Don't forget New Jersey either. The polls started off pro-Kean a few months ago, but as time passes, Menendez keeps picking up steam. He'll win this election pretty handily at this point, so NJ will be a likely Democrat retention, not a toss-up like this article asserts.
Thanks for that reminder, as I meant to speak of NJ too.
Over the past few elections, it seems as though Republicans (Franks, Forrester, Bush) have polled pretty well leading up to the election, only to see the actual votes reveal easy Democrat victories. So I wouldn't rate Kean Jr's chances as very good unless he has an actual lead going into November.