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Benazir's Death: Army, ISI Keep Low Profile
South Asia Analysis Group ^ | 01-Jan.-2008 | B. Raman

Posted on 01/01/2008 4:06:38 AM PST by sukhoi-30mki

Paper no. 2530

01-Jan.-2008

Benazir's Death: Army, ISI Keep Low Profile -

International Terrorism Monitor: Paper No. 341

by B. Raman

The Pakistan Army and Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) have been maintaining a discreet silence on the assassination of Mrs. Benazir Bhutto by as yet unidentified elements at Rawalpindi on December 27,2007. Gen. Ashfaq Pervez Kiyani, the Chief of the Army Staff (COAS), was on a visit to Army establishments in Karachi at the time of her assassination. He immediately cancelled his engagements and returned to Rawalpindi. He and his officers in the General Headquarters (GHQ) as well as in the ISI have avoided any comments or statements or background briefings for the media on her killing. Gen. Kiyani is keeping a tight control over his officers in order to ensure that they do not add to the messy sequel as a result of the loose talk emanating from the Ministry of the Interior, which was responsible for her protection.

2. Most of the controversy relating to the circumstances surrounding her killing, the cause of her death and the alleged responsibility of Baitullah Mehsud for her death, which has been denied by a spokesman of Baitullah, has been caused by the retired Army officers, who were inducted into the Ministry of the Interior and the Police by Gen. Pervez Musharraf after he seized power in 1999.After coming to power, Musharraf had inducted a large number of retired military officers into the police of the provinces as well as into the Intelligence Bureau (IB), which is part of the Interior Ministry, and into the Ministry itself. He appointed Brig. (retd) Ijaz Shah, who was the Home Secretary of Punjab at the time of the kidnapping and murder of Daniel Pearl, the US journalist, in January-February, 2002, as the Director of the IB. Omar Sheikh, the principal accused in the Pearl case, had surrendered to him in Lahore when he was the Home Secretary.

3. Musharraf also inducted Brig. (retd) Javed Iqbal Cheema, another crony of his, into the Interior Ministry and made him in charge of the crisis management cell in the Ministry, which also co-ordinates counter-terrorism actions and investigations. Many other retired military officers were inducted at different levels of the Ministry and the IB. Of course, Mr.Nawaz Sharif also, as the Prime Minister (1990-93), had made Brig. (retd) Imtiaz, a highly controversial retired army officer known for his dislike of Benazir, as the DIB, but there was no systematic militarisation of the IB under Nawaz, similar to what one had been seeing under Musharraf.

4. As a consequence of Musharraf's policy of militarisation of the Police and the IB, there was a steep fall in the professionalism of these agencies. They were neither able to prevent the increasing number of acts of suicide terrorism nor successfully detect them. The number of acts of suicide terrorism have shot up from six in 2006 to 55 in 2007, including the one involving the murder of Benazir. Most of them have so far remained undetected.

5. The police in Rawalpindi, where she was killed, come under the dual control of the Ministry of the Interior and the Punjab Government, both hotbeds of Zia-ul-Haq loyalists. Chaudhury Pervez Elahi, who was the Chief Minister of Punjab till December, 2007, and his cousin Chaudhury Shujjat Hussain, who is the leader of the pro-Musharraf Pakistan Muslim League (Qaide Azam), have always been bitter enemies of the Bhutto family. Ijaz Shah and Lt. Gen.(retd) Hamid Gul, who was the Director-General of the ISI for some months during her first tenure as the Prime Minister (1988 to 90), are also known Zia loyalists.

6. There are presently not many remnants of the coterie of Zia loyalists among the serving senior officers (Lt. Gens. and above) of the Army and the ISI. Most of the remnants are to be found in the Ministry of the Interior, the IB and the Punjab administration. That is why Benazir apprehended a threat to her security to emanate from these elements. In a letter to Musharraf written before she returned to Pakistan on October 18,2007, she had allegedly named three in particular---- Ijaz Shah, Pervez Elahi and Hamid Gul. Musharraf disregarded her allegations and concerns and entrusted the responsibility for her security to the very elements from which she apprehended a threat to her security.

7. A careful reading of the comments of Mr. Asif Ali Zardari, her husband, and other leaders of the Pakistan People's Party (PPP), known to have been close to her, would indicate that they have been taking care not to implicate the Army and the ISI as institutions in her murder. Instead, they have been directing the needle of suspicion at the persons named by her.

