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Fed Sees Economy Getting Worse
money.cnn.com ^ | April 8, 2008: 2:14 PM EDT | staff

Posted on 04/08/2008 11:25:08 AM PDT by kellynla

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Some members of the Federal Reserve are worried about the possibility of a "severe and protracted downturn" in the U.S. economy, according to the minutes of the central bank's latest minutes released Tuesday.

The minutes show that some Fed policymakers are concerned that the problems in the "housing sector had deepened and that considerable uncertainty surrounded the outlook for housing."

The Fed cut its key federal funds rate by three-quarters of a point at the March 18 meeting, its sixth rate cut since September. The Fed has been cutting rates in an effort to keep the U.S. economy from falling into recession following the meltdown of the subprime mortgage market and resulting credit crunch.

But Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke told Congress last week that a "recession is possible," although he said he believed the economy is still growing slowly.

Despite the growing belief that the economy is already in recession, the presidents of the Dallas and Philadelphia Federal Reserve Banks voted against cutting rates as aggressively, a rare amount of dissent on the central bank.

(Excerpt) Read more at money.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Extended News; Government
KEYWORDS: economy; fed; federalreserve; printmoremoney; subprime
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To: WildcatClan

Bad news sells. Media MO.

Bad news helps make more bad news by creating panic. Economic reality - Human behavior.

Some politicians will themselves quickly jump on the bandwagon of any theme, even to the detriment of national security or our nations economic development, as long as it benefits them.

Yes, you’re right. The Democrats even though in control of Congress more or less, will attempt to portray this as a presidential issue so they can exploit it in the Nov 2008 elections.


41 posted on 04/08/2008 12:46:09 PM PDT by Red6 (Come and take it.)
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To: acoulterfan
So what is going to happen when we get to 0.00% interest rate????

Same thing they have been doing print more money, that is not worth paying interest on.

42 posted on 04/08/2008 12:47:38 PM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: tokenatheist
It requires creative math to get to those numbers.

http://www.bls.gov/CPI/ (Of course this is not as credible as “shadowstats.com”)

43 posted on 04/08/2008 12:53:41 PM PDT by Red6 (Come and take it.)
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To: NeoCaveman
I mean, there should be a lot of people living in cardboard boxes around here somewhere...

They are, but today it is called HUD housing and fema trailers.

44 posted on 04/08/2008 12:53:56 PM PDT by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: Night Hides Not
my husband is loved and CHERISHED more by my family than his own, and he understands that......he brought me flowers a few weeks ago because he knew it was the anniversary of my mom passing...he had tears in his eyes....he liked/loved my folks...

if the economy turns worse, who knows...we may all be living with dads and moms and sistes and brothers and inlaws...like they used to in the "old" days..

45 posted on 04/08/2008 12:54:04 PM PDT by cherry
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To: NeoCaveman; bjs1779
Those stats that show 12% unemployment and the like always crack me up. I mean, there should be a lot of people living in cardboard boxes around here somewhere...

Exactly. LOL.

If unemployment rates need to be adjusted upward to reflect the number of "discouraged workers" out there, then they should also be adjusted downward to reflect all the workers out there who are collecting unemployment checks even though they are perfectly capable of finding a job even in a lousy job market.

I'm sure many of us know people who are "unemployed" right now but who will somehow -- magically! -- find a job right around the time their unemployment benefits expire.

46 posted on 04/08/2008 1:02:02 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (I'm out on the outskirts of nowhere . . . with ghosts on my trail, chasing me there.)
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To: Red6

No - it requires me to review what I have spent on various items each month for the past several years.

It isn’t creative math that leads to that number it is real world empirical data.


47 posted on 04/08/2008 1:06:40 PM PDT by tokenatheist (Can I play with madness?)
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To: Red6
Bad news sells. Media MO. Bad news helps make more bad news by creating panic. Economic reality - Human behavior.

That's exactly right.

Maybe some of you out there have noticed that we've been mired in a "housing crisis" for as long as I can remember. When the housing market is strong, the "housing crisis" involves all those people who can't afford to buy a home. When the housing market collapses, the "housing crisis" affects all those people whose homes are declining in value.

Why doesn't anyone point out that "Crisis" #1 is solved when "Crisis" #2 hits, and vice versa?

48 posted on 04/08/2008 1:06:44 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (I'm out on the outskirts of nowhere . . . with ghosts on my trail, chasing me there.)
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To: tokenatheist
If 90% is media hype why am I paying a lot more at the grocery store and at the gas pump?

1. There's still a grocery store.

2. There's still a gas pump.

3. You aren't stealing your groceries and your gasoline . . . you're paying for them.

49 posted on 04/08/2008 1:07:58 PM PDT by Alberta's Child (I'm out on the outskirts of nowhere . . . with ghosts on my trail, chasing me there.)
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To: RegulatorCountry
Without it, it’s going to be rough going for them to refi or buy a house

Not really. Hand the bank 2 years of federal tax returns and it's no longer a "stated income" loan.

50 posted on 04/08/2008 1:10:43 PM PDT by nicola_tesla
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To: NeoCaveman

I guess you haven’t heard about the millions that do live in cardboard shacks, old campers, old trailers, vans and the like. Yes, the media doesn’t speak about them much these days. Just a couple of weeks ago there was a thread on FR about the ones in Orange County.

