The Democrats have convinced their people to vote already. Now they are convincing, through Mark Foley and general Republican incompetence, for core conservative voters not to vote.
Do you actually know anyone who isn't going to vote now? I keep hearing about these depressed, won't bother to vote, not excited, republican voter, but have yet to meet one.
Everyone I've talked to is still going to vote, and although sickened by the whole Foley incident, many feel it is a bedroom exposa (I don't know how to do the little accent thingie so I phonetically spelled it) and would rather not be bothered with it, especially when it may be less of a story than previously thought. It is viewed as pre-election gotcha politics, the same as Bush's DUI, the Nat'l Guard story, etc. In fact, this may backfire on the dems and the "conventional wisdom."
Contrary to liberal-think, many conservatives would just rather not know what anyone is doing in their bedroom. I sure don't want to hear about it on the nightly news.