8. There has been a steady infiltration of Al Qaeda and pro-Al Qaeda elements at the lower and middle levels of the Army and the Air Force and into the GHQ itself. Al Qaeda and pro-Al Qaeda organisations were unhappy with her statements that she would allow US troops to hunt for bin Laden in Pakistani territory and the International Atomic Energy Agency at Vienna to interrogate A. Q. Khan, the nuclear scientist. Benazir and her associates were aware of the threat to her security from these Al Qaeda and pro-Al Qaeda organisations such as the Jaish-e-Mohammad and the anti-Shia Lashkar-e-Jhangvi (LEJ), but they strongly believed that these organisations would not be able to carry out their threat without the complicity of the Zia loyalists in the physical security apparatus.

9. While there is no evidence so far of any active complicity by the Zia loyalists, there is clear-cut evidence of glaring negligence in physical security, which made the assassination possible. In their frantic efforts to cover up their responsibility for her death, the retired military officers in the Interior Ministry and the Police----particularly Javed Iqbal Cheema--- have been disseminating one contradictory version after another. During an interaction with the media on December 31, 2007, Mr. Mohammadmian Soomro, the caretaker Prime Minister, is reported to have indicated his embarrassment over the clumsy manner in which Cheema had handled the sequel to her killing. But, intriguingly, Musharraf has remained silent in the midst of all this controversy and not taken any action against these officers.

(The writer is Additional Secretary (retd), Cabinet Secretariat, Govt. of India, New Delhi, and, presently, Director, Institute For Topical Studies, Chennai. E-mail: seventyone2@gmail.com)


TOPICS: Extended News; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bhutto; india; isi; pakistan; pakistaniarmy

1 posted on 01/01/2008 4:06:39 AM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: claudiustg; Allegra

This article will help you understand the players and how they interact....like I said its the most infuriating bunch of people you will ever come across.


2 posted on 01/01/2008 9:26:36 AM PST by Dog
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To: sukhoi-30mki; Dog; Allegra
Thanks! Point 9 in particular helps explain some of the dopiness of the explanation of the cause of death.

Saying that she died of a head injury during an assassination attempt sounds a lot better than saying she was shot in the head on the very doorstep of the Pakistani military and that they didn’t have a clue as to what was about to happen and no idea of who was behind it.

In the press release where they reversed themselves, they were still blaming Bhutto, saying that she would have been fine if she had just stayed inside the vehicle.

3 posted on 01/01/2008 12:11:10 PM PST by claudiustg (You know it. I know it. I'm optimittstic!)
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To: claudiustg
There is now an article out claiming the Pakistani government is standing by the Bhutto hitting her head on the lever story.

http://www.ndtv.com/convergence/ndtv/story.aspx?id=NEWEN20080037447&ch=1/1/2008%207:47:00%20PM

4 posted on 01/01/2008 5:53:16 PM PST by Dog
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To: claudiustg

If the military were indeed responsible for offing her,they would have killed her anyway-even if she had her head inside the vehicle.That’s the reach of the army & it’s sidekick,the ISI.


5 posted on 01/01/2008 8:40:16 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: Dog

Maybe they read my post! :^)


6 posted on 01/01/2008 8:46:52 PM PST by claudiustg (You know it. I know it. I'm optiMITTstic!)
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To: claudiustg; Dog

That’s Pakistan for you.They feign incompetence to cover up what they are really upto.It’s the only place in the world where a single civilian supposedly sold secrets from a strictly military run & monitored nuclear programme.


7 posted on 01/01/2008 8:48:52 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: sukhoi-30mki

Maybe the theory is that if people are arguing about what happened they won’t be asking who made it happen. I’m afraid it’s just over my head. These guys are too clever for me.


8 posted on 01/01/2008 8:50:13 PM PST by claudiustg (You know it. I know it. I'm optiMITTstic!)
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To: claudiustg

Exactly-It’s a tactic that they have used frequently.They use supposed helplessness & confusion to cover their tracks.The ISI is potrayed as a semi-rogue entity independent of all control,while in reality it’s officers & funding are almost entirely from the military.You see it in their handling of the Pashtun & nuclear issue.

That being said,I still don’t think that Musharraf or the senior officer corp of the Army had a direct role in any of this(barring providing poor security)-but that view is increasingly under threat.


9 posted on 01/01/2008 8:53:45 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: Dog
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1945779/posts?page=57#57
10 posted on 01/01/2008 8:57:55 PM PST by shield (A wise man's heart is at his RIGHT hand;but a fool's heart at his LEFT. Ecc 10:2)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

-—If the military were indeed responsible for offing her,they would have killed her anyway-even if she had her head inside the vehicle.-—

You could hit it with an M-72 LAW. Easy to conceal and deploy. At 50 meters it would be like shooting fish in a barrel. Any 2nd floor window along her route would do.


11 posted on 01/01/2008 9:00:49 PM PST by claudiustg (You know it. I know it. I'm optiMITTstic!)
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To: claudiustg

Such weapons leave behind a trail which will go back to the army & no one else.

