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How empires end
World Net Daily ^ | 7-20-07 | Patrick J. Buchanan

Posted on 07/20/2007 7:51:54 AM PDT by Ouderkirk

Responding to the call of Pope Urban II at Claremont in 1095, the Christian knights of the First Crusade set out for the Holy Land. In 1099, Jerusalem was captured. As their port in Palestine, the Crusaders settled on Acre on the Mediterranean.

There they built the great castle that was overrun by Saladin in 1187, but retaken by Richard the Lion-Hearted in 1191. Acre became the capital of the Kingdom of Jerusalem and the stronghold of the Crusader state, which fell to the Mameluks in a bloody siege in 1291. The Christians left behind were massacred.

The ruins of Acre are now a tourist attraction.

Any who have visited this last outpost of Christendom in the Holy Land before Gen. Allenby marched into Jerusalem in 1917 cannot – on reading of the massive U.S. embassy rising in Baghdad – but think of Acre.

At a cost of $600 million, with walls able to withstand mortar and rocket fire and space to accommodate 1,000 Americans, this mammoth embassy, largest on earth, will squat on the banks of the Tigris inside the Green Zone.

But, a decade hence, will the U.S. ambassador be occupying this imperial compound? Or will it be like the ruins of Acre?

What raises the question is a sense the United States, this time, is truly about to write off Iraq as a lost cause.

The Republican lines on Capitol Hill are crumbling. Starting with Richard Lugar, one GOP senator after another has risen to urge a drawdown of U.S. forces and a diplomatic solution to the war.

But this is non-credible. How can U.S. diplomats win at a conference table what 150,000 U.S. troops cannot secure on a battlefield?

Though Henry Kissinger was an advocate of this unnecessary war, he is not necessarily wrong when he warns of "geopolitical calamity." Nor is Ryan Crocker, U.S. envoy in Iraq, necessarily wrong when he says a U.S. withdrawal may be the end of the America war, but it will be the start of bloodier wars in Iraq and across the region.

Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari also warns of the perils of a rapid withdrawal: "The dangers vary from civil war to dividing the country to regional wars ... the danger is huge. Until the Iraqi forces and institutions complete their readiness, there is a responsibility on the U.S. and other countries to stand by the Iraqi government and the Iraqi people to help build up their capabilities."

In urging a redeployment of U.S. forces out of Iraq and a new focus on diplomacy, Lugar listed four strategic goals. Prevent creation of a safe haven for terrorists. Prevent sectarian war from spilling out into the broader Middle East. Prevent Iran's domination of the region. Limit the loss of U.S. credibility through the region and world as a result of a failed mission in Iraq.

But how does shrinking the U.S. military power and presence in Iraq advance any of these goals?

Longtime critics of the war like Gen. William Odom say it is already lost, and fighting on will only further bleed the country and make the ultimate price even higher. The general may be right in saying it is time to cut our losses. But we should take a hard look at what those losses may be.

It is a near certainty the U.S.-backed government will fall and those we leave behind will suffer the fate of our Vietnamese and Cambodian friends in 1975. As U.S. combat brigades move out, contractors, aid workers and diplomats left behind will be more vulnerable to assassination and kidnapping. There could be a stampede for the exit and a Saigon ending in the Green Zone.

The civil and sectarian war will surely escalate when we go, with Iran aiding its Shia allies and Sunni nations aiding the Sunnis. A breakup of the country seems certain. Al-Qaida will claim it has run the U.S. superpower out of Iraq and take the lessons it has learned to Jordan, Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states. The Turks, with an army already on the border, will go in to secure their interests in not having the Kurdish PKK operating from Iraq and in guaranteeing there is no independent Kurdistan. What will America do then?

As for this country, the argument over who is responsible for the worst strategic debacle in American history will be poisonous.

With a U.S. defeat in Iraq, U.S. prestige would plummet across the region. Who will rely on a U.S. commitment for its security? Like the British and French before us, we will be heading home from the Middle East.

