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Global warming science, from a scientist (Freeman Dyson)
peoplesarchive.com/ ^ | Freeman Dyson

Posted on 04/17/2007 10:57:28 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares

Transcripts are clickable on the site too if you dont want to watch. You can read instead.

Three interesting clips. This guy is not caught up in the hype over atmospheric CO2.

He slams computer models pretty hard.

Three short vids. First one should start right away. Select the last two on the dropdown menu on the left.

http://www.peoplesarchive.com/browse/movies/1248/en/

144. Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere: the balance between vegetation and atmosphere [Duration 00:06:33]

145. Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere: global warming and stratospheric cooling [Duration 00:01:27]

146. Carbon Dioxide in the atmosphere: conclusions [Duration 00:02:42]


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: freemandyson; globalwarming
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1 posted on 04/17/2007 10:57:29 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Freeman Dyson is almost universally agreed to be one of the smartest people on our planet.


2 posted on 04/17/2007 11:01:42 AM PDT by willgolfforfood
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To: willgolfforfood
Freeman Dyson is almost universally agreed to be one of the smartest people on our planet.

That's why the MSM will simply ignore him instead of villifying him as they do other GW "heretics".

3 posted on 04/17/2007 11:04:12 AM PDT by randog (What the...?!)
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To: willgolfforfood

“I think we can control the carbon dioxide rather easily, because it’s a question of land management essentially and the amounts that are involved in the vegetation are so large that if you merely just change some of the forest management practices or do a little more irrigation in some places, it’s quite likely you can absorb all the carbon dioxide you want, at a cost which is far less than stopping burning coal and oil. So that’s essentially what I’m trying to understand.” -Freeman Dyson

Her certainly has concerns. But the above is very from from Al Gores message is it???


4 posted on 04/17/2007 11:06:31 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Her certainly has concerns. But the above is very from from Al Gores message is it???

Correction...

from AL Gores message ISN’T it???


5 posted on 04/17/2007 11:07:56 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Names Ash Housewares
He thinks with a better understanding of the use of CO2 by vegetation we could control atmospheric CO2 levels without drastic changes to our energy production and use.

HERETIC

The Great and Mighty Gore will not be pleased.

6 posted on 04/17/2007 11:10:47 AM PDT by A message (Liberalism does not breed survivors)
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To: A message

Shhhh

The Goracle may hear you!


7 posted on 04/17/2007 11:15:34 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Wow. Cool. Not so much the Global warming stuff, but the site itself.


8 posted on 04/17/2007 11:16:27 AM PDT by Rick.Donaldson (http://realitycheck.blogsome.com - and yes, yes, I'm a "FredHead". Fred Thompson for Prez.)
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To: DaveLoneRanger

ping


9 posted on 04/17/2007 11:17:25 AM PDT by bkwells (Liberals=Hypocrites)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

ref. ping


10 posted on 04/17/2007 11:18:00 AM PDT by Para-Ord.45
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To: Names Ash Housewares

The CO2 Ox will be Gored.......


11 posted on 04/17/2007 11:18:05 AM PDT by Ben Mugged (Always cheat; always win. The only unfair fight is the one you lose.)
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To: Names Ash Housewares
I've never bothered to "educate" myself as to what OwlGore has said or written on the topic of Global Warming, so I can't answer your question.

I'm sure Al knows as much about this topic as Divinity issues, one of his majors in college. Or maybe not; didn't he fail out of Divinity school?

12 posted on 04/17/2007 11:18:37 AM PDT by willgolfforfood
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To: Names Ash Housewares
When asked about Gore, Dyson replied: "I expect him to be in the absolute elsewhere."






Ok, actually, when Dyson was six years old he said this about his nanny. For some reason I always remember this detail about Dyson.
13 posted on 04/17/2007 11:21:07 AM PDT by macamadamia
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To: Names Ash Housewares
F. Dyson said this? He is probably one of the smartest humans on the planet. Maybe some folks will listen.

