Title - Political Speculation
AFGP-2002-602181
Synopsis: This document is a response to issues raised in a previous correspondence. It appears to be addressed to Al-Sahal Al-Mumtan’, but this could be the author’s name. The author is analyzing the impact of the destruction of the Buddha statues, the fall of the Taliban regime, and speculates on future U.S. steps in the Middle East.
My honorable brother, I disagree with you on another point, which forms the basis for your analyses about Iran and the Shiites (al-Shi’ah), who are likely to be candidates for the leading role and the organization’s successors in the near future.
However, I think that this won’t happen. I believe the next conflict in the Middle East after Iraq will involve Iran, because it has proved its inability and failure to handle the Islamic influx and bring it under its blind banner. Iran had a major failure on this issue; however, it is not attempting to achieve this by attacking Israel and America.
How can it fulfill the leadership role when it is incapable of guiding the Islamic insurgency?
[Looks like Al-Qa'ida was expecting the Iranian Mullahs to attack Israel and the US. And apparently the Mullahs of Iran were not very good at managing the 'Islamic insurgency' into Iraq from Iran.]
Yet Iran should prove its merit to the Muslim generation by attacking Israel, which was created by America. However, this is not suitable for these serious times with so many international infidels making plans. My suspicion is that the greatest achievement of the international infidels at this time is the crazy gyrations of Islamic groups that threaten their very existence to their roots. Whirling around like the Sufi doctrine movement, backward and fanatical, it lacks a clearly-defined doctrine and has taken from the world those who are loyal and honest. Also, its legal basis is shaky.
[Very difficult to figure this one out, but apparently Al-Qa'ida has concluded that Iran cannot attack Israel now. Perhaps this is because of the 'infidel' US military now sitting in between Iran and Israel.]
Isn’t a movement like this the hope of the Islamic nation, the objective of revolutionary youth and the protector of Jihad as long as the Nation is accustomed to its protector and its thief…? (TC: Arabic saying.)
I think the next stage is directing a strong blow at Iran to protect Israel from its missiles. The waiting heroes will be found in the staunch Taliban movement… why not? It did show legendary heroism in protecting Osama bin Laden and in destroying the Buddha idols (this heroism didn’t cost America anything but some of Mr. Buddha’s stones).
[Al-Qa'ida expects the US to strike Iran to protect Israel from its missiles. Al-Qa'ida also expects the 'Taliban Movement' (perhaps the collection of islamic terrorist groups) to help protect Iran.]
It appears that the Taliban movement will participate in destroying the thrones of the rejectionists in Iran. The soldiers of the movement are the Islamic groups, which will achieve great victories for U.S. policy (as long as the battle is under the Mythical Banner).
[It appears that the Islamic Taliban groups are expecting to destroy US forces when they move into Iran. I guess they have to come up with some type of plan. The phrase 'Mythical Banner' is difficult to figure.]
It doesn’t matter if the Nation is in existence for ten years before it understands the danger of delivering the leadership to those who avoided God’s law.
[Yikes ! Don't have a clue as to what that means.]
However, I think that this won’t happen. I believe the next conflict in the Middle East after Iraq will involve Iran, because it has proved its inability and failure to handle the Islamic influx and bring it under its blind banner. Iran had a major failure on this issue; however, it is not attempting to achieve this by attacking Israel and America.
It appears that the Taliban movement will participate in destroying the thrones of the rejectionists in Iran. The soldiers of the movement are the Islamic groups, which will achieve great victories for U.S. policy (as long as the battle is under the Mythical Banner).
'Blind Banner' and 'Mythical Banner' both used in reference to: a coming battle in Iran; and Islamic influx (insurgency) from Iran to Iraq. Interesting.
Do we have any Arabic readers on FR?
I have been told it is an elliptical, poetic language that utilizes allusion. Many words/phrases have multiple meanings and often the written cannot be totally understood without hearing the words spoken and watching the speaker's body language. Even the body language and inflections need interpretation by someone familiar with that speaker's dialect and cultural context.