What we are about to witness is how empires end.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: buchanan; declineandfall; iraq; middleast; mullahpat; whathappenedtoarator; worldnutdaily
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1 posted on 07/20/2007 7:51:57 AM PDT by Ouderkirk
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To: Ouderkirk
Like the British and French before us, we will be heading home from the Middle East. What we are about to witness is how empires end.

Well that's about all you can say about that. History does indeed repeat itself

2 posted on 07/20/2007 7:54:22 AM PDT by billbears (Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it. --Santayana)
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To: Ouderkirk
>What we are about to witness is how empires end

Oh, for Heaven's sake!
Saddam's still dead. The Baathists
have all been routed.

Our carrier groups
still dominate the planet.
Rock's "dead." Long live rock!
3 posted on 07/20/2007 7:58:31 AM PDT by theFIRMbss
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To: Ouderkirk

“How empires end”

The US is not, has never been, and has never wanted to be, an “empire”.


4 posted on 07/20/2007 8:04:56 AM PDT by Hacklehead (God, Guns, Guts and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Made America Great)
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To: billbears

I didn’t post any response to Pat as I am still thinking about how to properly address his assertions. Too many fallacies too little time.


5 posted on 07/20/2007 8:06:58 AM PDT by Ouderkirk (Don't you think it's interesting how death and destruction seems to happen wherever Muslims gather.)
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To: Ouderkirk

PJB = broken record

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=patrick+buchanan+empire


6 posted on 07/20/2007 8:07:03 AM PDT by Huck (Soylent Green is People.)
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To: Ouderkirk
"With a U.S. defeat in Iraq, U.S. prestige would plummet across the region. Who will rely on a U.S. commitment for its security? Like the British and French before us, we will be heading home from the Middle East."

So, does this mean we put Patrick J. Buchanan on "surrender monkey" team - defeatism has run rampant.

7 posted on 07/20/2007 8:08:29 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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To: Hacklehead
The US is not, has never been, and has never wanted to be, an “empire”.

Before 1917 perhaps only Hamilton's lackeys wanted an empire. But post 1917, if it acts like an empire, speaks like an empire, and has every quality of an empire (perhaps in different terminology and function), it's an empire.

Course I don't know what else you'd call a nation that has its troops spread over 100 different countries in the world under the auspices of defending 'freedom'. A duck perhaps?

8 posted on 07/20/2007 8:15:44 AM PDT by billbears (Those who do not remember the past are condemned to repeat it. --Santayana)
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To: Ouderkirk
What we are about to witness is how empires end.

Hyperbole, thy name is Pat.
9 posted on 07/20/2007 8:16:00 AM PDT by reagan_fanatic (Press 1 for English, press 2 for deport)
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To: Ouderkirk
How empires end

Well, if he forgets that flap of leather that hangs under the facemask and takes a 93 mph fastball to the throat – that could do it.

10 posted on 07/20/2007 8:21:58 AM PDT by 70times7 (Sense... some don't make any, some don't have any - or so the former would appear to the latter.)
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To: 70times7

Or... it is futile to fight Muslim aggression. Let them overrun the world and get it over with. s/


11 posted on 07/20/2007 8:42:45 AM PDT by ClaireSolt (Have you have gotten mixed up in a mish-masher?)
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen

“Does this mean we put PJB on ‘surrender monkey’ team” - defeatism has run rampant”.

Actually, Pat stated on Scarborough Country that invading Iraq was a mistake and leaving Iraq is a mistake. Pat’s stand is that once the mistake of tipping the balance of power to Iran by destroying the counterweight of Sunni Iraq was made by Bush, the U.S. must stay in Iraq to prevent the Iranian Shiites from taking over.

You have misjudged Pat’s position on Iraq. If Iraq is lost, as Pat said, who is the winner?

