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Thompson Tanking in Futures Markets (Intrade, IEM)
Intrade; Iowa Electronic Markets ^ | October 31, 2008

Posted on 10/31/2007 1:17:10 PM PDT by Plutarch

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To: SierraWasp
Hey! Who is that RROF_NOM in pink that dropped like a rock in the middle of the graph? Is that Paul?

I was wondering myself, so I looked it up.

RROF_NOM stands for Republican Convention Rest of Field and represents all candidates not separately listed in this market.

Stuff like this is why Intrade has it all over IEM. IEM has been around for a long time, and has hardly changed a whit. It looks like some professor's website from the 1990's, because that's what it is.

61 posted on 10/31/2007 4:53:58 PM PDT by Plutarch
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To: txflake; Grampa Dave
The BIG question is will the Repub's newly elected candid candidate have James Baker to lobby the courts and hand-carry the election process past Algore's evil minions like Dubya did???

Dang that LA Slimes! They better cut loose with that story because Willy Brown is bettin an bankin on Algore bein drafted he said the other day. "Al's the only one who can bring the warring factions of the "Demcrat" Party tagether," says Willy B. on T.V. (KRON Channel 4 SFO)

62 posted on 10/31/2007 4:56:49 PM PDT by SierraWasp (GovernMental EnvironMentalism is making a monstrous mockery of the proper role of CA government!!!)
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To: ejonesie22

All the people I know come back from Vegas as millionaires.


63 posted on 10/31/2007 4:58:21 PM PDT by Starstruck
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To: Plutarch

Ok then, and thanks before I forget it, how come the “Rest of Field” fell straight down through the middle of the danged chart like someone falling through their own sphincter??? Huh??? (grin)


64 posted on 10/31/2007 4:59:14 PM PDT by SierraWasp (GovernMental EnvironMentalism is making a monstrous mockery of the proper role of CA government!!!)
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To: Kevmo
Race42008's Intrade Investor Report, Nov ‘07

The investors see a two man race with the collapse of Fred Thompson (movement is from Oct 1 until now):

Rank Name Value Movement
1 Giuliani 40.9 +5.0
2 Romney 29.3 +6.6
3 Thompson 8.4 -16.2
4 McCain 7.1 +2.1
5 Paul 7.0 +0.6
6 Huckabee 5.7 +2.6
7 Hunter 0.1 E
  Tancredo 0.1 E
  Brownback
  T Thompson
  Gilmore
by @ 12:52 pm. Filed under 2008 Misc.

65 posted on 10/31/2007 5:01:24 PM PDT by Plutarch
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To: Rick.Donaldson
Fortunately, stocks and bonds don’t elect people

it always surprises me how people employed in the financial industry donate to ms. clinton. they seem to prefer controls to freedom.

66 posted on 10/31/2007 5:05:08 PM PDT by alrea (Surveillance for national security: bad. Surveillance for election: good)
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To: skeeter

Skeeter : “I’ve narrowed my policy issue interests considerably in the past few years to two or three - with illegal immigration at the top of the list.

So far Fred & Duncan are the ONLY GOP candidates with guts enough to speak unequivocally on the subject, and only Fred is within range.”

Often the less than desirable votes on immigration by Fred don’t get shown.

FRED THOMPSON ON IMMIGRATION

Voted in 1996 to continue chain migration

Voted to strip legal reforms from 1996 bill

Voted in favor of chain migration in 1996

oted for a foreign worker bill with no anti-fraud measures in 2000.

As Committee member, produced H-1B doubling bill in 1998

Voted in committee against including worker safeguards in H-1B bill in 1998

Voted to allow firms to lay off Americans to make room for foreign workers in 1998

Voted to grant amnesty to nearly one million illegal aliens from Nicaragua and Cuba in 1997

In 1996, removed higher fines for businesses which hire illegal aliens

Tried to kill voluntary pilot programs for workplace verification in 1996

http://profiles.numbersusa.com/improfile.php3?DistSend=TN&VIPID=743


67 posted on 10/31/2007 5:05:37 PM PDT by AuntB (" It takes more than walking across the border to be an American." Duncan Hunter)
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To: alrea

I think many of them donate to Hillary not because they want her to win, but in the hope that if she DOES win she won’t storm and pillage their businesses.


68 posted on 10/31/2007 5:07:33 PM PDT by JCEccles
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To: skeeter
So far Fred & Duncan are the ONLY GOP candidates with guts enough to speak unequivocally on the subject, and only Fred is within range.

No doubt about it. Fred has a good patter.

What he lacks are executive experience, energy, proven ability, and a record of accomplishment on immigration matters.

Hunter, on the other hand, although likely unelectable, has deeds to back up his mouth.

69 posted on 10/31/2007 5:15:46 PM PDT by JCEccles
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To: SuziQ
I'd be curious to know the Intrade info on George W. Bush about this time in the last election.

GWB was running unopposed in the primary.

70 posted on 10/31/2007 5:18:10 PM PDT by LexBaird (Behold, thou hast drinken of the Aide of Kool, and are lost unto Men.)
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To: Harrius Magnus

It can be gamed, like anything else. I wouldn’t put it past a Soros type to do just that.


71 posted on 10/31/2007 5:31:24 PM PDT by papasmurf (sudo apt - get install FRed Thompson)
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To: Glenn; Plutarch

>>The validity of future’s markets is sometimes questioned.


Only by idiots.<<

I wonder how much money it would take to move the market? In a thinly traded stock a wealthy person can change the price.

If this site is very influential, it might be important enough to influence. Romney and Guiliani have the most money to blow.


72 posted on 10/31/2007 5:36:22 PM PDT by gondramB (Preach the Gospel at all times, and when necessary, use words.)
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To: Spiff

Maybe if he would take a No-Doz before his next appearance, his chances might surge upward. I have never seen such a lackluster, tired, monotone, dull character run before. The hoopla given to the man was undeserved. His wife would make a better candidate. Who cares what he says-—it takes forever for him to get it out...


73 posted on 10/31/2007 5:37:21 PM PDT by MHT
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To: Starstruck

True that...


74 posted on 10/31/2007 5:47:02 PM PDT by ejonesie22 (265 pound Lemming with attitude for Thompson!)
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To: Plutarch

Looks like a good time to buy some Fred.


75 posted on 10/31/2007 6:48:30 PM PDT by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: ari-freedom

But a month ago they were. And his “stock” has dropped.

If it drops, can it not go up again?


76 posted on 10/31/2007 6:49:42 PM PDT by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: pissant

Like all those checks he’s bounced in the House?


77 posted on 10/31/2007 6:51:03 PM PDT by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: pissant

That’s a knee-slapper, Pissant.


78 posted on 10/31/2007 6:51:27 PM PDT by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: Canticle_of_Deborah

Whooptie-Frickin-Doo.


79 posted on 10/31/2007 6:52:00 PM PDT by RockinRight (The Council on Illuminated Foreign Masons told me to watch you from my black helicopter.)
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To: RockinRight
If it drops, can it not go up again?

Probably. But the trend is down, down, down.

Fred has NOT caught fire. He's given it little effort. He still sounds slow, old, and tired. Nothing short of turning the clock back 30 years would restore his strength and vigor.

I'm beginning to think that he's really angling for a VP slot. It fits his style much better.

80 posted on 10/31/2007 6:58:14 PM PDT by JCEccles
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