[counterpunch]

Lanny is way off here. Obama is not George McGovern.
Here’s there scenario:

In a rare election year with no incumbent President or Vice President from either party, the Democrats are swept up by the eloquent speaking style of an elitist politician from Illinois with a silver tongue who leads a New Politics movement against the old politics, one that happens to be decidedly liberal. His campaign is charged with the promise of change.

Fearing defeat, the Republicans nominate an older, politically moderate war hero with immense national popularity and unassailable integrity.

Sound familiar?
The year is 1952, and the election is Adlai Stevenson vs Dwight D. Eisenhower. The outcome is clear.

[SAJ]

Excepting, of course, for the integrity part.

[Ditto]

I think your's is a good analysis. Not 49 states, but a landslide none-the-less. It's interesting also that the Republican conservatives of the day were unhappy with Ike as well. They preferred Taft.