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Is Warming Our Fault? [father of scientific climatology considers global warming a bunch of hooey]
The Capital Times [Madison, WI] ^ | Monday, June 18, 2007 | Samara Kalk Derby

Posted on 07/11/2007 5:42:31 AM PDT by FreedomPoster

Retired Uw Prof Claims Humans Aren't To Blame

Prof Defies Convention On Climate Change

The Capital Times :: FRONT :: A1

Monday, June 18, 2007
By Samara Kalk Derby The Capital Times

Reid Bryson, known as the father of scientific climatology, considers global warming a bunch of hooey.

The UW-Madison professor emeritus, who stands against the scientific consensus on this issue, is referred to as a global warming skeptic. But he is not skeptical that global warming exists, he is just doubtful that humans are the cause of it.

There is no question the Earth has been warming; it is coming out of the "Little Ice Age," he said in an interview this week.

"However, there is no credible evidence that it is due to mankind and carbon dioxide. We've been coming out of a Little Ice Age for 300 years. We have not been making very much carbon dioxide for 300 years. It's been warming up for a long time," Bryson said.

The Little Ice Age was driven by volcanic activity. That settled down, so it is getting warmer, he said.

Humans are polluting the air and adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, but the effect is tiny, Bryson said.

"It's like there is an elephant charging in and you worry about the fact that there is a fly sitting on its head. It's just a total misplacement of emphasis," he said. "It really isn't science because there's no really good scientific evidence."

Just because almost all of the scientific community believes in man-made global warming proves absolutely nothing, Bryson said. "Consensus doesn't prove anything, in science or anywhere else, except in democracy, maybe."

Bryson, 87, was the founding chairman of the department of meteorology at UW-Madison and of the Institute for Environmental Studies, now known as the Gaylord Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies. He retired in 1985, but has gone into the office almost every day since. He does it without pay.

"I have now worked for zero dollars since I retired, long enough that I have paid back the people of Wisconsin every cent they paid me to give me a wonderful, wonderful career. So we are even now. And I feel good about that," said Bryson, who celebrated his 65th wedding anniversary Wednesday.

So, if global warming isn't such a burning issue, why are thousands of scientists so concerned about it?

"Why are so many thousands not concerned about it?" Bryson shot back.

"There is a lot of money to be made in this," he added. "If you want to be an eminent scientist you have to have a lot of grad students and a lot of grants. You can't get grants unless you say, 'Oh global warming, yes, yes, carbon dioxide ... "

Speaking out against global warming is like being a heretic, Bryson noted.

And it's not something that he does regularly.

"I can't waste my time on that, I have too many other things to do," he said.

But if somebody asks him for his opinion on global warming, he'll give it. "And I think I know about as much about it as anybody does," he said.

* * *

UP AGAINST HIS STUDENTS' STUDENTS: Reporters will often call the meteorology building seeking the opinion of a scientist and some beginning graduate student will pick up the phone and say he or she is a meteorologist, Bryson said. "And that goes in the paper as 'scientists say ...' "

The word of this young graduate student then trumps the views of someone like Bryson, who has been working in the field for more than 50 years, he said, adding "it is sort of a smear."

Bryson said he recently wrote something on the subject and two graduate students told him he was wrong, citing research done by one of their professors. That professor, Bryson noted, is probably the student of one of his students. "Well, that professor happened to be wrong," he said.

"There is very little truth to what is being said and an awful lot of religion. It's almost a religion. Where you have to believe in anthropogenic (or man-made) global warming or else you are nuts."

While Bryson doesn't think that global warming is man-made, he said there is some evidence of an effect from mankind, but not an effect of carbon dioxide.

For example, in Wisconsin in the last 100 years the biggest heating has been around Madison, Milwaukee and in the Southeast, where the cities are. There was a slight change in the Green Bay area, he said. The rest of the state shows no warming at all.

"The growth of cities makes it hotter, but that was true back in the 1930s, too," Bryson said. "Big cities were hotter than the surrounding countryside because you concentrate the traffic and you concentrate the home heating. And you modify the surface, you pave a lot of it."

Bryson didn't see Al Gore's movie about global warming, "An Inconvenient Truth."

"Don't make me throw up," he said. "It is not science. It is not true."

