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Could Dubai become the most important city on earth?
Khaleej Times Online ^ | 13 February 2006 | Adam Nicolson

Posted on 02/19/2006 2:41:13 AM PST by Cannoneer No. 4

DUBAI - Dubai is growing faster than any city on earth, spending mind-boggling sums on a construction programme that is nothing less than dazzling. But what is truly impressive is the scale of its ambition. Could it become the most important place on the planet?

It looks like a hot Grozny. On the vast invented islands offshore and in the even vaster building sites that stretch in a wide band the whole length of Dubai’s now famous riviera, acre on acre of grey- faced, concrete, hollow-eyed buildings, fenced in with scaffolding and overhung by tower cranes, stare at each other across the sands. Tower blocks look abandoned rather than half-made. It is said that a fifth of the world’s cranes are now at work here. An army of some 250,000 men, largely from India and Pakistan, are labouring to create the new glimmer fantasy, earning on average GBP150 a month, and living in camps, four to a room, 12ft by 12ft, hidden away in the industrial quarters of Al Quoz. One night in one of the luxury hotels would cost six months’ wages of one of the men who built it. Below and around their work sites, the new streets are chaotic with rubble and piles of steel.

The traffic is already as bad as Los Angeles. The city authorities are now giving priority to new roads, hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent on bridges across the Dubai Creek, five lanes in each direction, but still a taxi ride that might take 10 minutes at midday lasts an hour at either end of it. If you ask a driver to take you to some places, he laughs. “Do you want to have a very long talk?” he says.

Dubai is growing faster than any city on earth. “Mushroom City”, Ravi Piyush, a plumply content dealer in the Gold Souk, said to me. “Nothing today, everything tomorrow.” The World Bank reckons that the reconstruction of Iraq is going to cost $53bn. Here, along the strip of footballer-friendly sand that stretches 25 miles or so along the shores of the Persian Gulf, there is, at a rough estimate, about $100bn worth of projects either underway or planned for the near future. That is a numbing figure, ungraspable. It is the equivalent of every single dollar invested in the United States from abroad last year; almost twice the foreign investment in China.

History rising There are the three famous palms, laden with more hotels and more ”signature villas” than the entire English football Premiership might ever dream of. The 7,000-man workforce on one of them is too large to get on to the palm each morning without creating its own traffic jam: they are shipped in by sea from further along the coast. There’s to be a Giorgio Armani Hotel and a Palazzo Versace. There’s the tallest building in the world, Burj Dubai, costing $800m and said to be 800m tall when complete, but the precise figure is being kept secret in case New York’s new Freedom Tower tries to top it. A billboard the size of London’s Piccadilly Circus stands out in the desert showing the pencil-thin rocket of a tower alongside a simple rubric: “History Rising.” The biggest shopping mall in the world is already here. Another, bigger, the world’s largest retail development, is under construction.

There’s to be an underwater hotel ($500m). One indoor ski resort, with real snow and its own black run, exists already, a weird, looming presence on the city’s southern skyline. There is to be a second, with a revolving mountain. Plans are mooted for a Chess City, with 32 tower blocks of 64 floors, each in the form of a chess piece. There’s to be a 60-floor apartment block in the shape of Big Ben. One company selling flats is giving away a free Jag with each one. There will be a pyramid and a building called Atlantis that will cost $600m and include a “swim-with-the-dolphins encounter programme”. An Aviation City and a Cargo Village, an Aid City and a Humanitarian Free Zone, an Exhibition City and a Festival City, a Healthcare City and a Flower City, a $4bn extension to the airport and another entirely new airport along the coast towards Abu Dhabi, for which no figures are available but you can take a guess at a few billion: six runways, annual capacity 120 million passengers, 12 million tonnes of cargo.

Next to it, as the Dubai government’s Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing puts it, “There will be several smaller cities that will cater to the financial, industrial, service and tourism industries.” To fill these airports, Emirates, the national airline, has just placed the biggest order that Boeing has ever had: $9.7bn for 42 777s, each capable of carrying 300 passengers non-stop more than 9,000 miles across the world. They have also ordered a fleet of the biggest airbuses on offer, each capable of carrying 555 people.

