Is it a true tropical storm?
Posted on 10/09/2005 1:51:02 PM PDT by LesbianThespianGymnasticMidget
MIAMI -- Tropical Storm Vince has formed in an unlikely location -- the far eastern Atlantic -- today, and hurricane forecasters don't seem to have a consensus yet on this storm.
Vince has nontropical roots but has just taken on tropical characteristics. It formed in waters that are cooler than what is typically needed for a tropical storm, said Chris Sisko, a meteorologist at the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
Is it a true tropical storm?
"Vince is a very odd one," Sisko said.
In the latest discussion at 10 a.m. today, Vince was described as a "low pressure system of nontropical origin. ... Whether or not this system is now a tropical or a subtropical storm is somewhat of a subjective determination."
Vince poses no threat to land. That's because it is not expected to survive long because of the cooler waters and other weather systems in the area, Sisko said. Water temperatures are about 73 to 75 degrees, below the 80 degrees usually needed to sustain a tropical storm.
In any case, the public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center said that at 10 a.m. CDT today, Vince was 515 miles east-southeast of the Azores, moving northeast at 5 mph. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph. Continued northeastward motion and a gradual increase in forward speed are expected, but little change in strength is forecast for the next 24 hours.
Vince is the 20th named storm in one of the busiest hurricane seasons on record. After Vince, only one name is left for storms this season — Wilma. After that, storms are named after letters in the Greek alphabet. That has never happened in more than 50 years of regularly naming storms.
Meanwhile, a subtropical depression that formed in the Atlantic near Bermuda dissipated late Saturday. The system was no longer a subtropical depression and had lost all of its convection, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami.
Saturday night, the depression's center had been about 250 miles southeast of Bermuda, moving west with winds of about 30 mph, but they were expected to weaken by today, forecasters said.
The Atlantic hurricane season began June 1 and ends Nov. 30. The current one is tied for the second-busiest since record keeping began in 1851. The record is 21 tropical storms and hurricanes in 1933.
Vince may be a very odd one, but not as odd as the weatherman who is claiming the Japanese have a weather modification machine.
Oh, great, and I just finished watching a History Channel movie about the 1900 hurricane that wiped out Galveston, Texas. It was a tropical storm that U.S. forecasters expected to go up the NE U.S. coast, but it changed direction, turned into a huricane and became the worst natural disaster in American history.
Vince is now a hurricane.
Thanks for the post. I was about to go look for the track. Link to computer models?
Yep, it now has an eye and some outflow. Bush's fault no doubt.
It's currently forecast to strike northern Portugal as a tropical storm!
It'll miss, most likely. The rain in Spain falls mainly in the plain.
Yeah, so much for global warming causing hurricanes.
Sounds like Vince is leading an "alternative lifestyle".
I think it will make landfall at Parque De Marcy Do Fort, Portugal.
His name is Vince, and, believe it or not, his dad is a weatherman for one of the local stations here in MO.
When he visited Dad over the weekend, he proudly proclaimed, "Hey, they named a hurricane after me!"
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