The Pakistani army built up the Taliban & terrorist groups against India-both these groups routinely use suicide bombings against their targettings.Do you think that it would have been difficult for the army to outsource the hit to some of these proteges????Assuming that hey indeed did it,which is not clear.


12 posted on 01/01/2008 9:08:50 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: sukhoi-30mki

These things have been around since the 60s. They can be had through various channels. A ton of them must have gone into Afghanistan over the years. Or just buy some stolen one’s that lead away from Pakistan.

http://spyingbadthings.blogspot.com/2007/09/m-72-rockets-still-threat-to-apec.html

“WHEN George W. Bush flies into Sydney tonight, one very awkward question will be in the minds of Australian security staff: where are the [US made M-72 Light Anti-tank Weapon (LAW)] rocket launchers? [see my earlier post of January 6, 2007 on the same matter]

The failure to be able to answer that question comes at the end of one of the most extraordinary searches seen in this country - involving, at different times, up to 30 officers from ASIO, the Australian Federal Police and NSW Police.

APEC has always been a deadline to find the weapons - people don’t take rocket launchers to hold up the corner store so whoever knows where they are is almost certainly prepared to use them to cause major damage.

The fact that there are nine rocket launchers believed to be in the vicinity of Sydney as a meeting of world leaders begins has meant in recent months this operation has become one of the highest priorities of ASIO.

It is one of the reasons Australian and US security advisers are insistent that protesters will be at least 300m from the President at all times.

Theoretically, the launchers can fire from that distance but an amateur would generally be able to fire them only 125m.

The most worrying aspect of the weapons is that they are concealable - when folded, they are about 67cm, which means they can fit into a backpack. They can be painted any colour to blend with carry bags.

The M-72 launchers are designed to carry warheads that can cut through metal with a small hole, then explode. The warheads are designed for a “blast effect”. They are often used in warfare to attack bunkers, as they cause maximum damage.

The nine rocket launchers were in a batch of 10 allegedly stolen from a private storage facility at Orchard Hills in Sydney’s west in 2002. Security agencies believe they were then placed in PVC piping and buried in the national park between Sydney and Wollongong.

Various parks around Sydney have been excavated in the search for the rockets.

This has led to some remarkable sights: any bushwalkers who came across the search would have witnessed night-time scenes resembling a movie set. They would have confronted ASIO and AFP officers watching the rescue squad of the NSW Police using generators, lighting equipment and metal detectors.

And as no outside labour was used because of the sensitivity of the operation, they would have seen police officers digging with shovels.

Even a specialist dog squad - the Firearms and Explosion Detection Dogs - has been brought into the forests in the hope of smelling remnants of the rocket launchers. But the PVC piping has probably ensured the launchers are giving off no smell and are protected from soil and water.
The saga has shown a new and disturbing phenomenon - a blurring of the line between alleged organised crime and religious terrorism. It began in 2002 when 10 rocket launchers were allegedly stolen from an army base near Sydney (one has been found). Police claim that after the launchers were stolen, they were sold to bikie gangs.

They were allegedly then sold to an organised crime gang run by Lebanese Australians, which sold them to Lebanese Australian Islamic fundamentalists.

Authorities fear such a group could be enlisted to supply weapons to would-be terrorists on a regular basis.

“On this occasion, everyone got what they wanted,” said a source involved in the investigation.

The pressure to find the weapons has been extraordinary - the special ASIO/AFP/NSW Police team has frequently been asked about their success. Their masters have not been happy.

Army ammunitions technician officer Shane Malcolm Della-Vedova, 46, of Wattle Grove, near Holsworthy Barracks in Sydney, and former soldier Dean Steven Taylor, 39, of Mount Annan, in southwest Sydney, were charged with offences relating to the theft.

The two were arrested in April this year after simultaneous raids on their homes.

Police alleged Della-Vedova sold one of the rocket launchers in 2003 through a member of the Rebels outlaw motorcycle gang. The weapon was then allegedly passed on to Sydney gun dealer Taha Abdul Rahman, of Casula.

One month later, Della-Vedova allegedly sold the remaining rockets to Rahman, later charged for his role in the deal. He allegedly sold them to Sydney underworld figure Adnan Darwiche, who police claim passed them to terror suspect Mohammad Elomar.”


13 posted on 01/01/2008 9:29:54 PM PST by claudiustg (You know it. I know it. I'm optiMITTstic!)
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To: sukhoi-30mki; claudiustg

Its called plausible deniability. Pak did the same thing during the Kargill war when they pretended that the army had nothing to do with the “freedom fighters”. clinton correctly called their bluff. Unfortunately Bush is married himself to Mush and protects him regardless of what Mush does.


14 posted on 01/02/2008 12:15:07 AM PST by Arjun (Skepticism is good. It keeps you alive.)
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