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Exit Poll Secrecy Measures Aim to Plug Leaks to Blogs
Wall Street Journal ^ | November 7,2006 | Amy Schatz

Posted on 11/07/2006 5:28:30 AM PST by meg88

Two-by-two, polling specialists from ABC, CBS, NBC, CNN, Fox News and the Associated Press will go into rooms in New York and Washington shortly before noon Tuesday.

Their cellphones and BlackBerrys will be confiscated; proctors will monitor the doors; for the next five hours, these experts will pore over exit-poll data from across the country.

If all goes well, only when they emerge from their cloisters will the legions of ravenous political bloggers have any chance of getting their hands on the earliest indication of which party will end up controlling Congress.

The extraordinary security is a result of mix-ups that prompted grumbling about the accuracy of exit polls after the 2004 presidential election: Bloggers posted data from early exit polls, incorrectly calling some states for Massachusetts Democratic Sen. John Kerry and indicating that he would unseat President Bush.

Exit polls will be available for all the key Senate races, giving an early picture of whether it could flip to the Democrats.

The data are collected through the National Election Pool, a consortium made up of the three traditional networks, CNN, Fox News and AP.

In previous years, numbers were made available to the news organizations in waves via secure Web sites. In 2004, the first wave of data went out around 2 p.m. and quickly leaked onto the Internet.

That's what brought about this year's sequestering of the news organization's representatives. The only communication they'll be allowed to make out of the so-called quarantine rooms before 5 p.m. will be to warn news organizations about potential problems in the data.

But at 5 p.m., waves of exit-poll data will begin flowing to newsrooms via limited-access Web sites. For the bloggers, the scramble will be on to get the data first, hoping for an email from a friendly source.

(Excerpt) Read more at online.wsj.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS:
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1 posted on 11/07/2006 5:28:31 AM PST by meg88
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To: meg88
Question: Since millions have voted early or used absentee ballots does this not throw the poll off by several percentage points?
2 posted on 11/07/2006 5:30:25 AM PST by YOUGOTIT
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To: YOUGOTIT

Yes, it does.


3 posted on 11/07/2006 5:31:42 AM PST by BeHoldAPaleHorse ( ~()):~)>)
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To: meg88

I like how they try to blame exit poll data influencing the election on bloggers. It was the DBM that used that data to try to get conservatives to stay home.


4 posted on 11/07/2006 5:32:19 AM PST by JamesP81 (Rights must be enforced; rights that you're not allowed to enforce are rights that you don't have.)
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To: meg88

Why would voters be stupid enough to tell someone how they voted? It is none of their business. And if the voter was really, really wicked, what would prevent him from lying to the pollsters? It looks as if they would have learned their lesson in the '04 election, but they are coming back for another beating, it appears.


5 posted on 11/07/2006 5:33:00 AM PST by kittymyrib
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To: meg88
Post Exit Poll Results Here!
6 posted on 11/07/2006 5:34:35 AM PST by Always Right
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To: meg88

Early exit polls show Gov. Arnold way ahead! Oops! The polls haven't opened in Kalifornia!


7 posted on 11/07/2006 5:34:36 AM PST by Road Warrior ‘04 (Kill 'em til they're dead! Then, kill 'em again!)
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To: YOUGOTIT

Plus the exit polls last time oversmapled females 59-41.


8 posted on 11/07/2006 5:34:56 AM PST by meg88
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To: meg88
Post Exit Poll Results Here!
9 posted on 11/07/2006 5:34:57 AM PST by Always Right
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To: Always Right

lol.


10 posted on 11/07/2006 5:35:04 AM PST by happinesswithoutpeace (You are receiving this broadcast as a dream)
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To: meg88

Don't know if the facts of this story are nonsense, but the attempted results will be. The MSM will project early Dim wins in razor-thin races (and have to retract later), and will be slow to declare even blow-out Republican victories. The disinformation might continue to Wednesday afternoon in an effort to encourage support for legal challenges.


11 posted on 11/07/2006 5:36:18 AM PST by hlmencken3 (Originalist on the the 'general welfare' clause? No? NOT an originalist!)
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To: meg88

If the CIA can't plug leaks, I really doubt CNN/CBS/NBC/ETC can. LOL!!


12 posted on 11/07/2006 5:36:44 AM PST by Lurking in Kansas (Nothing witty here… move on.)
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To: Bushbacker1

I just came from the polling place and I was the only one there under 75. Early exit polls show votes by seniors, gov't workers and welfare cheats. What do they all have in common?


13 posted on 11/07/2006 5:37:03 AM PST by joeystoy
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To: YOUGOTIT

Especially if they quit taking polling data at noon.


14 posted on 11/07/2006 5:37:37 AM PST by Toby06 (jon carry is a piece of s#it)
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To: meg88

What good is an exit poll? Just count the darn votes already and forget the early predictions.........


15 posted on 11/07/2006 5:37:50 AM PST by greccogirl
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To: Always Right
lol, Drudge-National Review et al diving for the exit poll information...


16 posted on 11/07/2006 5:38:29 AM PST by meg88
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To: hlmencken3

Even if these poll results were to leak out, would it matter? They were so dead wrong the last time, fortunately!

I have never seen how they could accurately poll people leaving the polling places anyway. Every time I vote most people prefer to just get in and out as quickly as possible. Few people want to stop for even a second to take campaign literature, much less stay for several minutes and talk to a pollster.


17 posted on 11/07/2006 5:38:54 AM PST by TNCMAXQ
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To: kittymyrib
And if the voter was really, really wicked, what would prevent him from lying to the pollsters?

Why do you call me really, really wicked? It's no ones business, so if they ask, i give false answers.

18 posted on 11/07/2006 5:39:15 AM PST by Toby06 (jon carry is a piece of s#it)
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To: joeystoy

I noticed at my polling place I was 1 of only 2 under the age of about 50. Of course it was 6am.


19 posted on 11/07/2006 5:41:56 AM PST by elc (Slingin' away)
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To: meg88

"The extraordinary security is a result of mix-ups that prompted grumbling about the accuracy of exit polls after the 2004 presidential election: Bloggers posted data from early exit polls, incorrectly calling some states for Massachusetts Democratic Sen. John Kerry and indicating that he would unseat President Bush."

"Mix-ups" my Aunt Fanny! I call BS. That exit polling was a totally orchestrated effort by the MSM to get conservatives to stay home. Yeesh.


20 posted on 11/07/2006 5:41:59 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin (Save The Earth. It's The Only Planet With Chocolate.)
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