“John Bolton said tonight on the O’Reilly factor that he thinks that there is a agenda in this latest NIE report and he knows the people with agenda who wrote this report.”
I heard that, too
When this report came out I was furious.... it just had to be the liberal career analyst’s attempt at 11th hour subterfuge of Bush’s foreign policy goals.... either that or a coordinated ruse to give the USS Truman’ strike force a small degree of operational surprise.
Then I swung to the other extreme..... with reports of the Russian fuel rods being sealed and ready for transport to the Bushehr, the time had arrived for Bush to strike or punt..... the one thing this pacifist report accomplishes is it gives Bush political cover NOT to fulfill his promise of taking out Bushehr before it goes critical. Now Bush can point to this report as tying his hands from finally acting......
.....having slept on it now.... I have another theory.
Its still no coincidence that this declassified report was released the day after the Fuel Rods were sealed and the Truman made it a threesome in the Arabian Sea.
This report has caused an “Oh S%$t” moment in the Capitals of Israel, Europe, The Gulf Arabs, and Turkey.....they were all counting on the US to do the dirty work again..... this report lit a fire under their arses.
What was going to happen if the US destroyed the Mullah’s Nuclear and Military infrastructure in an unprovoked attack?
Not only was the American Left going to go apes$*t..... but the entire world was going to ostracize us for doing the right thing.
What was Iran planning to do in response? They were going to lob long-range missiles and Hezbos at Israel (which any damage caused would be seen as our fault).... and they were going to use their shorter-range assets to swarm US naval assets in the Gulf..... and also target allied bases in Kuwait, Bahrain, Iran, and Qatar. (any collateral civilian damage they caused would be blamed on us as well)
NOW..... this pretty much assures an Israeli strike on at least Bushehr..... they have to..... their survival hinges on it. They have already started the “our intelligence is different, and we have to act on our intelligence” rhetoric..... and there appears to be a sudden rift between America and Israel.
There have been rumors of Israel being told “you’re own your own” since Cheney visited the region a few months back. Suppose Bush knew that the fuel rods leaving Russia was going to be the trigger for an Israeli strike on Bushehr. He has this report released.... makes a public spectacle of our new position, and the political rift with Israel. (He’s planning a trip to Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, and Ramallah?). Has the Mullahs and Liberals hailing this change of attitude, mocking him for having his hands tied.......... and the Israel attacks Bushehr.
We join the chorus of Arab and European cowards immediately condemning Israel....... WHAT IS IRAN GOING TO DO NOW?
Assuming they dont have an operational Ukrainian nuke, they are going to lob a large portion of the long-range conventional warheads at Israel (Dimona?), and Israel’s Patriot and Arrow batteries are going to intercept them over Jordan.....the world clamors for a ceasefire.
But the Iranians have been gearing up for years for a short-range response in the Gulf. Are they still going to launch attacks against US interests in the region? You know they’re gonna wanna. They’ve waited all their lives for this moment to attack the great Satan.
Let say we just happen to have a soft target of opportunity floating around just outside Iranian waters.....are they going to be able to resist attacking it? We’re an innocent 3rd party now...... we are condemning Israel and calling for calm like everyone else.....and the Iranians just attacked us first (real or fabricated) ........is that the moral high ground I see off to starboard?
Well we just have to something about that wont we.....cause we’re the innocent victims of Iranian aggression now. What do the liberals and the UN expect us to do .... not respond with total devastation?? What idiot in congress would oppose a response to such an unprovoked attack in an election year?
Its a win-win situation. Either we get to sit back and watch Israel, with perhaps some European, Arab, or Turkish assistance, take care of the problem for us....or we get to open up a can of return fire across Persia and no one can reasonably complain.