Despite the Foley matter, I stand by my prediction of Republicans down 7 in the House, and down two in the Senate unless Steele pulls it out against Cardin in Maryland. It is now fairly clear that one of the Republican losses will be here in my District, NC 11th. A 16-year incumbent Congressman (who doesn't belong in Congress) is going to be beaten by Heath Shuler, an inexperienced empty suit who used to play football.
Like Tip O'Neill used to say, "all politics are local." This year, at least most politics will be local at the margins among the voters, which is all that counts on election day.
Congressman Billybob
Latest article: "Sex, Politics, and Hypocrisy"
Please see my most recent statement on running for Congress, here.
It is indeed local and there is no Gingrich this time to make it a quasi-national thing. Sometimes the odds break in your favor, and this is one of those times.