We’ve been having a discussion about this, Richard. It Obama beats her in big enough numbers, I suspect there will be great pressure on the super delegates to jump ship. The pressure, threats, and bribery from the Clintonistas on them must be intense behind the scenes. If Obama looks like he will deserve the nomination, but the Clintonistas stand in the way, there will be warfare by the Dem’s black base.
So what states does Hillary lose on February 5, Super Tuesday?
If she wins a few big ones even by small majorities, I think she is in. Will Edwards still be in the race on February 5?
your scenario would be ideal for us in my opinion.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
Clinton arranges a hit on Obama, blames white supremacists, and stirs the black vote to "retaliate."
Easy stuff really.
Except that the black vote will go to Hillary, not Obama.
That's right, Doug. There is no way on God's Green Earth that if Obama were to win decisively through Super Tuesday that these super delegates will not mostly jump ship. It is simply too hard to believe that this various mix of governors, senators, congressman etc. will in essense blacklist themselves in future elections by defying the "will of the people" or more precisely "the base" by taking a beaten Hillary and pulling her from the ashes.
Only if Hillary, in losing, has been essentially neck-in-neck in the primaries but couldn't seal most of the deals would such a scenario be even remotely acted upon.
And I can guarantee you that if such a move was taken the base would demand a retraction AND would demand an end to the super delgate status.
The idea of a super delegate posse riding to the rescue seems only possible if a true outsider with no political experience (celebrity with $, billionare with ambition, etc) was to trounce the those with the standard political pedigree.
I say this because the idea of a volatile convention is anethema to the base.
No way. They'll stay on the "plantation." Look at the way they rolled over with Pelosi's appointment as speaker of the house, as well as the other major appointments they never got. Hillary, McAuliff, et all know that they have nothing to worry about. The race pimps will keep the people they claim to represent rooting for scraps, because it keeps them in thousand dollar suits.
Mark