Posted on 08/15/2006 1:14:41 AM PDT by garbageseeker
The 15,000 UN people to be placed there only guarantee Israel cant shoot back for fear of hitting them nxt time the fighting breaks out. They are human shields for Hezballah. Other than that a force led by French is useless as tits on a boar hog.
Yes, they signed.
I can't read Condi's mind, but if it were me or Bolton, I would've been thinking:
"Ok, they're screaming for a ceasefire, claiming they are victims. They have an army of 50,000. So, Lebanon, here's your ceasefire: Take responsibility for your state, take control and responsibility for all weapons firing at others, agree that Hezbollah is to blame for this war, and you'll have your ceasefire."
They signed. Now they're weasling out.
And if I were Condi/Bolton, I'd be saying, "Ok, but don't play victim anymore - you're the reason you don't have a ceasefire."
And let loose the dogs of war - hopefully with a new Israeli P.M. and war cabinet.
(Go Israel, Go! Slap 'Em Down Hezbullies.)
(Go Israel, Go! Slap 'Em Down Hezbullies.)
Look, here's the long term as I see it. Israel has to defeat Hezbollah, but even that is temporary if they come back. And they'll come back unless:
Israel stays there - not good for Israel.
Lebanon has a strong government that wants peace and maintains control of its state/borders.
The second option is by far preferrable, by far.
However it is not possible so long as Hezbollah holds the Commander in Chief and major power over the government in Lebanon. Changing this requires the citizens - non-Hez/Shia - to change their government.
Removing the current Hez leader's victim cover, putting them squarely in blame for civilians that Israel will have to kill to get to defeat Hezbollah, can weaken their hold on power within Lebanon and further dimish their standing in diplomatic circles and world opinion.
THIS was the purpose of the ceasefire-surely-to-fail. It was not a negotiated settlement, nor a true ceasefire. It was a political tactic.
Elections, gas prices and the stock market.
BUMP
Pellegrini said reinforcements for the UN personnel already in Lebanon were needed quickly...
Pellegrini needs reinforcements to do what? Observe? What would he need if he were actually going to confront Hizbullah? (other than a spine, I mean.) Why is it up to the UN commander to interpret the resolution? The UN jast passed it. Shouldn't they be telling nim what his mission is?
I sure hope you are right.
And I sure hope our people know what they are doing.
To provide cover while Hez b'allah reloads and regroups.
No guarantees and they have a very tough job ahead. But the fact that Hezbollah and Iran both opposed the agreement was a good sign to me that Rice/Bolton were on the right track.
Has the jackass read 1701, or does he just feel like being french and hoist the white flag right now?
Just like the French...cowards....afraid of their own shadows...
What the heck are they even there for if not to disarm the enemy???
Oh yes, I forgot....they don't have a spine!!!
This is new. The French are now surrendering before they even send an army.
Gotta love the frogs. Maybe Nazzy should think about declaring France the new Hezbollahstan and just move operations there.
At least you could get a decent danish and coffee there.
I think that's the theory, but I'm not sure it works in practice. Hezbollah said it won't disarm, Lebanon has said it won't disarm Hezbollah, and the U.N. has said disarming Hezbollah is a matter for the Lebanese army, not UNIFIL. So it ain't going to happen.
And to top it off, Kofi Annan sent a letter to the Israelis saying that just because Hezbollah breaches the ceasefire by refusing to disarm does not give Israel the right to restart hostilities.
We, and the Israelis, were suckered. We figured that this resolution would make it clear who the good guys and bad guys were. We figured that a Hezbollah breach would give Israel the international green light to finish the job. But we were wrong. The whole ceasefire, and all of its terms, are bogus. Israel will withdraw, Hezbollah will reoccupy southern Lebanon, and the result will be the exact same as if Hezbollah had defeated Israel militarily and forced them out of Lebanon. An armed Hezbollah will be sitting on the border, and nobody, not the Israelis, not Lebanon, and not UNIFIL, will do a damn thing to stop them.
Ah, ah, ahhh... Don't you mean a decent "flower of the Prophet Mohammed pastry" and coffee? *snort*
This is new to me:
"Kofi Annan sent a letter to the Israelis saying that just because Hezbollah breaches the ceasefire by refusing to disarm does not give Israel the right to restart hostilities."
I hope Bolton puts No Sale to this, and I expect him to. It's absurd on its face.
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