Connecticut, New York, New Jersey, Missouri, and Arizona.
Plus leads in proportional states including Illinois, Georgia, Tennessee, Alabama, Minnesota, and Oklahoma.
The best Mitt can do is Utah, split California, maybe Colorado, maybe Montana, Massachusetts.
Missouri is still up for grabs.
Minnesota is a caucus state so polls don’t really matter.
Tennessee is very close as is Alabama, and Huckabee actually leads in Georgia.
Romney will take Utah and Mass, and he can conceivable do very well in the 6 caucus states of Colorado, Minnesota, West Virginia, Alaska, North Dakota and Montana.
McCain will in all likelihood be ahead by 150-200 delegates, but still within striking distance at the end of the day.
Connecticut:29 Total Delegates: 15 Congressional District & 14 At Large Format: Primary Delegates bound for 1 ballot. Congressional district and at-large delegates are elected at the state committee meeting. Delegates are allocated on a winner-take-all basis to the candidate receiving the most votes in the primary.
New York: 101 Total Delegates: 87 Congressional District & 14 At Large, Delegates not bound. Each presidential candidate must file a full slate of delegates with the State Board of Elections before the primary. The candidate receiving the most votes in the primary is entitled to have his slate of congressional district and alternate delegates become the delegates to the national convention.
New Jersey: 52 Total Delegates: 39 Congressional District & 13 At Large. Delegates not bound. Congressional district and at-large delegates are elected at the primary. Delegates are not bound by the presidential preference primary held on the same day.
Missouri: 58 Total Delegates: 27 Congressional District & 31 At Large. Delegates Bound for 1 Ballot. Congressional district delegates are elected by congressional district caucuses, and at-large delegates are elected by the state convention. Delegates are allocated on a winner-take-all basis to the presidential candidate receiving the most votes statewide in the primary.
Arizona:52 Total Delegates: 24 Congressional District & 28 At Large Format: Caucus/Convention Delegates not bound. Delegates are elected by the state convention. Delegates are not bound to support any presidential candidate.
JohnnyZ, Mitt has a 19-point lead in Colorado. No maybe about it. He’ll win Montana. And mark my words: he WILL win Arizona. Tennessee has been steadily trending Romney, as well.
We shall see. This Tennesseean is voting his way.