[AntiGuv]

For anyone who feels like being alarmist, a couple of the computer models now show Stan turning due north or NNW right after crossing the Yucatan peninsula (toward LA/MS/AL), and the GFDL has Stan looping around in the Bay of Campeche just short of Tampico, riding the coast of Mexico back to and over the Yucatan, and then headed toward Florida. =)

[AntiGuv]

Opps! Make that due north or NNE.

[laz]

a couple of the computer models now show Stan turning due north or NNW right after crossing the Yucatan peninsula (toward LA/MS/AL)

Perhaps Stan(ley) is headed for the French Quarter to see Blanco Dubois.

[Strategerist]

For anyone who feels like being alarmist, a couple of the computer models now show Stan turning due north or NNW right after crossing the Yucatan peninsula (toward LA/MS/AL), and the GFDL has Stan looping around in the Bay of Campeche just short of Tampico, riding the coast of Mexico back to and over the Yucatan, and then headed toward Florida. =)

The only one that does is CLIPER, which is a fundamentally worthless and ancient model; It's not really a model at all (in the sense that current weather conditions are input and future conditions predicted) it's just a statistical database of similar storms in a similar location. But there's no actual data in it of current locations of high pressures to the north, etc.

This storm has basically zero chance of hitting the US.