I happen to be a rare believer, in general and in theory, with global warming, here on FR. That said, I am not a Global Warming (tm) alarmist. Dyson DOES believe in the dangers of CO2, but believes that the primary one isn't of warming, but of stratospeheric cooling, which hurts the ozone layer, which, when it opens holes over the ARCTIC, vs the Anarctic, where nobody lives anyways, is going to be a big problem. He also believes that by managing vegetation, we will be able, relatively simply, to manage CO2 levels.

14 posted on 04/17/2007 11:25:07 AM PDT by Paradox (Secular Conservative, thank God!)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

There can be no debate as illustrated by the site listed below:

http://www.climatescience.org.nz/

DISCONTINUANCE OF PUBLIC DISCUSSION:
While we appreciate the additions to debate by the small but devoted band who have been using the discussion facility provided on this website for generally interesting and researched exchanges of views, we regret that due to the clogging of these discussion sections with incomprehensible gibberish by some anonymous but obviously demented devotee of ex-Senator Gore, we are closing the facility forthwith. Those of you who may feel inconvenienced by this action by our volunteer webmaster will know just who to blame.


15 posted on 04/17/2007 11:27:37 AM PDT by griswold3
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Dyson has been right at the top of theoretical physics. He has had time to reflect on the limits of scientific knowledge.


16 posted on 04/17/2007 11:29:38 AM PDT by RightWhale (3 May '07 3:14 PM)
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To: willgolfforfood

A true Physics demigod. Unlike clowns such as Michael Mann.


17 posted on 04/17/2007 11:30:39 AM PDT by GOP_1900AD (Stomping on "PC," destroying the Left, and smoking out faux "conservatives" - Take Back The GOP!)
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To: SirKit

CO2 ping!


18 posted on 04/17/2007 11:32:20 AM PDT by SuziQ
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To: Names Ash Housewares
I am finding this a good read, not just the GW part:

I happen to be a moderately religious person; I mean I'm not in any sense a theologian or somebody who really knows a lot about religion, but I go to church and I have a feeling that it's a great thing that churches and synagogues and mosques exist in the world. They are communities of the kind that make people better on the whole, and certainly in Princeton we have about 25 churches and they're full every Sunday, in addition to a couple of synagogues and I don't know if there's a mosque on the highway not far away.

In any case, this is an important part of our lives and I'm very happy to be a part of it. My grandsons goes to the little Sunday school at the church where we go and so they're learning Bible stories and I think it's good that people learn these stories when they're young so they have some feeling for the culture even if they don't believe the religion. Christianity is very much a part of our culture and at least they should know what the bible is about. So I'm happy to belong to that, and the church also plays an important social role in this community. It's about the only institution that really ties the community together and takes care of aged and sick and poor people, so I'm all in favour of religion as an institution.

And at the same time, I find it doesn't make any conflict with my science; that religion to me is really not about belief, it's about belonging, it's about a way of life, and so I don't find the slightest difficulty in being a religious person in this sense and being a scientist. And that's maybe a slightly unusual combination. I mean, most of my friends either tend to be total agnostics who have no interest in religion at all, or else are worried about conflicts between science and religion. The more religious people that I know mostly have difficulties in harmonising science and religion. I find my situation is rather unusual, so I like to explain this. I suppose that's the main reason that I go to meetings, to try to point out to people that you can be both; that the conflicts are in a way very artificial and the conflicts only arise if you try to make religion into a science or if you try to make science into a religion, both of which are very unsatisfying.

Both mistakes, of course, are frequently made. The fundamentalists try to make religion into a science, and a lot of the more extreme what you might call science worshippers, in which I include Einstein, Einstein was one of the worst of those, he made science into a religion and he said quite explicitly that for him science was a religion, there was something sacred about it, and that I think is a cause of a great deal of difficulty, and caused him to take a very narrow view of science.

19 posted on 04/17/2007 11:33:09 AM PDT by Paradox (Secular Conservative, thank God!)
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To: Names Ash Housewares; OKSooner; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; gruffwolf; ...

Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown

FReepmail me to get on or off

New!!: Dr. John Ray’s
GREENIE WATCH

Please ping me if you find one I’ve missed.
OKSooner and I are doing the POGW
ping list while xcamel is on vacation.



