"I pray they are wrong."
My money is on "wrong". The problem is, if the "test" or "tests" come as a attack, it will force us to do Very Bad Things.
Pray it doesn't escalate afterwards.
I hope you are right; the problem is that so many nations lately have seen the US effectively emasculated due to all of the domestic power struggles in this country they can think (and MAY be right) that the left in this country would prefer nuclear armed enemies rather than supporting our President in time of war.
I think it's coming to that.