All the more evidence for Peak Oil.
Crude oil production is probably 10-100 times more profitable than refining. If you have plenty of crude oil, it makes no sense to refine it (beyond whatever amount your nation uses), since the resources invested for refining would be much better spent in getting the oil out of the ground.
On the other hand, if your crude production is peaking, then it makes sense to diversify into less profitable ventures such as refining.
That is not more evidence for peak oil. By your explanation, companies only invest in the most profitable industries. That the other industries exist and continue to grow shows that concept to be false. Why does any other company build and expand refineries anywhere else in the world?