20 posted on 04/17/2007 11:36:45 AM PDT by honolulugal
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To: GOP_1900AD
I saw an article he penned about 25 years ago, maybe even 30 years. It was a long term projection of the fate of the universe. One of his postulates (I warned you this was long term):

"All matter in the universe will be composed of iron at 10^77 years from now."

The scary thing is that we're already 25 years closer to the time when we've all been turned into iron!!

21 posted on 04/17/2007 11:42:17 AM PDT by willgolfforfood
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To: willgolfforfood

I’m gonna start selling iron offsets.


22 posted on 04/17/2007 11:55:03 AM PDT by Dr.Deth
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To: Paradox

That is why I posted these vids.
Sure there may be concerns, we do not know for sure yet, and if so, it is possible they can be managed without impacting our ways of life as drastically as many try to say. Computer models are just that, models. Not measurements. And predicing doom and gloom scenarios from those models is irresponsible.


23 posted on 04/17/2007 11:58:06 AM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: willgolfforfood

10000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000 years!

And your worried now...?!

Do you by chance wear aluminum foil on your head? Just asking....


24 posted on 04/17/2007 11:59:24 AM PDT by Freeport
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To: willgolfforfood
Freeman Dyson is almost universally agreed to be one of the smartest people on our planet.

And he seems pretty adamant that we should do something about CO2

25 posted on 04/17/2007 12:05:15 PM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (I don't care what side of the debate you are on: Weather is not Climate)
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To: pfony1

Ping: Worth watching.

Different reasons, same conclusion.


26 posted on 04/17/2007 12:06:08 PM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (I don't care what side of the debate you are on: Weather is not Climate)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Bookmark


27 posted on 04/17/2007 12:13:01 PM PDT by El Laton Caliente (NRA Member & www.Gunsnet.net Moderator)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

“And he seems pretty adamant that we should do something about CO2”

Possibly. He admits there is far more data to acquire.
And thinks that we can handle the problem with far simpler solutions then the Goreites preach, and not give up burning our fuels we do now.

That is a rather different take on the matter then what the MSM and libs preach.


28 posted on 04/17/2007 1:04:23 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

Thanks for the ping and link. Mr. Dyson seems to be a well-educated original thinker. I think he enjoys being considered a “heretic” by “establishment scientists”.

Here’s a link to one of his speeches:

http://www.umich.edu/news/index.html?DysonWinCom05

Starting with the eighth paragraph:

“...The first of my heresies says that all the fluff about global warming is grossly exaggerated. Here I am opposing the holy brotherhood of twilight model experts and the crowd of diluted [”deluded”?] citizens that believe the numbers predicted by their models. Of course they say I have no degree in meteorology and I am therefore not qualified to speak.

“...But I have studied their climate models and know what they can do. The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics and do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields, farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in.

“...The real world is muddy and messy and full of things that we do not yet understand. It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds. That’s why the climate model experts end up believing their own models.

“...There’s no doubt that parts of the world are getting warmer, but the warming is not global. The warming happens in places and times where it is cold, in the arctic more than the tropics, in the winter more than the summer, at night more than the daytime.

“...I’m not saying the warming doesn’t cause problems, obviously it does. Obviously we should be trying to understand it. I’m saying that the problems are being grossly exaggerated. They take away money and attention from other problems that are much more urgent and important. Poverty, infectious diseases, public education and public health. Not to mention the preservation of living creatures on land and in the oceans...”

Actually, when Mr. Dyson said, “...the problems [of global warming] are being grossly exaggerated...”, I thought he was agreeing with ME.

My wife and I walked our property last Saturday and saw that several large azaleas along our east driveway had been killed by our recent “record” cold snap. When I replace those azaleas next month, I will be encourged by the idea that young plants “fix” more CO2 than old plants.

Expanding (and restoring) my garden is the method that I have chosen to “buy carbon credits”. IMHO, my method is much more effective than Al Gore’s self-dealing scam. Not to mention a boon to my “visual” environment.


29 posted on 04/17/2007 1:05:22 PM PDT by pfony1
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To: Paradox

Ozone is old goods, can’t be sold twice.

Soon, we’ll be in the post-gw age and we’ll need a new global threat like oxygen saturation or nitrogen depletion or bagels and cheese...


