Folks, it is NORMAL to lose 16 or more House seats during a mid-term election that falls in the 2nd term of a 2 term President.
Actually - the average is ** 35 ** losses in house, 7 in Senate
Actually - the average is ** 35 ** losses in house, 7 in Senate
It's actually normal to lose more:
The historic average for GWB's 2002 (mid-term) would have been a loss of 27 House & 3 Senate seats. GWB's actual 2002 was GAIN 6 House & 3 Senate. His reelection (2004) average would have been to lose 30 House & 4 Senate. His actual was GAIN 3 House & 4 Senate.
The upcoming election (mid-term of his 2nd term), historically has the party controlling the WH losing 34 House & 6 Senate. We of course don't know this outcome yet, but I get real sick and tired of the media reporting that if Dems do well on Nov. 7th, it means they are adored by the American people, and that GWB's 2nd term is a failure. They never said boo when he cleaned the Dem's clocks, so to speak, in '02 & '04. He did something few presidents have done, by gaining favor in the legislature in both of those elections.
It might be normal, but it's not inevitable. If it happens, Republicans would be well-served to examine the causes.