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Walker`s World: A 4x4 coalition emerging? (US-UK-Japan-India)
M&C news ^ | Dec 4, 2005, 16:20 GMT | Martin Walker

Posted on 12/04/2005 10:10:26 AM PST by Gengis Khan

WASHINGTON, DC, United States (UPI) -- The Bush administration is quietly seeking to build with Britain, Japan and India a globe-spanning coalition system that can contain China, claims a leading neo-conservative thinker.

'Over the past six months, the Bush administration has upgraded its budding strategic partnerships with India and Japan. Along with the steady special relationship with Great Britain, what is beginning to emerge is a global coalition system -- it is too soon to call it a true alliance -- for the post-Cold War world,' argues Thomas Donnelly, resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.

In a new essay just published by the AEI, titled 'The Big Four Alliance: The New Bush Strategy,' Donnelly says that 'far from maintaining a unilateralist approach to American security,' the Bush administration has been forging a strategic partnership structure that can help to manage the rise of China, while also buttressing the liberal international order of free trade, free markets and expanded democracy.

'You might call this emerging set of alliances the 4x4 strategy,' Donnelly suggests. 'It is built around four great powers -- the United States, Great Britain, Japan, and India -- who share four basic strategic principles: that the dangers of radicalism, failing despotic governments, and nuclear proliferation in the greater Middle East are too great to ignore; that the growing military strength and political ambitions of Beijing`s autocrats make it far from certain that China`s `rise` will be a peaceful one; that the spread of representative forms of government will increase the prospects for a durable peace; and that military force remains a useful and legitimate tool of national statecraft.'

What is striking and new is that Donnelly, a powerful advocate of a strong U.S. defense, now acknowledges that the American role is overstretched and can no longer sustain its lonely superpower role.

'We need help,' he suggests.

'It is clear that the Defense Department`s initial conception of `transformation` -- substituting capital for labor, firepower for manpower -- has not removed the inherent constraints imposed by a small force, reduced by 40 percent from its final Cold-War strength. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld`s preference for temporary `coalitions of the willing` has been supplanted by a new understanding that preserving the Pax Americana requires more permanent arrangements. This is not to suggest that the emerging Big Four allies are not willing partners, but simply to grasp that the immensity and difficulty of the military and broader security tasks have stretched current U.S. armed forces to a degree that they cannot sustain. We need help.'

Donnelly, formerly with the Lockheed Corporation and also former policy director at the House Committee on National Security, was one of the leading figures in the Project for the New American Century, the group from which the highly influential neo-conservatives emerged to dominate the thinking of the Bush administration after the terrorist attacks of 9/11. A highly controversial figure to many Democrats and to opponents of the Iraq War, Donnelly also played an important role in Congressional relations with the Pentagon, particularly over the 1997 and 2001 Quadrennial Defense Reviews.

'The central pillar of the new alliance is, of course, the United States,' Donnelly writes. 'Just as the Truman Doctrine committed the United States to lead the Cold War allies, so has the Bush Doctrine cast the country as primus inter pares among today`s allies; Britain, India, and Japan are becoming partners in a Pax Americana that is generally accepted across the political spectrum.

'No other power can perform this essential organizing and leadership role,' Donnelly writes. 'The Clinton administration took the primacy of the United States as much for granted as has the Bush administration. There is no reason to think that the next Democratic administration will change this fundamental approach.'

Donnelly leans heavily on the British alliance, which he calls 'our most constant source of strategic and military help' and praises their 'superbly professional forces, on a par with U.S. forces and possessed of particular strengths in special operations and expeditionary warfare.

'The Anglo-American military alliance remains the gold standard against which all others are measured and to which others -- particularly the Japanese alliance -- aspire,' he argues. In Tokyo, 'politicians across the spectrum now accept the premise that Japan should act like a `normal` nation and should assume some role in `collective self-defense` -- a euphemism for an alliance with the United States.

'Greater still is the gap between India`s potential as an alliance partner and the current reality,' Donnelly notes. 'Nevertheless, it may be that, over the course of time, the strategic relationship between Washington and New Delhi can become the keystone to preservation of the Pax Americana. The CIA has concluded that India is the most important `swing state` in the international system.'

India has a long way to go, Donnelly concedes, both in modernizing its largely Soviet-made weaponry and in learning inter-operability with U.S. forces

'Translating diplomatic desire into hard-core military power and interoperability between Indian and U.S. forces will take many years,' he writes. 'Military-to-military contacts with U.S. forces are increasing, but neither Indian nor Japanese forces yet enjoy the kind of close professional relationship that has existed for many years between U.S. and British armed services.

'In truth, the whole concept of a `Big Four` global partnership is more potential than real,' Donnelly concedes. 'There is not much chance of any Big Four summits or alliance charters on the horizon. Indeed, such a summit would be counterproductive; even if successful, this would be an alliance that dares not speak its name. The open question is whether common interests and common values can make this coalition a more permanent basis for American strategy.'


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: aei; bigfouralliance; china; donnelly; india; japan; newnwo; strategery; uk; us
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1 posted on 12/04/2005 10:10:27 AM PST by Gengis Khan
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To: Gengis Khan

UK, I can see. Japan, I can see. But India?

I didn't know the US even had very good relations with India.

Interesting.


2 posted on 12/04/2005 10:14:04 AM PST by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: Termite_Commander

Been out of touch for too long were you?


3 posted on 12/04/2005 10:16:01 AM PST by Gengis Khan
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To: Gengis Khan

I guess so.