30 posted on 04/17/2007 1:07:26 PM PDT by Old Professer (The critic writes with rapier pen, dips it twice, and writes again.)
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To: griswold3
Thank you!
Great site.
31 posted on 04/17/2007 1:31:06 PM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: SuziQ

Allow me to digress into the insane logic of the green leftists:

If CO2 is truly the primary cause of global warming, then all we need to do is cut down all the rain forests. That will most certainly reduce CO2 emissions. All that open space could then be used to farm corn to make ethanol so that we don’t have to drill into that barren wasteland... er that beautifully unspoiled, edenic paradise... known as ANWR.

Yep, the answer to global warming has to be: CUT DOWN ALL THE FORESTS!


32 posted on 04/17/2007 1:48:15 PM PDT by pjr12345 (What is it about "The Terrorists want to kill us!" don't you people understand?)
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To: Names Ash Housewares
People's Archive

What a mind-boggling site!

You made my day. Thank you.

33 posted on 04/17/2007 1:51:15 PM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: Paradox
I suppose that's the main reason that I go to meetings, to try to point out to people that you can be both; that the conflicts are in a way very artificial and the conflicts only arise if you try to make religion into a science or if you try to make science into a religion, both of which are very unsatisfying.

I found this particularly satisfying, and a validation of the feeling I get every time I accidentally stumble onto an evo-creationist thread.
A pox on both their houses, I say...

34 posted on 04/17/2007 1:55:58 PM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit
And he seems pretty adamant that we should do something about CO2

If we read the same transcript, I missed "adamant'. Intrigued? yes. Adamant? no.

And he was emphatic about not doing anything until we understand what has already happened. In his words, we do not yet understand.

Did you miss that part?

Science is not doing something in a neurotic fit, "just in case".

35 posted on 04/17/2007 2:00:14 PM PDT by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Anothe rscientists departs from the “consensus” and debunks the global warming myth.


36 posted on 04/17/2007 2:04:36 PM PDT by TBP
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To: willgolfforfood

replay for my liberal buddies PING

Thanks for the post.


37 posted on 04/17/2007 2:11:39 PM PDT by READINABLUESTATE (Free speech for thee, but not for me?)
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To: Freeport

I’m pretty healthy, for an older, fat, balding guy. I expect to be around a little longer.


38 posted on 04/17/2007 3:46:15 PM PDT by willgolfforfood
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To: Publius6961

At the very end of the interview,he says that people seem to be waiting around to do something about CO2 until they are certain about global warming. He indicates that the concern about the ozone layer in the artic from stratospheric cooling is reason enough to act now.

So bascially he has a different conclusion than AlGore, but the same suggestion for doing something to reduce CO2.

Of course he hints that dealing with vegetation is really the best method and I agree.


39 posted on 04/17/2007 11:47:16 PM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (I don't care what side of the debate you are on: Weather is not Climate)
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To: pfony1

Did you miss the part about stratospheric cooling and its potential affect on ozone in the artic?

You nicely cherry-picked the skepticism about warming - which I also pointed out. But Dyson still advocated reducing the amount of CO2 in the atmosphere. He advocated focusing on vegetation and sequestration to do so, but as far as I could read kept silent on industrial emissions other than to say it was unclear what signficance they had and that computer models are only as good or bad as the input.

Anyone who is paying attention to this entire debate recognizes that even those who don’t buy into the sky-is-falling wacko left theories, still realize that we need to do something for a variety of reasons. It is not an EMERGENCY, but rather a clear problem that is easier to solve step-by-step with intelligent market-based mechanisms and real science. But I believe I am now preaching to the (converted) choir.


40 posted on 04/17/2007 11:53:12 PM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (I don't care what side of the debate you are on: Weather is not Climate)
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To: pfony1

Thanks for posting this quote.


41 posted on 04/18/2007 3:04:53 AM PDT by AFPhys ((.Praying for President Bush, our troops, their families, and all my American neighbors..))
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To: AFPhys
Capt Picard knew a smart scientist when he read one, too bad Al Gore doesn't


42 posted on 04/18/2007 3:21:16 AM PDT by McCloud-Strife (John McCain: great American, poor Senator, Horrible Republican)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

“...Did you miss the part about stratospheric cooling and its potential affect on ozone in the artic?...”

