It ain't over until it's over.
No fat lady has yet gotten up to sing. There is still the small incidental event of actually having an election, doncha see.
The Dem'crats tripped the flag about three weeks too soon on this Foley deal, so there was time to deconstruct the genesis and the play in the media. The whole story is falling apart.
Since they have essentially wasted this opportunity, the Dem'crats may still have yet another one waiting to drop in the first days of November. But badly timed "news" releases have the unfortunate effect of resulting in diminishing returns. No matter how timely or seemingly plausible the next release is, it will undergo far greater scrutiny, and have far less impact, than the "Foleygate" scare had, beginning from the first hours of its announcement.
The early release of this Foley story was most likely a direct result of the Chris Wallace interview on Fox, when the fit hit the "Shan". That was truly an uncontrolled moment that went badly for the "Shan" (previously known as the "Former Occupant of the Oval Office, 1993-2001). The Foley story release was an effort to distract the public from the really bad performance by the "Shan".
Not just a has-been. He is, and forever shall be, a "never-was".
We must also keep in mind that this Foley affair is SSDD for Republicans. It's galvanized and energized the core GOP voters. If midterms are indeed all about GOTV, the Foley stuff will be a net benefit for Republicans.
Ignore any poll that is not likely voter and, in fact, ignore most polls that poll registered voters and then cull from those the likely voter pool.
It's really important, from a civics standpoint, to beat the Democrats as much as possible now because the lesson from this, otherwise, is October surprise scandal-mongering works and it will just get worse from here.
Hello,
Last night, I (finally) asked my MIL about the Foley issue and if she would either stay home or change her vote. She laughed and said if the fact that there was a gay man in the GOP was enough for her to not vote or vote Dem, she would be a fool.
(I waited to ask because the initial reporting of this was horrid (facts be damned) and I hoped to get her impressions now, after some time. Her attitude (from a 74 year old conservative Christian) proves that the Dems/DBM pitched this too soon, it will blow up in their faces, it IS blowing up in their faces.)
Glad to be here, MOgirl