4 posted on 12/04/2005 10:18:11 AM PST by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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To: Termite_Commander

The India-Pakistani Conflict... some background information-
various links | 5-25-02 | backhoe
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/689502/posts


5 posted on 12/04/2005 10:19:31 AM PST by backhoe (Just an old Keyboard Cowboy, ridin' the trakball into the Dawn of Information...)
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To: Gengis Khan

The English own more American business than any other country (even Japan), largely in the form of holding companies who regularly liquify their owned corporations overnite, thus assuring their executives many billions in retirement savings while wrecking our own economy.

Additonally, I fail to see Britain as an intellectual ally so long as their spirit is corrupt and subverted both internally and by continental Euro-turds.

We won the American Revolution, but in 2005... that doesn't mean much.


6 posted on 12/04/2005 10:21:06 AM PST by SteveMcKing ("No empire collapses because of technical reasons. They collapse because they are unnatural.")
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To: Gengis Khan

George Orwell would post that we cannot align with the EU and Oceania at the same time; it's a revolving alliance of 2 of the 3 versus the remaining one.


7 posted on 12/04/2005 10:23:54 AM PST by Zuben Elgenubi
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To: Gengis Khan

Keeping in mind the profuse anti-India threads and sentiments in FR, I doubt this will make much headway.


8 posted on 12/04/2005 10:24:47 AM PST by razoroccam (Then in the name of Allah, they will let loose the Germs of War (http://www.booksurge.com))
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To: Termite_Commander

300 Years of British Colonial Rule puts India firmly in the Anglosphere and they have already forgotten there anit-colonial antipathy as well. Furthermore, being the second most populious nation on earth, with a instable China on their one border and radical Islamist on the other, does'nt hurt either. Most certinally a natural evolution for India.


9 posted on 12/04/2005 10:27:06 AM PST by Swiftsure
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To: Gengis Khan

With all respect, the author is neglecting the great efforts by Australia.


10 posted on 12/04/2005 10:28:16 AM PST by fzx12345 (Three lefts don't make a right; they invent one.)
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To: Gengis Khan; SteveMcKing
Additonally, I fail to see Britain as an intellectual ally so long as their spirit is corrupt and subverted both internally and by continental Euro-turds.

I think they play up to the "Euro-turds" out proximity/economic-necessity and not necessarily because they prefer a stronger EU alliance than an Anglo-American alliance. In the end I think most of our Brit cousins know we'd come to their aid again far quicker than any "Euro-turd," and an alliance with us will counter the neo-Comm socialist agenda of the EU/UN gaggle. IMHO.

11 posted on 12/04/2005 10:28:40 AM PST by DTogo (Merry CHRISTmas, and a healthy & happy New Year!)
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To: SteveMcKing

Nobody says we have to take the King back.

Its just that the Brits have always been shoulder to shoulder with us. And not because they saw narrow self-interest (though there's alwasy some of that) - rather, because they believe the same things we do. We're lucky to have them as friends in a dangerous world.

If their looney left takes over and tacks away from us, we'll miss them acutely.


12 posted on 12/04/2005 10:28:42 AM PST by happyathome
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To: Termite_Commander

The US had a good and improving relationship with India, now a more populous nation than China. India has two traditional enemies; China and Islam. We share this mutual interest.


13 posted on 12/04/2005 10:29:55 AM PST by Natural Law
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To: fzx12345

Yeah I was rather surprised they were not included as well. They're definitely a partner - same free market and democratic credentials, same "superbly trained" professional military.


14 posted on 12/04/2005 10:30:40 AM PST by happyathome
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To: Termite_Commander

India is China's greatest potential economic competitor, they have a much more modern military than China and a British heritage. As for Japan, Inc, we own them.


15 posted on 12/04/2005 10:31:49 AM PST by narses (St Thomas says “lex injusta non obligat”)
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To: Gengis Khan

And lets not forget our greatest allies, the Australians. :)


16 posted on 12/04/2005 10:32:16 AM PST by traviskicks (http://www.neoperspectives.com/french_riots.htm)
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To: Termite_Commander

"I didn't know the US even had very good relations with India."

American corporations do. The Indians can do everything cheaper, better, faster according to corporate deep thinkers. My company has shifted 6000 jobs to India.


17 posted on 12/04/2005 10:37:33 AM PST by dljordan
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To: razoroccam

Agree. I only hope that the anti-India threads and sentiments expressed on FR dont represent the majority opinion of US at least as far as Indo-US relation is concerned.


18 posted on 12/04/2005 10:38:01 AM PST by Gengis Khan
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To: SteveMcKing

"The English own more American business than any other country (even Japan), largely in the form of holding companies who regularly liquify their owned corporations overnite, thus assuring their executives many billions in retirement savings while wrecking our own economy."

Can you give the names of holding companies that have liquified overnight, as you say?

The best examples would be the ones that wrecked our economy, as you say.

I'd like to say the names of the holding companies, the corporations and the executives. It makes it possible to validate your claim.


19 posted on 12/04/2005 10:40:42 AM PST by truth_seeker
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To: Gengis Khan
Oh, I certainly didn't think anything against India, if you're referring to me. I just didn't realize we had too much diplomatic discouse with them.

Obviously, I didn't look into the issue before I posted. It's good to know we have India on our side.
20 posted on 12/04/2005 10:48:46 AM PST by Termite_Commander (Warning: Cynical Right-winger Ahead)
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