Posted on 12/02/2005 6:09:24 PM PST by Flux Capacitor
Can't link to Lafayette's own Gannett rag (and arguably the worst newspaper on the planet), the Daily Advertiser, but what this basically boils down to is that one of the few House seats the Democrats had a shot at next year has been taken out of play, further slimming their chances of taking over that chamber. John, the 7th's former congressman, was the only candidate who stood a chance of upsetting the district's current GOP congressman, Charles Boustany. Tough luck, Dems.
Yes you can. Gannett pubs are Headline/link only
Charles Boustany is in the clear. One less House seat to worry about.
A little more good news to make you smile.
Hooorayyyyyyyyy! I don't know this person, but I'll take your word for it!
The Rats strike out again.
Now we just need to dump Charlie Melonball and Billy Jefferson (for heavens' sake, there's only 70,000 or so people in Jefferson's district at the moment - we could win that seat with a Republican).
Ping!
Told ya. :)
The absentee ballot issue in Louisiana in 2006 will generate lots and lots of litigation, which is great for my guild.
I've dropped the seat to #38 for the moment (between Leach #37 & Weldon #39), but I'll almost certainly drop it off my list when I have a chance to think about it some more.
I saw the congressman on the tube after Rita. He was quite impressive actually, in fact the most impressive of the entire political Louisiana gang.
"The absentee ballot issue in Louisiana in 2006 will generate lots and lots of litigation, which is great for my guild."
That, I have absolutely no doubt. Jefferson was already in trouble to begin with and there are ostensibly a mess of 'Rats angling to challenge him next year. Just going by the voters currently there, it would be almost impossible for him to retain the seat, but at the moment, he certainly isn't going without a fight. And, of course, we know which party (and which individual) is going to be blamed even though neither has any authority over LA-2.
Where the rubber meets the road is if a credible well financed Pubbie gets into the ring. My impression so far is that none have, and it is getting rather late.
The difficulty for the Republicans in that district is the fact that there really is no pool of candidates. With the exception of Rep. Peppi Bruneau and ex-Councilwoman Peggy Wilson, virtually all current and former White officeholders in Orleans Parish are Democrats (Mitch Landrieu, now Lt Gov, being the most prominent). Conversely, people forget that prior to his winning the Mayor's office, Ray Nagin was a Republican (switching only for the convenience of being able to win). Although in his case, he had done a fairly decent job UNTIL Katrina proved he was absolutely incompetent to deal with the situation. If Nagin hadn't messed up to such a spectacular degree, the new dynamics in N.O. could've made it possible for him to have switched back and won reelection as a Republican (of course, that's not going to happen now - nor would we want it to). It's incredible to realize that a singular weather event could end up impacting the politics of an entire state (as it is likely to do) in quite such a way.
Well stated, and I agree.
Hey AG, have you done any re-evaluation of Virginia house seats now that some prominent democrats have said they would run?
If we are lucky, the democrats will misunderstand the meaning of a democrat winning our governor race, and waste a lot of time and money here in Virginia trying to take out our congressman, which (except for the fact that Tom Davis is a RINO) we all love.
Are you talking about VA Congressional seats ? The 'Rats don't have a shot at any of the ones with GOP incumbents, even with Tom Davis.
The only Virginia seat on my list is VA-02 Drake, and it's hanging on by a thread down at #49 between FL-08 Keller #48 and OH-02 Schmidt #50 (the list goes to 50).
Talk is cheap; campaigns cost money. And it's gonna take a lot of money (and more) to dislodge any of the VA GOP incumbents. So, although Tom Davis' seat is conceivably vulnerable (it was 49.92% Bush to 49.29% Kerry) the Dems are gonna need to either find a top-tier nominee or raise a heck of a lot more than $39,590 (to $782,633 for Davis) before it's worth taking another look at.
"And it's gonna take a lot of money (and more) to dislodge any of the VA GOP incumbents. So, although Tom Davis' seat is conceivably vulnerable (it was 49.92% Bush to 49.29% Kerry) the Dems are gonna need to either find a top-tier nominee or raise a heck of a lot more than $39,590 (to $782,633 for Davis) before it's worth taking another look at."
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