“What are his prospects next year? This election saw approx 40% turnout.”
Off-year election turnouts are always low; but it should remain a concern for 2008.
I worked very hard for Bush in 2004, and in spite of him still losing my state (NJ) I know how much effort went into boosting GOP turnout and how close the race was. If it had not been for the national volunteer effort to get that turnout, I think Bush would have lost in 2004.
I think we lost Congressional seats in 2006 not because of any successful message that caused GOPers to cross the party line to the Dims, but because many conservatives thought staying home or voting third party was rightful punishment for their own party, on the issues of illegal-immigration and spending. That was stupid, look what it gained - Reid and Pelosi!!!
I also believe that GOP turnout could be greatly increased and actually expanded. All one needs to do in any state is look at the % of residents in the state who are not even registered. On issues like illegal-immigration alone, many of the unregistered could be signed up for the GOP.
As far as McConnel goes, I really like the guy. You need to take your concern, contact his office and get involved; ask how you can help, do what you can and actively encourage others.