* * *

NOT SO FAST, SAY SCIENTISTS: Galen McKinley, an assistant professor of atmospheric and oceanic sciences at UW-Madison disagrees with Bryson, whom she notes is a respected researcher and professor with a long history at the university.

"There are innumerable studies that show that the shoe fits for global warming, I guess you could say, and the human causation for it," McKinley said.

"We understand very well the basic process of the greenhouse effect, which is that we know that the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere increases the heat trapped by the atmosphere. You put one dollar more in the bank and you have one dollar more there tomorrow. It's a very clear feedback," she said.

Carbon dioxide emissions have been increasing over the industrial period, about 200 years, and can be observed very clearly through about 100 monitoring stations worldwide, McKinley said.

The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is increasing consistently with the amount that humans are putting into the atmosphere, she said.

"We know humans are putting it there, we understand the basic mechanism, and we know that the temperatures are warming," McKinley said. "Many, many, many studies illustrate that both at the global scale and at the regional scale."

She cited the work of John Magnuson, a UW-Madison professor emeritus of limnology who is internationally known for his lake studies. Magnuson records the number of days of ice on the lakes in southern Wisconsin, including Mendota and Monona.

His research shows that over the course of the last 150 years, the average has gone from about four months of ice cover to more like 2.5 months, McKinley said.

Bryson would say that it is due to coming out of an ice age, McKinley notes, "but the rate of change that we are seeing on the planet is inconsistent with changes in the past that have been due to an Ice Age."

The huge changes in temperature that scientists are seeing are happening much faster than have ever been observed in the past due to the change from an Ice Age phase to a non-Ice Age phase, she said.

"We know that humans are putting CO2 into the atmosphere at an incredibly fast rate, much, much faster than any natural process has done it in the last at least 400,000 years and probably more like millions of years," McKinley said.

The rate of change is consistent with human activity, she said. That is why so many major scientific societies are concerned about global warming, she added.

The release in February of the latest report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change put the likelihood that human beings are the cause of global warming at 90 percent. It noted that temperatures will continue to climb for decades, that heat waves and floods will become more frequent, and that the last time the Arctic and the Antarctic were warmer than they are today for an extended period - before the start of the last Ice Age - global sea levels were at least thirteen feet higher.

The IPCC, founded in 1988, is the joint venture of the United Nations Environment Program and the World Meteorological Organization. Every four or five years, it conducts an exhaustive survey of the available data and issues a multivolume assessment of the state of the climate. IPCC's reports are vetted by thousands of scientists and the organization's 190-some participating governments.

The IPCC's findings carry more weight than Bryson's with some of his UW colleagues.

"My views are very similar to those expressed by I.P.C.C.," said Steve Vavrus, an associate scientist at the UW-Madison Center for Climatic Research. "Reid Bryson maintains his long-standing opinions on anthropogenic climate change, and he's certainly entitled to them."

McKinley added that the evidence is overwhelming that global warming is being caused by humans, even if there isn't ironclad proof.

"The scientific process is never 100 percent sure and it could be proven wrong," she said. "But I would say that the chances of that based on all of the best information at this current time are incredibly slim. And even though that possibility is out there it would be irresponsible of us as a society not to act based on the best scientific information we have at the moment, which is that humans are causing the warming of the planet.

"If you saw smoke in your house, it would be irresponsible not to get your family out, right?"


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; US: Wisconsin
KEYWORDS: academia; globalwarming; reidbryson
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A month or so old, but it appears no one picked this up, or at least I couldn't find it with Search. And don't remember an xcamel ping.

The author spends a *lot* of time hyping the "consensus" view, after reporting this professor's view.

Key quotes:

"There is a lot of money to be made in this. If you want to be an eminent scientist you have to have a lot of grad students and a lot of grants. You can't get grants unless you say, 'Oh global warming, yes, yes, carbon dioxide ... "

"There is very little truth to what is being said and an awful lot of religion. It's almost a religion. Where you have to believe in anthropogenic (or man-made) global warming or else you are nuts."

1 posted on 07/11/2007 5:42:34 AM PDT by FreedomPoster
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To: xcamel

Ping list ping.


2 posted on 07/11/2007 5:43:05 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: FreedomPoster; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; Ole Okie; ..


