Can we win Crutchfield’s seat?
Off the top of my head, I’d say possibly, but questionable (to my knowledge, the rodents will pick a successor, and will probably hold the seat, but I’d love to be proven wrong). I have to admit that the voting and racial statistics for that particular district I’ve never been able to quite figure out. Most of the White districts in this state should be winnable by the GOP, though Crutchfield’s margins almost seem to indicate he’s in a Black rodent district. He hasn’t had a close race since 1984, but his last election in 2004, he won with 72% of the vote.
There are 3 overlapping House districts, one of whom is partly wealthy and White (Republican), one is poor urban Black (Dem), and the western end of the Crutchfield seat, Marion County, leans Dem (poor White) and has a Dem rep covering several counties. The other Senator from Chattanooga is a Republican, and that takes in more upscale White areas (and corrals the bulk of the GOP voters within it), and it has a new man elected last November representing it, taking over from the legendary David Fowler, a stalwart Conservative.