Obviously, it is Iran - which is why the neocons are pushing for an attack on Iran, in order to correct their mistake in Iraq. I believe Pat opposes spreading the war in the ME, but supports the U.S. staying in Iraq to prevent an Iranian takeover.


12 posted on 07/20/2007 8:48:48 AM PDT by Howard Jarvis Admirer (i)
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To: ClaireSolt

"It is almost a law of history that the same wealth that generates a civilization announces its decay. For wealth produce ease as well as art; it softens a people to the ways of luxury and peace and invites invasion from stronger arms and hungrier mouths."

-- Will Durant - The Story of Civilization

Take it to the bank ...
13 posted on 07/20/2007 8:49:05 AM PDT by Scythian
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen

Naah. I think PJB is warning against leaving, not surrender monkeying.

I loved his line about US prestige would plummet, though. Ferpetesake, can we get any lower about now?


14 posted on 07/20/2007 8:55:37 AM PDT by ObadiahLynch
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To: billbears

“Before 1917 perhaps only Hamilton’s lackeys wanted an empire. But post 1917, if it acts like an empire, speaks like an empire, and has every quality of an empire (perhaps in different terminology and function), it’s an empire.

Course I don’t know what else you’d call a nation that has its troops spread over 100 different countries in the world under the auspices of defending ‘freedom’. A duck perhaps?”

I find such arguments ridiculous and disingenuous. An empire places its troops in many countries by force, usually for the purpose of maintaining control of the land, the government or the population. US troops are in foreign countries by invitation or agreement with the host govt by way of defense agreements. When the conditions of the agreement expire or the host asks us to leave, WE LEAVE. The fact that such countries INVITE the us to place troops within its border demonstrates enormous trust that would not be given to an empire that might use them to take over said country.
The British and Romans built empires by military conquest of independent states all over the world. Where is the US equivalent?


15 posted on 07/20/2007 8:58:10 AM PDT by Hacklehead (God, Guns, Guts and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Made America Great)
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To: Hacklehead

It sure seems strange that all the talk is negative - we can’t win in Iraq - republicans don’t have a viable candidate for 08 - Hillary’s gonna win. Frankly, we must be getting more gullible if we sit here and take this crap as gospel truth. The media LIES, LIES, LIES...stop believing and start living!


16 posted on 07/20/2007 9:02:35 AM PDT by princess leah
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To: Howard Jarvis Admirer

I am aware of PJB’s stand on the war - I disagree completely.


17 posted on 07/20/2007 9:04:43 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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To: ObadiahLynch
Yes, well defeatism, surrender, who can tell?

Either on will destroy the US internally.

18 posted on 07/20/2007 9:06:21 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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To: WorkerbeeCitizen

To quote Donald Rumsfeld, I believe you are a “deadender” on the Iraq war. The Bush delusion of turning Iraq into a Swedish democracy filled with democracy loving muslims is being blown apart with suicide bombers and where are the WMDs? When the U.S. abandons this war, Iran will take control of Iraq - exactly what Pat has been worried will happen.

Pat’s curse is that he is a Cassandra - doomed to realize that politicians are leading America into disaster via mass immigration or unfounded wars and being there when his predictions are ignored and then come true. Perhaps Bush wishes he had listened to Pat on Iraq now.


19 posted on 07/20/2007 9:22:59 AM PDT by Howard Jarvis Admirer (i)
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To: Howard Jarvis Admirer
There are a lot of good men with a lot of things to say - not all bad and not all good.

I agree with Buchanan on quite a few issues but I disagree with him about invading Iraq as we should have taken out Saddam the first time. My opinion.

I agree with the Rummy statement in that Democracy is not a viable form of government and will not work in the ME. If Rumsfeld means Liberty, then I also agree, you cannot free a people who are not free in their hearts and Islam will not allow it. .02 cents worth

20 posted on 07/20/2007 9:40:44 AM PDT by WorkerbeeCitizen (An American Patriot and an anti-Islam kind of fellow. (POI))
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