegates from U.S. territories count as one-half.) ABC News shows him ahead by two.

Clinton’s longtime connections to the Democratic machinery had given her a longtime lead among the superdelegates, the party officials who have a vote in the nomination and apparently will prove decisive in this race.

Other news organizations have similar counts, with CBS News placing him behind by one and the Associated Press saying he is behind by one-half. NBC News estimates that Clinton is clinging to a slim lead of five superdelegates.

With Rep Rahm Emanuel (D-Ill.) now calling him “the presumptive nominee,” Obama gained nine superdelegates on Friday.

Clinton gained one and lost one.


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; hiladabeasttoast; obama; obamaleads; superdelegates
Obama needs about 65 more Supers before this comes to a close.

Otherwise Hildabeast would ask her "Rules Committee" supporters to reinstate the MI and FL delegates. That changes the math drastically.

As of now, if out of remaining 217 pledge delegates, even in absolute worst nightmare scenario for Obama, he still takes about 95. That would mean Hildabeast gets 122. Adding that 122 to her overall delegate count of 1698 results in 1820 total, leaving her 205 Super Short out of remaining 250-260 Supers.

So percentage of Supers she needs is about 76-82%.

HOWEVER, if MI and FL are seated, the percentage of Superdelegates that she would need to get to 2,208 delegate count to win nomination, will be MUCH lower.

By my estimate about 55-60% (depending on how they distribute the delegates. If Hillary has her way and gets the percentages as they stand now, then my 55-60% number would be correct).

1 posted on 05/10/2008 12:03:59 PM PDT by The_Republican
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To: The_Republican
What's .5 of a superdelegate?
2 posted on 05/10/2008 12:14:05 PM PDT by Blind Eye Jones
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To: Blind Eye Jones

Democrats Abroad.


3 posted on 05/10/2008 12:16:30 PM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: Blind Eye Jones
*** What's .5 of a superdelegate? ***

They're from US Territories, like Guam.
And we all know what Democrats think about "those People", so they're counted as only half a person.

Kinda like their slaves were back in the dems 'Glory Days' of old :-)

4 posted on 05/10/2008 12:28:02 PM PDT by Condor51 (I have guns in my nightstand because a Cop won't fit)
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To: Blind Eye Jones
What's .5 of a superdelegate?

That would be someone like John Kerry - he voted for you before he voted against you.

5 posted on 05/10/2008 12:32:02 PM PDT by GreenHornet
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To: Blind Eye Jones
What's .5 of a superdelegate?
The DNC has designated the Delegates from Democrats Abroad as 1/2 delegate each. Some will tell you it's the Territories but not so.

Democrats Abroad

Date Delegates Selected Each delegate has Total Pledged
Delegate Votes
Total Unpledged
Delegate Votes
15 March to 11 April 9 regional ½ delegate vote 4.5  
12 April 3 at-large ½ delegate vote 1.5  
12 April 2 pledged PLEO ½ delegate vote 1  
Automatic
1 March
8 unpledged PLEO ½ delegate vote   4
Totals 22   7 4

6 posted on 05/10/2008 12:36:58 PM PDT by deport ( -- Cue Spooky Music --)
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To: The_Republican

I don’t think there is any doubt the price Hillary will pay for the super delegates she needs to win. Don’t count her out yet. Others who are no longer with us have counted the Clintons out to their demise.


7 posted on 05/10/2008 12:38:15 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Never confuse polite defferment for submission.)
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To: Maelstorm

Yeah! The ones we don’t speak off. LOL!


8 posted on 05/10/2008 12:42:07 PM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: The_Republican

Fate most certainly has been a friendly ally to the Clintons let us wait till the last act is played. What I do expect to happen provided no one is found in a ditch, has a plane crash, misplaces their heart medication, or suffers a drive by shooting is that the this fight will go down to the wire. The Clintons believe they can rebuild the party even if they destory it to win the nomination. They fully think they can convince Obama to be their lawn jockey in the event they screw him over. I think this is foolish but I’m sure they will go on right till the end. They didn’t come this far from Arkansas to be turned back by a negro. ;-)


9 posted on 05/10/2008 12:50:36 PM PDT by Maelstorm (Never confuse polite defferment for submission.)
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To: All
OBAMA GETS TWO VIRGIN ISLAND SUPER DELEGATE SWITCHERS

Obama picked up two Virgin Islands superdelegates who were previously supporting Clinton, the campaign announced. They are Kevin Rodriguez, who had publicly endorsed Clinton, and Carol Burke, who had been privately considered for Clinton before today. Obama won the Virgin Islands contest overwhelmingly, and Clinton supporters there have been facing increasing pressure to go with Obama.

So far today in the NBC NEWS count, Obama has a net of three to Clinton's negative one. Also expected today are one more add on from Massachusetts and two adds on from Ohio.

The NBC NEWS delegate counts:

PLEDGED: Obama 1,590, Clinton 1,426 SUPERS: Clinton 276.5, Obama 272 TOTAL: Obama 1,862, Clinton 1,702.5

* This leaves 246.5 superdelegates undeclared. Nearly 50 are not yet named. Most will be this month.

* Obama needs 163 to reach 2,025 needed for the nomination.
10 posted on 05/10/2008 1:21:00 PM PDT by The_Republican (Ovaries of the World Unite! Rush, Laura, Ann, Greta - Time for the Ovulation!)
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To: Blind Eye Jones
It isn't over yet and don't count Hillary Rodham Clinton out of the race just yet.

There's plenty of time for her minions to leak out negative information about Barack Hussein Obama. Don't think that's not being discussed.

Barack Hussein Obama has so many skeletons in his closet that a website has been created for them.

The Obama File

11 posted on 05/10/2008 1:39:38 PM PDT by HighlyOpinionated (http://auntiecoosa.blogspot.com -- read, learn, blog, or get out of my way.)
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