Middle East’s answer to Disneyland The Middle East’s answer to Disneyland, called Dubailand, which is far larger than Monaco, is costing $4.5bn. It will employ 300,000 people in the various joylands, servicing 15 million visitors. A new urban railway, with 37 stops, begins construction shortly. Dubai is to have its own Silicon Oasis ($1.7bn) for computer companies. A mixed development called Dubai Waterfront/Arabian Canal covers an area larger than Barbados and will house, when completed ($6bn), more people than Paris.

There’s another side to Dubai. Drive south along the Gulf, away from the glamour zone of the great hotels, past the giant malls and the huge gas-fired power stations, almost to the western border of Dubai, and you come to the largest man-made harbour in the world. The unapproachably vast quays of the modern port at Jebel Ali were dredged out of the desert sands in 1979 at a place where, Sheikh Rashid used to come for evenings camping with his friends. Abdulla bin Damithan, one of the port managers, showed me around in his red Audi. (This was a replacement; the BMW was in for service.) The 1.5 mile-long quays are so enormous that to look the length of them is to stare into a desert haze. Halfway along, the metal bodies of the ships and cranes disappear like mirages.

But it is no dreamy place: every minute, every towering gantry crane lifts another container off the high-stacked decks of the bulbous ships alongside, lowers it to a waiting truck that delivers it to another part of the site, or transfers it from the unimaginably huge motherships, which travel the world oceans, to the slightly less huge feeder ships which service the Gulf, the Indian trade and the Mediterranean. Nothing interrupts the movements, day and night, 365 days a year, even in July at 90% humidity, an air temperature usually over 49C and when even the seawater in the docks approaches 38C. No one works outside. More than seven million containers are moved here in the course of the year, a figure that grew 23% last year, and is set to triple within the next six years, serving a market of two billion people in the Middle East. It’s like looking at the guts of the world, the usually hidden machinery by which things actually happen. Over on the other side of the harbour, two diminutive destroyers are tied up, the stars and stripes hanging off their sterns. This is where the American carrier battle groups patrolling the Gulf come for service - and shopping. It’s the port most visited by the US navy outside the United States.

Like almost everything of any significance in Dubai, the port system belongs to the state, or to the Maktoums, the ruling family. The two are indistinguishable, and in some ways, Dubai is a princely vision of how the world might be. The Maktoums came here as Bedouin chieftains in the 1820s, to a small, palm-fringed trading creek, where political control was in the hands of the British. Only in 1971 did Dubai gain independence as part of the United Arab Emirates. It was already known that Abu Dhabi, by far the biggest and richest of the Emirates, was sitting on a vast mineral reserve. At current rates of production, Abu Dhabi has more than 120 years’ supply of oil and gas still untapped. Dubai is nothing like so well endowed, and so from the 1960s onwards, the Maktoums have been consciously shaping Dubai as the trading and financial motor of the Emirates, and the Dubai ports system is central to their vision.

Dubai sits on the all-important strategic routeway of the modern world: China, India, Middle East, Europe and the US. That is where the money is going to be. China has just become the third biggest economy in the world and it is the fastest growing. India is set for its own acceleration. The Maktoum plan is to make Dubai the centre of a global strategic network of port facilities to rival Singapore and the huge Hong Kong-based conglomerate of Hutchison-Whampoa. They have been acquiring hard and fast and now control massive facilities in China, Hong Kong, Australia, South Korea, India, Yemen, Djibouti, Saudi Arabia, Romania, Germany and Latin America. In a profoundly symbolic move, Dubai Ports are now manoeuvring to make a bid for the great harbours in southern Iraq.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: uae
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Dubai is in the news with DP buying out P&O. I don't think New York or London or Tokyo need to be looking over their shoulder, but Dubai is an amazing place.
1 posted on 02/19/2006 2:41:16 AM PST by Cannoneer No. 4
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2 posted on 02/19/2006 2:48:50 AM PST by Cannoneer No. 4 (Our enemies act on ecstatic revelations from their god. We act on the advice of lawyers.)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4

"Could it become the most important place on the planet?