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH



3 posted on 07/11/2007 5:43:43 AM PDT by xcamel ("It's Talk Thompson Time!" >> irc://irc.freenode.net/fredthompson)
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To: xcamel

Dang, you’re quick!

You sure you’re not a bot? ;-P

This is a good one.


4 posted on 07/11/2007 5:44:59 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: FreedomPoster; MurryMom

My question - if the earth is warming on it’s own, should humans do anything to stop such a natural cycle?


5 posted on 07/11/2007 5:46:01 AM PDT by Libloather (That's just what I need - some two-bit, washed up, loser politician giving me weather forecasts...)
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To: FreedomPoster
Local scientist calls global warming theory 'hooey'
6 posted on 07/11/2007 5:51:56 AM PDT by BufordP (Had Mexicans flown planes into the World Trade Center, Jorge Bush would have surrendered.)
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To: FreedomPoster
You can't get grants unless you say, 'Oh global warming, yes, yes, carbon dioxide ... "

That caught my attention as well, because (I kid you not) an acquaintance who was a Boston University grad student in one of climate sciences said exactly that same thing to me more than 20 years ago.

7 posted on 07/11/2007 5:52:46 AM PDT by angkor
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To: FreedomPoster
Found a few more...

Local scientist (U W Madison,WI) calls global warming 'hooey' ^
Posted by UB355
On News/Activism ^ 06/19/2007 9:54:01 AM EDT · 18 replies · 579+ views


Capital Times ^ | 6/18/2007 | Samara Kalk Derby
Reid Bryson, known as the father of scientific climatology, considers global warming a bunch of hooey. The UW-Madison professor emeritus, who stands against the scientific consensus on this issue, is referred to as a global warming skeptic. But he is not skeptical that global warming exists, he is just doubtful that humans are the cause of it. There is no question the earth has been warming. It is coming out of the "Little Ice Age," he said in an interview this week. "However, there is no credible evidence that it is due to mankind and carbon dioxide. We've been coming...

Local scientist calls global warming theory 'hooey' ^
Posted by Turret Gunner A20
On News/Activism ^ 06/18/2007 1:11:58 PM EDT · 8 replies · 625+ views


The Capitol Times ^ | June 18, 2007 | Samara Kalk Derby
Reid Bryson, known as the father of scientific climatology, considers global warming a bunch of hooey. TheUW-Madison professor emeritus, who stands against the scientific consensus on this issue, is referred to as a global warming skeptic. But he is not skeptical that global warming exists, he is just doubtful that humans are the cause of it. There is no question the earth has been warming. It is coming out of the "Little Ice Age," he said in an interview this week. "However, there is no credible evidence that it is due to mankind and carbon dioxide. We've been coming...

Local scientist calls global warming theory 'hooey' ^
Posted by Alaphiah123
On News/Activism ^ 06/18/2007 11:20:28 AM EDT · 67 replies · 1,805+ views


Madison.com ^ | 6/18/2007 8:01 am | Samara Kalk Derby
Reid Bryson, known as the father of scientific climatology, considers global warming a bunch of hooey.

Local scientist calls global warming theory 'hooey' ^
Posted by Obadiah
On News/Activism ^ 06/18/2007 9:07:43 AM EDT · 32 replies · 1,303+ views


The Capital Times ^ | 6/18/2007 | Samara Kalk Derby
Reid Bryson, known as the father of scientific climatology, considers global warming a bunch of hooey. TheUW-Madison professor emeritus, who stands against the scientific consensus on this issue, is referred to as a global warming skeptic. But he is not skeptical that global warming exists, he is just doubtful that humans are the cause of it. There is no question the earth has been warming. It is coming out of the "Little Ice Age," he said in an interview this week. "However, there is no credible evidence that it is due to mankind and carbon dioxide. We've been coming...


8 posted on 07/11/2007 5:57:13 AM PDT by BufordP (Had Mexicans flown planes into the World Trade Center, Jorge Bush would have surrendered.)
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To: FreedomPoster
The UW-Madison professor emeritus, who stands against the scientific consensus on this issue...

The only consensus I've heard about on this issue is the one that the media has.

Some enterprising "journalist" could with a little research find an equal number of chicken little 'scientists' and those who think like Prof. Bryson.