No, but I really think you alarmists need to make up your “minds”. Is CO2 a “greenhouse gas” which causes “warming”? Or a “non-greenhouse gas” which causes “cooling”? Which is it?

While I’m waiting for your answer [...drumming of fingers...], consider this:


Some “scientists” SAY CO2
Is “confused” about WHAT it should do:
Warm UP the troposphere?
Cool DOWN the stratosphere?
Clearly, THAT theory’s untrue.


From your tone, I conclude that European true-believers have created a large POLITICAL crisis for themselves (and their more rational brethren) fueled by junk science, scapegoating, envy and superstition. I gather you personally think it’s too late (at least in Europe) to try to bring the discussion back to REAL science, which, after all, values “scepticism” more highly than “consensus”.

Stephen of Cloyes eventually learned that wildly-enthusiastic naivete does not “conquer all”. It’s too bad that today’s poorly-educated Europeans will have to learn that lesson all over again.


43 posted on 04/19/2007 7:19:48 AM PDT by pfony1
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To: pfony1

I know your comments are meant for others and not for me. You feel the need to reassure your “readers” of their pre-conceived notions and no need to think more carefully about the real issues of CO2. So, rather than continuing our very intersting disussion you feel the need to interject some silly talking points and weakly reasoned dismissals.

That is fine.

I don’t have all the answers, but can clearly see that CO2 is an issue. Anyone willing to open their eyes realizes the same.

It is funny that from one side of your (and others) mouth you will say “hey this scientist doesn’t think CO2 is a problem for global warming and that proves we are right”. But you will compeltely ignore the fact that he think CO2 causes a different equally global problem and therefore advocates some reasonable action to reduce human emissions.

The clear reality is that CO2 causes a problem or problems. My solution is to use market mechanisms to step by careful step reduce these emissions. It will be easy, cheap and probably overall good for American security, power and perhaps even the economy.

The left wants to use it as an excuse to redistribute wealth. The longer the right delays, the more strength the left will gain, not for solutions to the problem, but to promote their leftist agenda.

Thge right is sowing the seeds of its own destruction on this issue. It is not about morality and of late it no longer seems to be about science. It is just about money for oil and coal and ideology i.e. stubborness in to needing to admit being wrong.

Nevertheless, I continue to enjoy our exchanges.


44 posted on 04/21/2007 1:43:10 AM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (I don't care what side of the debate you are on: Weather is not Climate)
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To: Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit

Since I have a long business lunch and a squash match in my schedule today, I will be “too busy” to answer your comments in detail until tomorrow.

OTOH, since you “know” what I’m thinking — why don’t you just respond to what you “know” I would have said?


45 posted on 04/23/2007 7:30:20 AM PDT by pfony1
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To: pfony1
since you “know” what I’m thinking — why don’t you just respond to what you “know” I would have said?

LOL - that gave me a chuckle.

46 posted on 04/23/2007 8:32:05 AM PDT by Einigkeit_Recht_Freiheit (I don't care what side of the debate you are on: Weather is not Climate)
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To: Names Ash Housewares

Too many excellent scientists, especially those in the climate field, are coming together. I guess you’d have to call it a consensus:

human-induced global warming is bunk.


47 posted on 04/24/2007 8:16:57 AM PDT by TBP
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To: aflaak

ping


48 posted on 06/03/2007 11:21:00 AM PDT by r-q-tek86 (Jack Bauer would just whack him!)
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To: aflaak

ping


49 posted on 06/03/2007 1:19:39 PM PDT by r-q-tek86 (Jack Bauer would just whack him!)
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To: RightWhale
Dyson has been right at the top of theoretical physics. He

DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING DING !

NO more calls, please. We have a winner!

...BTW, what does Esther have to say about global warming? Or for that matter, Murray Gell-Mann?

Cheers!

50 posted on 06/03/2007 1:23:05 PM PDT by grey_whiskers (The opinions are solely those of the author and are subject to change without notice.)
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