It looks like a hot Grozny."

Well then NY's got nothing to worry about.


3 posted on 02/19/2006 2:51:31 AM PST by jocon307 (The Silent Majority - silent no longer)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
but Dubai is an amazing place.

As long as Islam is the official religion, Dubai will be susceptible to the ayatollahs. I'm surprised they haven't taken it over and ruined it yet.

4 posted on 02/19/2006 2:52:08 AM PST by peyton randolph (As long is it does me no harm, I don't care if one worships Elmer Fudd.)
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To: Cannoneer No. 4

Some cool Dubai pictures in this thread http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1339327/posts .
I imagine they are a bit out of date by now.


5 posted on 02/19/2006 2:54:02 AM PST by neutrality
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To: Cannoneer No. 4
Dubai is growing faster than any city on earth. “Mushroom City”, Ravi Piyush, a plumply content dealer in the Gold Souk, said to me.

They better hope not....

7 posted on 02/19/2006 2:57:12 AM PST by Mr. Mojo
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To: GBoettner

"one nuke, dubai go bye bye"

Same goes for any city surely? Who's going to nuke it?


8 posted on 02/19/2006 2:57:16 AM PST by Canard
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To: peyton randolph
Dubai is growing at an astronomical pace and they have no love or allegiance to the Saudi Wahabbi sects.

The are the blueprint for the post oil arab world.

They are buying port and infrastructure assets in places Hutcheson Wampoa hasn't even noticed yet and their banking sector has instituted the first gold based e-currency in the form of the online gold backed dinar.

In the next five years they will be the Arab version of Hong Kong.
10 posted on 02/19/2006 3:02:10 AM PST by beaver fever
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To: GBoettner

Do you want to irradiate the Bangladeshi crews of the oil tankers transiting the Straits of Hormuz, too?


11 posted on 02/19/2006 3:03:39 AM PST by Cannoneer No. 4 (Our enemies act on ecstatic revelations from their god. We act on the advice of lawyers.)
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To: GBoettner

Ah right. Sometimes I have this thing which makes me miss the underlying message in people's posts. Doctor said it's called sanity...


12 posted on 02/19/2006 3:05:56 AM PST by Canard
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To: beaver fever
they have no love or allegiance to the Saudi Wahabbi sects.

I never said that they did. However, as long as Islam remains the official religion, the jihadist camel's nose is under the tent. Let's say, for instance, that Iran decided to destabilize Dubai. How many terrorist attacks do you think it would take on an underwater hotel before Dubai's economy came to a grinding halt.

15 posted on 02/19/2006 3:09:26 AM PST by peyton randolph (As long is it does me no harm, I don't care if one worships Elmer Fudd.)
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To: GBoettner

Get off my thread, dipstick.


16 posted on 02/19/2006 3:14:40 AM PST by Cannoneer No. 4 (Our enemies act on ecstatic revelations from their god. We act on the advice of lawyers.)
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To: peyton randolph

The Iranians have too much money tied up in Dubai for that.


17 posted on 02/19/2006 3:16:52 AM PST by Cannoneer No. 4 (Our enemies act on ecstatic revelations from their god. We act on the advice of lawyers.)
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Comment #18 Removed by Moderator

To: peyton randolph
Dubai is ally of the US. They are an incredibly sophisticated people in terms of trade and commerce.They are planning for the future after oil and investing in hard assets.

Iran can't destabilize Dubai for the simple reason that unlike Iran they can do business anywhere in the world and they make good on their contracts. Dubai will not be a target in the conflict with Iran.

Dubai is buying up the Persian Gulf while the Iranian plutocracy picks its nose.

Which is why the Dubai port contracts in the US should be honored. They are not crazies and they are not part of the Jihadi revolution.
19 posted on 02/19/2006 3:23:03 AM PST by beaver fever
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To: Cannoneer No. 4

The spread of unabashed capitalism to this part of the world is a good thing.


20 posted on 02/19/2006 3:30:48 AM PST by Flyer (Send Beer)
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