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To: <1/1,000,000th%
So will it rain tomorrow or not?

Exactly. These "Models" are used for nothing but propaganda. Can they start one 100 years ago and predict the present accurately? I predict not.

13 posted on 09/08/2006 9:08:24 AM PDT by Da Bilge Troll (Defeatism is not a winning strategy!)
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To: Da Bilge Troll
Can they start one 100 years ago and predict the present accurately? I predict not.

That would be a good test. Probably they could go back only 20 or 30 years when they have better data to start from and find out how well it works. They still probably won't get tomorrow's weather right anyway.

14 posted on 09/08/2006 9:22:46 AM PDT by metmom (Welfare was never meant to be a career choice.)
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To: Da Bilge Troll
Can they start one 100 years ago and predict the present accurately? I predict not.

That will never happen because chaos effects can never be modeled adequately any practical possible computer. But the issue is not whether they predict the weather but whether they model it accurately. For example, do the climate models contain tropical waves and storms? Most current models do not, which makes them poor predictors of climate, never mind weather.

22 posted on 09/08/2006 12:18:46 PM PDT by palmer (Money problems do not come from a lack of money, but from living an excessive, unrealistic lifestyle)
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