On any given night in America, anywhere from 700,000 to 2 million people are homeless, according to estimates of the National Law Center on Homelessness and Poverty.
On any given night in America, anywhere from 700,000 to 2 million people are homeless, according to estimates of the National Law Center on Homelessness and Poverty.


51 posted on 04/08/2008 1:11:10 PM PDT by B4Ranch ( Rope, Tree & Traitor; Some Assembly Required || Gun Control Means Never Having To Say I Missed You)
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To: tokenatheist
Have I ever told you that 49.345725% of all statistics are just outright meaningless or made up?
52 posted on 04/08/2008 1:11:26 PM PDT by Red6 (Come and take it.)
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To: bjs1779
Skip Navigation Links   Latest Numbers
DOL Seal - Link to DOL Home Page
Photos representing the workforce - Digital Imageryý copyright 2001 PhotoDisc, Inc.
 www.bls.gov  Advanced Search | A-Z Index
Change Output Options: From:   To:     
include graphs NEW!
Data extracted on: April 8, 2008 (4:19:17 PM)
Labor Force Statistics from the Current Population Survey

Series Id:           LNS12000000
Seasonal Adjusted
Series title:        (Seas) Employment Level
Labor force status:  Employed
Type of data:        Number in thousands
Age:                 16 years and over
Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Annual
1998 130726 130807 130814 131209 131325 131244 131329 131390 131986 131999 132280 132602  
1999 133027 132856 132947 132955 133311 133378 133414 133591 133707 133993 134309 134523  
2000 136559(1) 136598 136701 137270 136630 136940 136531 136662 136893 137088 137322 137614  
2001 137778 137612 137783 137299 137092 136873 137071 136241 136846 136392 136238 136047  
2002 135701 136438 136177 136126 136539 136415 136413 136705 137302 137008 136521 136426  
2003 137417(1) 137482 137434 137633 137544 137790 137474 137549 137609 137984 138424 138411  
2004 138463(1) 138529 138421 138674 138848 139174 139565 139585 139500 139756 140245 140138  
2005 140224(1) 140354 140563 141244 141597 141708 142055 142457 142429 142613 142564 142778  
2006 143086(1) 143362 143619 143791 144088 144369 144295 144671 144846 145395 145583 145949  
2007 145915(1) 145888 146145 145713 145913 146087 146045 145753 146260 146016 146647 146211  
2008 146248(1) 145993 145969                    
1 : Data affected by changes in population controls.

Back to Top Back to Top www.dol.gov
 
 

Our population is over 300 million. Our real unemployment rate is over 50%!!!

53 posted on 04/08/2008 1:21:30 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are doom and gloomers, union members and liberals so bad at math?)
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To: B4Ranch
We're doomed. I blame the foreign owners of the Federal Reserve, especially the ........ you know.
54 posted on 04/08/2008 1:24:16 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Why are doom and gloomers, union members and liberals so bad at math?)
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To: Red6

I dunno. Being in the banking sector I kind of get to see first hand what’s going on in terms of widespread layoffs. And, no, it’s not all the subprime lending folks that are out of work. In fact, none of the people I know that lost jobs are even in residential lending. We are talking commercial bankers who were making loans with very low default rates, minimal risk and, believe it or not, good profitability records. We are also talking about the support staff that goes along with making and servicing those loans.

There are certain sectors that are seriously hurting, much of which is the fault of crappy management. But the people hurting are still paying the price, and the income we are not getting means we aren’t spending as much. And that leads to additional pain in other sectors over time.

Funny thing is, if I wanted to I could actually get a job making residential mortgages tomorrow, and that’s the beast that triggered this whole mess.


55 posted on 04/08/2008 1:39:34 PM PDT by SlapHappyPappy
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To: Abathar

Your in-laws must be related to my ex-in-laws. They said the same thing when we moved. Funny thing is, that time we were furthest away from them, with the least direct contact, was our happiest time together.

When we relocated again, and they spent more time visiting because they liked our new location, our marriage went down the tubes pretty quickly. While not the sole issue, it sure was a contributing factor.

(Sorry for the threadjack.)


56 posted on 04/08/2008 1:44:20 PM PDT by SlapHappyPappy
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To: Red6

Words have meaning.

So does the phrase “arbitrary definitions”.


57 posted on 04/08/2008 1:45:10 PM PDT by SlapHappyPappy
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To: kellynla


We both agree: when a recession might happen, RAISING TAXES is the answer!

Of course, when a recession is unlikely, we think RAISING TAXES is the answer.

And of course, if we're in the middle of a recession, RAISING TAXES is the answer.

There is nothing RAISING TAXES can't fix.

58 posted on 04/08/2008 1:45:45 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Our population is over 300 million. Our real unemployment rate is over 50%!!!

That looks to be a pretty fair way of putting it. I wonder how many government statisticians the taxpayers could get off their backs that way?

59 posted on 04/08/2008 1:49:23 PM PDT by bjs1779
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To: Alberta's Child
If unemployment rates need to be adjusted upward to reflect the number of "discouraged workers" out there, then they should also be adjusted downward to reflect all the workers out there who are collecting unemployment checks even though they are perfectly capable of finding a job even in a lousy job market."

Fair enough. Can I then eliminate government parasite jobs as a real job

60 posted on 04/08/2008 1:53:48 PM PDT by bjs1779
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