Posted on 11/16/2007 11:26:30 AM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
A new Gallup poll of the national Republican race shows Rudy Giuliani's support slipping to its lowest level since before he entered the race. The survey of self-identified Republicans and Republican leaners has Giuliani leading the GOP contest with 28 percent – down from 34 percent in the Gallup survey taken two weeks ago. Fred Thompson is second with 19 percent, John McCain is third with 13 percent, Mitt Romney is fourth with 12 percent, and Mike Huckabee is fifth with ten percent.
Giuliani's support reached its highest point in Gallup polls, 49 percent, in March. In the months since, it has moved around in the mid- to low-30s range. Of the other candidates, McCain is down a bit from recent Gallup polls, while Huckabee's ten percent is three points higher than it has ever been before. Finally, Ron Paul is at five percent, which matches his previous high point, reached last month.
His advertisements on the FNC are probably helping too.
Survey Methods
These results are based on telephone interviews with a randomly selected national sample of 398 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, conducted Nov. 11-14, 2007. For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum error attributable to sampling and other random effects is ±5 percentage points. In addition to sampling error, question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of public opinion polls.
Which is exactly why I give all these polls ZERO consideration.
So many polls, so many different takes on them. The good news is the polls will be meaningless shortly. As for Fred, just keep fighting, keep pushing forward.
The poll covered Nov 11-14. I don’t know how much the NRTL endorsement can be figured into the results.
Still, its good news for Fred and bad news for Rooty.
Who exactly do you think would be the brokers?
Fred’s surge has begun.
Just don't expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike "Open borders for Jesus" Huckabee surgelette.
Keep an eye on Iowa, where Fred has committed a boatload of money to advertising.
Which is a reversal in Fred's polling trend. It seems that all this year, Fred has polled stronger on RAS than any of the other polls. Now we see Fred polling better on Gallup than RAS.
Does it really mean anything?
Rudy and Mitt are about to meet a brick wall named Fred.
Today, no...but let’s see what the next week brings.
Should read “Thompson closing in on crossdresser”
RAS is a tighter poll, of people really paying attention.
Gallup and Fox polls are cr8p, they are polling people who will never vote in the primary.
Fred Thompson ‘08!
To be straight here, how does Freds’ number look at Rasmussen? Because that is the one that we’ve been touting this whole time, and frankly I’ve never put much stock into Gallup.
“Just don’t expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike “Open borders for Jesus” Huckabee surgelette.”
I actually saw what looked to be families walking around Lacey, Wa (Olympia Junior) this morning with Huckabee ballons and t-shirts and picket signs.
In a state this liberal, he’s about as conservative as the people will support.
Wait, haven’t we seen articles in the last week saying...
Senator Thompson is finished,
Governor Romney is a Shoe-In,
Mayor Guliani is cooked,
Governor Huckabee has taken control of the race...
I’m so so confused .. sigh.
That is, in my estimation, most decidedly NOT a good thing.
“This race is wide open. All Candidates have their positives and negatives. My guess is a brokered convention.”
My guess is that Thompson takes every southern state with the exception of Florida, and then selects a Veep from one of the other nominees not-named-Rudy.
“Just don’t expect to hear about it in the media like the Mike “Open borders for Jesus” Huckabee surgelette.”
Oh man, that’s good! I’m gonna steal that and make of logo of some kind. Awesome....”Open Borders For Jesus”....I like it! The perfect anti-Huck slogan!
McCain seems to be surging of late. I think his mom has really brought him back from the dead.
Fasten your seatbelt, FRiend : )
“and Republican-leaning independents “
TRANSLATION: Liberal Dems who would LOVE to see JulieAnnie on the Republican Ticket even though they have no intention of voting for him. Just having him there is assurance that if Hilldebeast doesn’t make it, another lib will.
LOL!
"Rudy Breaks a Heel in Dash to Nomination"
"Fred Tugging at Rudy's Skirt"
The national polls are interesting, but the only ones that really matter right now are the early primary states. If the current polls hold, Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, then we'll see what happens in South Carolina where polls seem to be all over the map. Beyond SC, Rudy leads in Florida, Nevada and Michigan, California, PA, and New Jersey, but Romney is close in a few of those states. He'll need to pick off at least a couple to reverse Rudy's momentum.
Every Southern State without Florida, and with Rudy taking the NE, California, and assorted other states, equals a Rudy tooty, fresh and fruity, GOP nomination.
100% correct.
Looks like DH is getting nowhere. That’s depressing because I find the rest between uninspiring and terribly flawed. Looks like I’ll be casting an unenthusiastic vote (once again) in just under a year. The good news is that I can always find good congressional and/or senate candidates to support in some fashion.
Rass is a robo poll I believe. That means it takes a few days for a change to register in the poll. Ex. Friday’s polling showing up on Monday. It’s a running average, like RCP’s. We’ll know in a few days if any bump occured for Thompson in Rass just for the endorsement of the NRTL alone.
I’ll admit the Gallop poll surprises me a bit.
I’m not really looking for a bump as a result of the endorsement. It may happen, but what I suspect it will do (and needs to do) is stop the hemorraging. If it does that, it means they’ll have 3-4 weeks to campaign their butts off along with the help of the NRTL’s membership (the real reason the endorsement is a big help is the colaition they bring into the equasion). A momentary bump in the polls isn’t what I want. I want to see if their membership responds to the coming mailings, commercials, phone calls and door to door soldiers I expect to be amping up.
“Every Southern State without Florida, and with Rudy taking the NE, California, and assorted other states, equals a Rudy tooty, fresh and fruity, GOP nomination”
That would be a valid strategy....if Rudy locked up the rest of the nation. He wont. He’ll split New England with Romney, and he’ll lose most of the midwest to Romney. He might get California, but he might also lose that to McCain. As it stands, I think Thompson has the potential to garner the most primary votes as a block with his southern strategy. When all is said and done, Rudy might actually come in third place in terms of primary states he wins.
It is going to be near impossible to replace our current CinC......But are base needs to come together Nov 08 and make certain we do not allow the ilk of the Democrat leadership in power, in the position of CinC of this great nation, at this current time in history.
So Rudy has almost a ten point lead nationally.
If the article said anything else, nothing was as important.
I like that scenario.
I don’t see Romney being that strong, but I can see how that Fred might come out on top if he is.
Don’t count Fred out in the Midwest.
All bad news for Rudi is good news for conservatives, even more for so-cons.
My guess is that Thompson takes every southern state with the exception of Florida, and then selects a Veep from one of the other nominees not-named-Rudy.
I would suspect that he better take more than the south or is that enough? Conservatives do believe that the South is all we need but I just think we need more to win the entire thing. Do Fred only need five states to win????
I saw where your son endorsed Ron Paul. He was read the riot act by a couple of people.
Here’s a good news thread for the StopRudy ping list.
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Why the smart money is on Duncan Hunter
Self ^ | 11/11/07 | Kevmo
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1926032/posts
Posted on 11/15/2007 3:43:17 AM PST by Kevmo
I’m hoping this goes to the convention and Duncan Hunter gets the nomination on the 59th ballot.
ping
here = hear when my fingers are working properly.
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