9 posted on 07/11/2007 5:58:55 AM PDT by JimVT (Oh, the days of the Kerry dancing, Oh, the ring of the piper's tune)
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To: FreedomPoster
My favorite line:
McKinley added that the evidence is overwhelming that global warming is being caused by humans, even if there isn't ironclad proof.
10 posted on 07/11/2007 6:00:55 AM PDT by ProudGOP
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To: JimVT

I’n not sure I understand what you’re trying to say. Is it that Bryson has his head in the sand?


11 posted on 07/11/2007 6:04:28 AM PDT by marvlus
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To: FreedomPoster
The rate of change is consistent with human activity, she said. That is why so many major scientific societies are concerned about global warming, she added.

Right. It couldn't have anything to do with grant money.

Anyway, see tagline.

12 posted on 07/11/2007 6:05:30 AM PDT by xjcsa (Hooey denier)
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To: FreedomPoster
Scientists are loath to contradict politicians. Since the politicians have their pet theory, they expect scientists to confirm it regardless of the actual evidence. Its a mutually corrupting process at work. And it destroys the impartial nature of scientific research. Who can trust a scientist's findings when they're tinged with an ideological agenda? The politicians claim they know for sure what the weather's going to be like in 50 years time. The meterologists can't tell you with 100% confidence tomorrow's weather prediction.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

13 posted on 07/11/2007 6:07:42 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Libloather
My question - if the earth is warming on it’s own, should humans do anything to stop such a natural cycle?

Another question along the same lines: If warming is happening, regardless of the cause, why is it a bad thing? We know that the Medieval Warming Period was a time of great prosperity and bounty. If we are warming now, and I have yet to be convinced that this is indeed occurring, why should we be afraid of it, unless that fear is the driving force behind folks like the "Profit Owl Gore"....

Living under the thumb of nuts like the Profit Owl Gore, now that is something to be feared!

14 posted on 07/11/2007 6:12:30 AM PDT by Thermalseeker (Made in China: Treat those three words like a warning label)
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To: All
I was listening to BBC radio yesterday, which is a major pimp for global warmingists, as they were speaking of the well preserved mammoth found recently. When talking of the demise of the mammoth, the presenter spoke of climate change being an issue for them, something the interviewee said could have been a factor. Yet, unsurprisingly, this particularly presenter who very much is a proponent of global warming issues, chose not to connect the dots and ask, "So climate change has been going on for far longer than man has been industrial?"

My e-mail to them asked why Algore was so late in preventing the tragic extinction of the mammoth.

15 posted on 07/11/2007 6:14:05 AM PDT by WillVoteForFood
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To: BufordP

Ah, shoot. Different headline.


16 posted on 07/11/2007 6:21:05 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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To: FreedomPoster
The conflict between Dr. Bryson’s skepticism about global warming and Prof. McKinney’s total acceptance of man made global warming reminds me of the meeting between Galileo and a representative of the Inquisition. The Inquisitor argued that the earth couldn't’t possibly be moving through space as he could not feel it move...Galileo responded..yet it moves.
17 posted on 07/11/2007 6:24:54 AM PDT by The Great RJ ("Mir we bleiwen wat mir sin" or "We want to remain what we are." ..Luxembourg motto)
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To: FreedomPoster
UP AGAINST HIS STUDENTS' STUDENTS: Reporters will often call the meteorology building seeking the opinion of a scientist and some beginning graduate student will pick up the phone and say he or she is a meteorologist, Bryson said. "And that goes in the paper as 'scientists say ...' "

and then, later in the same article ...

NOT SO FAST, SAY SCIENTISTS...

Gotta love unbiased reporting.

18 posted on 07/11/2007 6:28:48 AM PDT by Colonel_Flagg (Fred.)
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To: FreedomPoster
Sometimes posters take liberty in editing the titles a little. Best to search on a few select words. I found those articles by searching on "hooey".

Personally, I don't mind seeing old articles reposted every now and then. I linked the old articles here in case you or anyone else would like to read some of the other comments and material added to the other threads.

19 posted on 07/11/2007 6:28:58 AM PDT by BufordP (Had Mexicans flown planes into the World Trade Center, Jorge Bush would have surrendered.)
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To: BufordP

And often, different papers run the same article with different headlines.


20 posted on 07/11/2007 6:31:05 AM PDT by FreedomPoster (Guns themselves are fairly robust; their chief enemies are rust and politicians) (NRA)
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